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Title: China and Vietnam on a "Community with a Shared Future"!The Philippines is dumbfounded, what should I do if I sniff the wind alone?
Recently, the sudden escalation of Sino-Vietnamese relations seems to have dropped a shock bomb on the entire Southeast Asian region. As a blogger who focuses on military international relations, I immediately focused on this high-profile topic, and wanted to dig deeper into the strategic mysteries of it, what caused this earth-shaking change in Sino-Vietnamese relations?
The new positioning of China and Vietnam: to build a "community with a shared future".
First of all, let us review the new positioning recently announced by China and Vietnam, which is to jointly build a strategically important "China-Vietnam community with a shared future" on the basis of deepening the China-Vietnam comprehensive strategic cooperative partnership. This statement is not only a redefinition of bilateral relations, but also a strategic shock to the entire Southeast Asian region.
Echoing the previous escalation of relations between the United States and Vietnam, the wording of a "community with a shared future" between China and Vietnam seems rather rare. We know that previously only Cambodia, Myanmar, Indonesia, Laos, Mongolia, Pakistan and other countries enjoyed this treatment, and almost all of them were China's neighbors. This means that China is willing to use affectionate terms like "community with a shared future" to describe its friendly relations with its neighbors to show its concern for them.
Speak highly of Vietnam: comrades plus brothers.
What is striking is that the Chinese side has a very high opinion of Vietnam, calling it "a comrade and brother politically and securely, based on the common ideology of socialism". This is a very significant political statement, which shows the high degree of ideological compatibility between China and Vietnam. Vietnam's high-profile response also echoes China's initiative at a critical moment, showing the historic choice Vietnam has made.
Looking back at the prelude to Biden's visit to Vietnam, Vietnam stressed that it would not take sides, but this time there has been a clear shift in attitude, prioritizing the development of relations with China over a top priority and strategic choice. At a time when the situation in Southeast Asia is changing, it is timely for China-Vietnam relations to escalate. The United States has always wanted to see Vietnam as a key link in containing China and influencing Southeast Asia, and the escalation of Sino-Vietnamese relations has undoubtedly had a certain impact on the strategic structure of the United States in the region.
The geopolitical importance of Vietnam: a location that should not be underestimated.
From a geopolitical point of view, Vietnam is second only to the Korean Peninsula in importance, which is the fundamental reason why the United States launched the Vietnam War after suffering losses on the Korean battlefield. Vietnam has been careful for years to maintain a balance between China and the United States, paying homage to China while taking advantage of improved relations with the United States. Now, however, Vietnam seems to be sensing a change in the direction of the wind, and the danger of starting to oscillate between China and the United States is becoming more apparent.
The Philippines' dilemma: caught in the shadow of Sino-Vietnamese escalation.
Against the backdrop of escalating Sino-Vietnamese relations, the Philippines cannot help but find itself in a dilemma. Once a leading U.S. bastion in the Indo-Pacific region, the Philippines has repeatedly caused trouble in the South China Sea, but now it is suddenly showing signs of enlightenment. The Tigrao scholar's statement pointed to the Philippines being ridiculed as an "ignorant and naïve fool" and expressed concern about the country's madness. This shift could mean that the Philippines is rethinking its national image and beginning to recognize the reality in front of it.
China-Vietnam Join Forces: Isolate the U.S.-Philippines Alliance?
We can't help but wonder if the escalation of Sino-Vietnamese relations means that China and Vietnam will join forces to isolate the US-Philippine allianceIn fact, Vietnam's statement shows a reorientation of its relations with China, which may constrain U.S. influence in Southeast Asia. At this time, we can foresee how China and Vietnam will strengthen their relationship in the future, and whether this will be a precursor to isolating other jumping countries.
Summary and Prospects: The Need to Maintain Regional Stability.
All things considered, the upgrading of Sino-Vietnamese relations has had a far-reaching impact on the pattern of international relations. As a blogger who focuses on military international relations, I deeply feel that this is a topic worth digging into. On the basis of respecting historical facts, we need to deeply analyze the new trends in China-Vietnam relations and their strategic significance for the entire Southeast Asian region. At the same time, we also need to be vigilant about the possible impact of various variables and look at future development rationally.
For the Philippines, the current dilemma may require a more cautious choice. Against the backdrop of the escalation of Sino-Vietnamese relations, the Philippines should prepare for the worst and be cautious about possible changes in the future. At this time, it is particularly important to maintain regional peace and stability, and all countries need to work together on the basis of mutual respect to jointly build a harmonious Southeast Asian region.
As a reader who is interested in this area, what do you think about the escalation of Sino-Vietnamese relations?How do you think the Philippines should respond in the current situation?Welcome to share your views and opinions in the comment area, and let's work together to ** this international issue that has attracted much attention.