Japan s military fee rose by 16 to catch up with Russia!For China, an even bigger crisis is yet to c

The defense budgets of the United States and Japan in 2024 have repeatedly reached new highs, with the United States reaching $880 billion, and Japan will increase by 16% on the base value in 2023.

According to Biden**, part of the increased spending is used to support Ukraine's frontline operations;Part of it is used to support military operations in Israel, the Gaza Strip;Another part is to strengthen support for intelligence acquisition in the Indo-Pacific region, whether it is human resources intelligence, technical intelligence, and so on.

The U.S. side also explained that today's $880 billion is not a widespread increase compared to the $650 billion at the beginning of Biden's presidency or at the end of Trump.

Because inflation in the United States has been relatively high in recent years, because inflation in the United States has been relatively high in recent years, reaching about 9% at the peak, and now although it has fallen, the inflation rate is probably still above 4%, which should be said to be a relatively high inflation rate.

Therefore, the $880 billion in armaments expenditure that the US military receives today is actually about the same as the $650 billion in armaments expenditure of the United States in the past. The United States says that we are not actually increasing our arms spending reserves, but that we are steadily upgrading our armaments as prices rise.

It is worth noting that Japan's dynamics are more worthy of our interpretation, and Japan's first statement in 2022 is to first name China as the highest priority target of Japan's challenges in the current Indo-Pacific security strategy.

In the past, Japan has put forward various challenges, either vaguely or targeting North Korea, North Korea's nuclear construction**, North Korea's missile test, North Korea's submarine building, North Korea's hostage-taking, and North Korea's destruction of the security environment in Northeast Asia. And then how about terrorism, and then how about the first Russian-Ukrainian war, how about Putin.

In 2022, this is the first time that China has been named and provoked, which is an unusual phenomenon.

And starting in 2022, Japan intends to increase the proportion of its armaments in GDP from 1% to 2% in about five years, that is, around 2027.

Therefore, on the basis of a substantial increase of 26% in 2023 compared to 2022, then in 2024 compared with 2023, it will increase by 16% again, so his range is still relatively large.

We know that Japan, as a defeated country, was treated differently from Germany, which was divided and occupied by several countries in 1945, but Japan was not divided and occupied, and in 1945 Germany was treated more miserably than Japan. After all, the disaster that Hitler caused to all mankind was still greater than that of Japanese militarism and fascism.

So at that time, the focus was on the Germans, the Japanese kept the integrity of the four islands, and the Germans were torn apart, but the Germans in 1955 and later, successively joined the NATO bloc, etc., and lifted many restrictions on his armaments, etc., until 1984, the European side lifted all restrictions on Germany's development of armaments, but the development of nuclear ** did not.

Theoretically speaking, Germany is now building ** fighter jets, building large aircraft carriers, and so on, and theoretically there is no problem with Germany legally. But in fact, it still doesn't work, Germany was also developing ** fighter jets at the end of the 1970s, which was forcibly stopped by the United States at that time, etc.

In any case, Germany was treated more than Japan during the Cold War, and in the 60s and 70s, he spent more than about % of GDP on armaments. After the end of the Cold War in the 90s, Germany's arms spending plummeted, from about 3% in the 80s to less than 2% in the 90s.

Merkel had just come to power at the time, and Germany's military spending in the 2000s was only 1 percent of GDPAbout 1%, he is almost the same as the 1% of Japan's defeated countries.

Japan forced that a maximum of 1% of your GDP should be spent on armaments, but because of the Cold War, Japan has developed into the second largest economic power, and it surpassed the Soviet Union in the 1980s, so 1% at that time was a lot.

Therefore, at the end of the 1980s, Japan's armament expenditure was second only to that of the United States and the Soviet Union, and in the 90s, Japan, by virtue of its status as the No. 2 economic power, ranked second in the world in armament expenditure, surpassing Russia, France, and the United Kingdom, even according to the ratio of 1 percent.

In recent years, as the scale of Japan's economy has begun to decline relatively, and it has lost the relatively slow development of the past two or three decades, the United States may feel that the time has finally come to increase the proportion of Japan's arms spending, to 2 percent.

2% is the general standard of NATO, and NATO requires all member states to spend no less than 2% of GDP on defense. Of course, some countries did not do it, such as Italy and Germany, which were defeated in World War II. Both England and France are in 25% or so, the U.S. is above 3% and so on.

This time the ratio of breaking through 1 percent and clearly reaching 2 percent has actually opened up Japan's so-called post-World War II arms restrictions, and since it can be lifted to 2 percent, it is not an inconceivable phenomenon that the United States can reach 3 percent.

