Following the "Sunshine Rose" that fell off the altar and the hairy crabs that have been reduced in price this year, the strawberries that were once sold for dozens of yuan a pound at every turn, making people "unclimbable", have now also stepped down from the altar, making many people shout "Strawberry freedom has finally been realized!".”
How cheap are strawberries now?
Through the first data released by the Beijing Xinfadi wholesale market, it was found that on December 20 last year, the average price of Hongyan strawberries was as high as 25 yuan, and on December 20 this year, the average price of Hongyan strawberries was only 100 yuan catty,Compared with the same period last year, ** directly cut in half,And ** slightly higher cream strawberries, also from 265 yuan jin to 18 yuan jin, a decrease of about 30%!
Screenshot of the official website of strawberry *** in Xinfadi Wholesale Market.
The price reduction of strawberries in the wholesale market has made retail end consumers feel the benefits: according to a number of ** reports, many netizens said that "strawberries are much cheaper this year", and in Jinan, there are even consumers who say "they come to buy every day these days". In Guangzhou, according to local ** reports, the retail price of local strawberries is more than 10 yuan per catty, and the stall owner introduced that if the sales are good, they can sell more than 100 catties a day.
In addition to the difference in vintage, the specific time of market will also affect the quality of strawberries. According to the Xinmin Evening News on December 14, in a vegetable market in Shanghai, when strawberries were first listed last month, they were sold for 38 yuan catties, and now they are on the market.
The decline in the retail sales of strawberries boils down to the fact that the source of planting is cheaper: according to Red Star News, strawberry growers in Chengdu, Sichuan, Changfeng, Anhui and other regions said that the wholesale price of strawberries grown by themselves has dropped by 5 to 7 yuan per catty. According to CCTV News, a strawberry retailer in Kunming, Yunnan Province, said that the wholesale price of the strawberries it sold was about 28 yuan per kilogram last year, and it was about 21-22 yuan this year.
Why are strawberries so cheap this year, or why are they so expensive in the past?Could it be another reproduction of the story of "Sunshine Rose"?It's not that simple.
Strawberries, unlike sunshine roses
In stark contrast to the "Sunshine Rose", which originated in Japan and was later introduced to China and packaged in various legendary stories, strawberries are actually much more accessible to the people.
According to relevant information, most of the varieties of strawberries we eat daily are evolved from the hybrid varieties of Virginia strawberries and Chilean strawberries - large-fruited pineapple strawberries. So far, there are more than 20,000 strawberry varieties in the world, 200,300 new varieties cultivated by China itself and imported from abroad, and only a few dozen excellent varieties cultivated in a large area.
Strawberries in nature are supposed to be fruits that ripen in season in summer. Strawberries prefer a cool climate, neither hot nor cold, so strawberries are not suitable for growing in cold winters under natural conditions. Strawberries can be transformed from summer to winter thanks to the use of greenhouse cultivation technology.
As a result, strawberries are divided into spring and winter seasons throughout the yearSpring strawberries ripen from February to May, and winter strawberries are from December to early February.
According to relevant information, there are currently eight major strawberry producing areas in China, including Dandong, Liaoning, Changfeng, Anhui and other places, of which Dandong, Liaoning is recognized as the "national strawberry origin", and Anhui is also known as the "strawberry capital of China", with a strawberry planting area of 210,000 mu in the county. According to Banyuetan, the brand value of "Changfeng Strawberry" has jumped to 102 in 2021200 million yuan. In addition to these famous strawberry producing areas, there are many places across the country that produce local strawberries.
Only Hengnong bees.
Analysis of the development trend of China's strawberry industry and investment prospect research report (2022-2029)" showsChina's strawberry production scale ranks first in the world, accounting for more than one-third of the world's total strawberry production. From 2011 to 2020, the overall production of strawberries in China increased, and the output increased from 20090,000 tons increased to 34490,000 tons, with a compound growth rate of 6 from 2011 to 20202%。In 2021, China's strawberry production will reach 368250,000 tons.
Guanyan Report Network.
Also according to the report, from the current regional distribution of domestic strawberry production, strawberry production in the eastern region accounts for 507%, and the strawberry production in the central region accounted for 228%, and the strawberry production in the western region accounted for 128%, and the strawberry production in the Northeast accounted for 136%。According to 2018 data, among the top three provinces, the total planting area of strawberries in Shandong Province is about 500,000 muThe total area of strawberry planting in Liaoning Province is about 400,000 mu;The total area of strawberry planting in Anhui Province is about 350,000 mu.
