Some of the unexpected election results of 2018, such as the victories of Javier Milley of Argentina and Hert Wildes of the Netherlands, brought great surprises. This surprise has created more uncertainty about the upcoming elections in 2024. According to the "Reference News" report, nearly half of the world's population will participate in elections next year, and this figure itself is enough to show the importance and influence of elections to the world. However, the extent to which election results affect the global landscape varies from country to country.
Elections in the United States have long been seen as one of the most likely to change the course of history. However, unlike elections in other countries, elections in the United States are relatively certain. The two sides of the campaign will be two old faces: the former Trump and the current Biden. Whoever wins a second term, the direction of their policies is largely certain. If Biden is re-elected, the United States will continue to pursue its current policy. If Trump is re-elected, he will lead US policy in the opposite direction from four years ago. This "certainty," while ostensibly stunningly stable, could actually have major repercussions for the United States and the world.
In addition to the United States, the United Kingdom also faces electoral challenges. The poor performance of the current British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has led to a continuous decline in the support of the Conservative Party. In this context, the Conservatives are considering a comeback for former Prime Minister Boris Johnson, as he is the only one who can stand up to the Labour leader. However, Johnson's abilities are limited, and he is known for engaging in infighting. Elections in the UK must be held before 2025, and time is pressing. If Sunak fails to meet the expectations of the Conservatives, Conservative politicians may want Johnson to return to the "ring". However, given the current state of the UK, the impact of Johnson's return on the country is likely to be limited.
In 2024, elections will also be held in the BRICS countries of Russia and India. However, the outcome of the elections in these two countries is almost certain, that is, the re-election of the current leaders. In Russia, Putin has announced his candidacy for re-election. There is no doubt that if he decides to run, the other candidates will basically be just running alongside the runners. In addition, considering that Russia is currently in a war, the replacement of ** is equivalent to a temporary change of commander, which is not beneficial to Russia. In India, Modi's goal, of course, is re-election. As things stand, no one can challenge him. Therefore, the election results in these two countries are not expected to bring much change.
While the election results in important countries may not be unexpected, this does not mean that the world will go back to the past. Although the leaders are still themselves, the world has changed dramatically. Profound changes have taken place in international relations, the economic landscape, and the way of global governance, all of which will affect the implementation and influence of election results. Therefore, regardless of the outcome of the election, the world will continue to move forward and continue to embrace new changes and challenges.
2024 will be a year full of turmoil and change, and elections in many major countries around the world will bring more uncertainty to the international situation. For these elections, we should not only see the change of leadership, but also pay attention to the far-reaching impact of the election results. Whether the election in the United States can change the global landscape, or whether the election results in the United Kingdom and the BRICS countries will stabilize the domestic situation, will have a lasting impact on the world.
As global citizens, we should follow and participate in these elections to ensure that they are fair, democratic, and transparent. Everyone should exercise their power to contribute to the development of their country and the world. At the same time, we must also realize that elections are not a panacea and cannot solve all problems. ** The actions of leaders are as important as the implementation of policies. It is only through constructive cooperation and sustained efforts that we can achieve real progress and change. Moving away from narrow nationalism, embracing multilateralism, and working together to promote global development is the future we look forward to.