Once it reaches 3%, Japan's armament spending will also exceed 130 billion US dollars, which is a very large amount of armaments expenditure, Russia is now, Putin's armaments expenditure next year will increase by 1 3 compared to 2023 in 2024, and his armaments expenditure will only be about 90 billion US dollars when converted into US dollars.

Once Japan liberalizes its armament spending, even if it is only 2 percent now, its total armament expenditure will reach the level of Russia next year. Therefore, Japan's status as an economic power, coupled with the lifting of the embargo on his armament spending, so his influence cannot be ignored, this is the first point.

What is the second point, the Patriot 3 missiles made in Japan can be exported to the United States, this is an important breakthrough, what did it mean before, Japan is not allowed to export **, now Japan has played a side ball, the Patriot missiles were originally American, and the Patriot missiles authorized me to produce, and then I will give me the Patriot missiles produced by the United States and sell them back to the Americans.

Strictly speaking, Japan cannot export, but Japan says that this is the first of the United States. There are many such things as authorized production, you are like the Chinese Thunder Dragon fighter, which is authorized to Pakistan to produce, and there are many Chinese rocket artillery, which is authorized to be produced in Turkey, authorized to be produced in Belarus, and so on.

So what's the point?In fact, the significance is also relatively significant, you must know what the United States lacks in the military industry now, what it lacks is production and manufacturing capacity. Take American shipbuilding as an example, why does he have such a high cost of a **, a DDG-1000 destroyer ** is as high as 3 billion US dollars, a Ford-class aircraft carrier is 12 billion US dollars, and a nuclear submarine is now as high as 2.5-3 billion US dollars, why is he so expensive?

Because the U.S. civilian shipbuilding industry has been missing, in the 80s and 2000s, with the withering of the U.S. civilian manufacturing shipbuilding industry, his military and civilian use is ** to one, not completely separated. Because if your civilian shipbuilding industry withers, then it will be difficult for your military shipbuilding industry to recruit qualified workers.

Why can the production of F35** fighters be pressed below 100 million US dollars, and why is the ** of destroyers very high, because Boeing's civil aviation manufacturing industry is still there, so the entire industrial chain is relatively complete, and the quality and quantity of workers are not lacking.

But if you find a lack of civilian shipbuilding, the military shipbuilding department will not be able to recruit suitable workers with skilled shipbuilding skills. Therefore, the civilian industry and the military industry in the United States are not completely separated, and they are a relationship that influences and complements each other.

Therefore, the shipbuilding industry of the United States is withering, not that the shipbuilding technology of the United States has seriously declined, etc., our navy, from the perspective of surface warships, may have achieved a reversal of the United States, 055 has achieved a reversal of Arleigh Burke 3, and 055 has achieved a reversal of Arleigh Burke 3.

However, the advantages of the United States' nuclear submarines and aircraft carriers over us are still quite obvious, and the Virginia-class nuclear submarines of the United States, the Bolck4 and Bolck5, may still have a relatively obvious advantage over our latest 093B, and the Ford-class of the United States still have a relatively obvious advantage over our latest Fujian ship, which has not yet entered service.

Therefore, the United States is not a lack of technology, it is a lack of production capacity and industrial system, and Japan can make up for this in the United States. Japan has the world's third largest shipbuilding industry, second only to China and South Korea, and its industrial system is second only to the United States in Western countries, which is more complete, larger and more systematic than Germany. His population is also larger than in Germany, about 50% larger.

Therefore, Japan's docking of its own industrial production capacity with that of the United States may be a particularly powerful supplement to the United States' leading industry. In the past, the United States guarded against Japan's particularly high-tech technology, and Japan had long wanted to produce American F35 fighters, and it also wanted to move the F22 production line to Japan to produce it, but the United States guarded against it and did not agree.

The production line of the most advanced technology in the United States cannot be moved to Japan here, but you see the Patriot missile it is allowed to be produced, why?After all, it is a relatively defensive technology, and it is not as sensitive as a ** fighter. Will the United States move part of the production line of destroyers, even aircraft carriers, and even frigates to Japan or South Korea in the future to assist the United States in production?

That is also possible, I think it is not only realistic, but also the best means for the two sides to achieve complementarity, Japan and South Korea have advanced industrialization systems, skilled and high-quality manufacturing workers, and the United States has technology, so the complementarity between the two sides is still relatively in place.

I believe that in the long run, the United States, Japan, and the ROK will not only move toward intelligence integration and military-strategic integration, but the key is that they will move toward the integration of the military industry.

Thank you for watching, and we'll see you next time.

Project Sword