The strawberry planting area of all provinces in the country is the first in Shenzhen Facility Agriculture Industry Association.
On the consumer side,In recent years, the demand for strawberries in China has grown rapidly, and more and more consumers have begun to love and pursue fruits with high nutritional value, according to statistics, as of 2020, the apparent demand for strawberries in China is 34430,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 523%。
Guanyan Report Network.
In recent years, the scale of strawberry production has continued to expand, and it is already in a situation of basic balance between supply and demand, coupled with the suitable climate this year, so that strawberries have ushered in an oversupply market in the near future, and there has been a decline.
Climate + expansion of production, prompting strawberry price reduction?
As mentioned above, the physique of strawberries is relatively delicate, and it is not good when the weather is hot or cold: according to research, strawberries are suitable for growing at temperatures below 15-25, and higher than 30 or lower than 8 will significantly affect their growth and development.
The reason why the price of strawberries has dropped this year is that the first climate factor is "to blame"!
According to the National Climate Center, the average temperature in November this year was 40, which is 0 higher than the same period of the year6℃。The temperature in most of Northeast China and eastern Inner Mongolia is 1 to 4 lower than that of the same period in normal years, and the temperature in most of the rest of the country is close to the same period of normal year or higher, of which the average temperature in Yunnan is the third highest in the same period since 1961, and the temperature in many places is also rare and warm in the first half of December.
It can be seen from thisDue to the overall warm climate this autumn, which is conducive to the growth and development of strawberries, the overall fruit setting rate of strawberries is high, which increases the yield of strawberries and makes the first low. This can be confirmed by the feedback of growers.
According to Xinhua**, a family farm in Yandu District, Yancheng City, has ushered in a bumper harvest of strawberries before. According to the person in charge of the farm, strawberries are generally marketed in mid to early December, and the continuous rise in temperature this autumn has allowed strawberries to grow and mature unprecedentedly, so they can enter the market in advance.
In addition to the beauty of the sky, the expansion of strawberry production this year is also one of the reasons for the price reduction. According to Xinhua**, a grower in Shatou Town, Yangzhou, said, "This year we have expanded the planting area of 3 acres, and the entire strawberry garden is currently planted with strawberries of nearly 20 acres, and now it is the first batch of fruits, with a total output of about 6,000 catties and an output value of 130,000 yuan." "According to Volkswagen**, in 2022, the strawberry planting area in Licheng District, Jinan City will be about 230,000 acres, which will be expanded to about 2 in 202380,000 acres.
The hot weather helps the strawberries grow, while the cold weather makes the strawberries have to be sold as quickly as possible. In mid-December this year, the cold wave weather in many parts of the country was severe, and strawberries were not easy to preserve, and many farmers were eager to sell strawberries before the cold wave, which also contributed to the "price reduction tide".
Then again, just like the "Sunshine Rose" ** out of grade, even in the strawberry "price reduction tide", there are still some strawberries that remain relatively strong. And with the holiday season approaching, there is still uncertainty about how long the price reduction of strawberries can last.
In this round of strawberry price reduction, there are also some platforms that are "unmoved". According to Volkswagen**,On an app, the price of pink jade strawberries is 39 per 300 grams$9;The ** of the red strawberry is 399 yuan catty, ** price is also 369 yuan catty. In this way, it is inevitable that people will suspect that "price reductions are all lonely". Even, under the downward trend of strawberry ** this year, the ** of Xiangye, Xueli Red and other varieties has increased slightly compared with last year.
Of course, the ** of agricultural products is related to a variety of factors and cannot be generalized. For example, these are new varieties that have been cultivated in recent years, with larger size, higher hardness, and good fruit color, so the price can be about 20% higher.
In addition to variety factors, the colder weather and the upcoming holiday consumption peak are all uncertain how long the price reduction of strawberries can last. According to Xinhua**, with the sudden drop in temperature in the first two days, strawberries** on the market have also rebounded. The consumption peak brought by the New Year's Day and the Spring Festival may promote the rebound of strawberries, and sales are also expected to reach a new high with the approaching holiday.
And what about after the Chinese New Year?According to Jiupai News, a wholesaler in Wuhan saidWith a large number of strawberries on the market, the ** of strawberries will decline, and it is expected that the low point will be reached after a large number of strawberries are marketed in February and March, and "strawberry freedom" will be realized at that time.
I hope that such a prediction can come true, so that everyone can eat high-quality and affordable strawberries.
Disclaimer] The content of the article is for research and study purposes only and does not constitute any investment advice.