Introduction: The South China Sea issue has always been the focus of attention of the international community, and recently the Philippines has once again become a big fan of the South China Sea arbitration case, ignoring the three conditions. This article will delve into the reasons behind the Philippine action and its possible impact from the aspects of the Philippines' motives, the attitude of its traditional ally, the United States, and the response of ASEAN countries.
At the APEC summit, Marcos Marcos of the Philippines expressed concern about China's behavior in his speech and said that the Philippines would not give up its territorial struggle. He claimed that China had cornered the Philippines and hoped for support from the United States and ASEAN countries. Marcos' remarks demonstrate the Philippines' resolute stance on the South China Sea issue, and also reveal the Philippines' expectations for the support of the United States and ASEAN countries, which will have an important impact on the progress of the South China Sea issue.
The failure of the Philippines to meet with China at the APEC summit has had a certain impact on the Philippines. Biden's refusal to meet with Marcos has led the Philippines to believe that the United States may not deliver on its promises in the event of a future conflict with China. Since previous attempts to provoke China's territorial sovereignty have not worked, the Philippines has now decided to rally other countries into confrontation with China by undermining the development of a code of conduct in the South China Sea. Although the Philippines' motives are debatable, they hope to consolidate their position in the South China Sea in this way.
However, the Philippines' departure from the framework of the Code of Conduct in the South China Sea is contrary to the spirit of the Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea, and it is unlikely that all ASEAN countries will respond to it. Other countries have extensive cooperation with China and will not introduce confrontation into ASEAN. The Philippines' ineffective actions will only isolate them from the international community and run counter to the original intent of the Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea, which the Philippines and China co-promote.
The Philippines is trying to co-opt other countries to encroach on Chinese territory, but such actions are meaningless. Any guidelines that bypass China are in vain, and everything is in vain without China's consent. The Philippines wants to muddy the waters completely, but that is a betrayal of the Declaration. The Philippines should resolve disputes through dialogue and consultation, rather than stirring up the situation to achieve its own interests.
The Philippine move is related to Marcos's pursuit of the United States and the game of political forces in the Philippines. After Deputy Duterte announced that he would not participate in the next election, the political influence and policies of the Philippines will be affected. Through this operation, the Philippines** hopes to stabilize the internal situation and enhance its standing in the domestic and international political arena.
Summary:. However, the Philippines' actions will only isolate it from the international community and violate the code of conduct in the South China Sea, which it promotes with China. The Philippines' motives are related to Marcos's following of the United States and internal political power play, and its actual influence and policies will likely be affected by Deputy Duterte's announcement that he will not run for the next term. The Philippines should resolve the South China Sea dispute through dialogue and consultation, rather than pursuing its own interests by insisting on going its own way.