On 19 November, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict lasted 44 days.
On this day, both US ** Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have expressed their views on the consequences of the war, and both seem to think that they have seized the initiative. However, it also suggests that the Israeli-Palestinian situation is becoming more critical: the scale and intensity of the conflict will continue to rise.
1. Biden claims that the Palestinian people have the right to have their own state, Netanyahu: The Israeli army wants to eliminate the military threat in Gaza, and Fatah cannot take over Gaza On November 19, local time, Biden published an article on the Palestinian-Israeli conflict in the Washington Post, emphasizing his firm support for Israel and opposing the current ceasefire.
He wrote:
Unless Hamas abandons its destructive ideology, a ceasefire – will not bring peace.
For Hamas members, every ceasefire is an opportunity to replenish rockets, adjust combat deployments and prepare for killing. In other words, Hamas's continued control of Gaza will only fuel hatred and deprive Palestinian civilians of the opportunity to pursue a better future.
Therefore, the Palestinian people deserve their own country and a future free from Hamas.
And our goal should not be a temporary cessation of war, but a permanent cessation of war ......to prevent history from repeating itself. And the way to achieve this goal is two nations, two states. Gaza and the West Bank must be united under a unified governing body, eventually under a new Palestinian Authority. ”
Obviously, there are at least two very key expressions of Biden's words:
The first is that it should not be a temporary cessation of war, but a permanent cessation of war – which means that the United States supports Israel in its quest for absolute security. But is it possible?Perhaps at this moment, the United States remembered the tragedy of the Indians.
The second, the new Palestinian Authority — a term that has too much room for interpretation, will be mentioned below.
At the same time, Netanyahu also began to talk about the post-war situation.
"As for the post-war, the IDF will operate freely in the Gaza Strip to deal with any threat," he said. Only in this way can we guarantee the demilitarization of Gaza. In short, the objectives of the military operation remain unchanged, namely, to completely eliminate Hamas, to free the hostages and to ensure that there are no more forces in the Gaza Strip that threaten the security of the State of Israel.
At the same time, the Palestinian National Authority is unable to take over Gaza in its current state.
Should we hand them over (to Gaza) after we have completed all the events and battles?Abbas has not dared to condemn what [Hamas] has done to the Jews for 43 days......These must change. ”
It is said that this is the map that Netanyahu presented to the world at the UN General Assembly in September this year.
Obviously, a closer look reveals that it is not so much a clear disagreement between Biden and Netanyahu as a clever fit-in-progress.
Why?
In fact, on November 14, local time, American journalist and Pulitzer Prize winner Seymour Hersh once again broke the news about the Palestinian-Israeli conflict on the portal **substack:
Israel wants to control access to and from Gaza and the border with Egypt that Egypt previously controlled. The aim is to control smuggling into Gaza, but this should not be done by the inhabitants of the area.
Meanwhile, Mohammed Dahran, the former leader of the Fatah Youth Organization, is being considered for the new leadership of the Palestinian Authority, and the Israelis have already mentioned him.
What's more, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ignored the opinion of the United States** who visited the country. Because there is a power vacuum in Washington, there is no one to manage the process, they do everything just to get re-election. It's scary and shameful. “
Since the conflict, Republicans, led by Trump, have also been staunch in their support for Israel.
It can be said that if you observe carefully, it is not difficult to find that so far, Biden and Netanyahu are highly consistent: it is nothing more than that the former speaks more tactfully and beautifully. The latter is more direct and domineering.
From this point of view, there is reason not to underestimate the determination of Netanyahu and Biden not to underestimate this time. Because, for the United States, it cannot take advantage of the Taiwan Strait, and it is also not good to please Ukraine, so if you want to consolidate its hegemony, the best focus is actually to help Israel become the king of the Middle East. As for Israel, 90% of the road ahead has been taken, will it give up easily?
Obviously, against this backdrop, although the UN Security Council adopted a long-term ceasefire agreement for the first time, it does not mean that a ceasefire can be counted on at this stage - in fact, four days have passed, Israel is still carrying out air strikes, ground operations are still expanding, and the situation between Palestine and Israel is becoming more and more serious.
2. For Bale, the greater danger may not come from the Israel Defense Forces, but from the US ** team Since the conflict, it is widely believed that the US ** team has not directly intervened in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, but has only sent at least two aircraft carrier battle groups and replenished ammunition for Israel many times. Although both Hamas and Iran have repeatedly mentioned that the US team has entered the war.
But is this perception really accurate?
At the moment, it is highly likely that it is incorrect.
Because the probability that the U.S. Marine Corps infantry has entered Gaza is relatively high. Even, there have been reports from the United States and the West that the US military is being asked to fight for Israel.
In fact, as early as November 13, local time, the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service publicly disclosed that the United States was asking Israel to speed up the process of bulldozing Gaza:
The US authorities have recently called for a 'humanitarian moratorium' and restrictions on shelling areas against the backdrop of fears that more than 10,000 Palestinians have been killed as a result of IDF attacks – but this is just a customary dose of hypocrisy. Because according to our intelligence, the fact is that the Americans are having a completely different conversation with Israel 'behind closed doors.'" ”
And if the intelligence of Russia and Iran needs to be questioned, then what about the news from the United States and Israel?
It is reported that on November 12, local time, the mainstream ** New York Times reported that five US Army special forces personnel were killed in a *** crash in the eastern Mediterranean.
At the same time, the White House has previously admitted that its special forces have arrived in Israel and are responsible for assisting the Israeli army in rescuing the hostages.
In addition, on the same day, Israel**, with the permission to publish, revealed: American General Thomas Hurley was killed in a tank mass** that occurred in the Israeli army in Gaza. General Hurley is a senior expert on guerrilla warfare at the Institute for Military Strategic Studies of the US Department of Defense and participated in the Iran-Afghanistan War.
What's more, it is understood that the U.S. Marine Corps is the only force that can intervene in the war without congressional authorization. Although not many people went, it is difficult to guarantee that the United States and Israel are hoping to change the tide of the war with hundreds of elites. After all, the U.S. Marine Corps infantry can still fight tough battles compared to Israeli infantry.
In other words, it is not excluded that the US Marine Corps has already joined the front, or will join next, in order to speed up the process. This, of course, is likely to lead to a further escalation of the situation.
Reuters archives, 2013: Joint exercises between the U.S. Marine Corps and the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) in a simulated Arab village in Zeelim, southern Israel.
Conclusion All indications show that the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is indeed very complex and severe. The main reason for this is that the United States and Israel are very determined and resolute to bulldoze Gaza. In other words, although there has been little change on the front lines in the past two days, the conflict has buffered and escalated, and it is inevitable that the conflict will escalate.
In short, an early end to the conflict is expected.