In the past seven days, the Myanmar side has been slow to hand over the Chinese wanted Paek Socheng and other leaders of the wire fraud, which has raised questions. By contrast, the Burmese army succeeded in arresting and handing over the four men just four days after China issued an arrest warrant for the Ming family leader last month. So why is the situation different this time, the attitude of the Myanmar side has changed drastically, not only has it not taken action, but it has not even issued a wanted warrant?This article will examine this issue and analyze the background to explain the reasons behind Myanmar's attitude.
After the Ming family's wanted warrant was issued, the Kokang Lao Cai authorities acted quickly to arrest and hand over the head of the Ming family. They hope to gain China's support through this move to reverse the current unfavorable situation in the war. However, due to the serious unfavorable military situation in the Kokang area, the Burmese army has been losing and retreating, and they have gradually realized that even if they submit the top ten electric fraud leaders such as Bai Socheng, they will not be able to change the current situation in Kokang. Faced with the possibility of conflict with the four major families, the Burmese army may think that such actions will only cause self-harm, and it is better to let Bai Socheng and other leaders continue to deal with the allied forces.
At present, the Tatmadaw and the allied forces are engaged in peace talks, and the allied forces may demand that the Tatmadaw withdraw from Kokang Old Street. This demand may make the Tatmadaw reluctant to engage in large-scale clashes in Lao Cai so as not to adversely affect the peace talks. The Tatmadaw may be preparing to evacuate Kokang Lao Cai and is therefore not interested in the conflict with the four major families. When the Burmese army is under pressure from the allied forces and cannot protect itself, they may choose to leave Lao Cai after the peace talks, so they have no incentive to capture the leaders of the four major families, which makes it difficult for them to take decisive action.
Bai Suocheng announced that he would spend 10 million yuan in cash to reward the soldiers who fought bravely on the battlefield, and said that he would live and die with Lao Cai, promising never to escape or surrender. To motivate his troops, he developed a lucrative reward program that offered cash rewards to soldiers and generals who had successfully repelled the Confederates. This decision showed his firm determination and asked the soldiers to work together to defend Lao Cai. Bai Socheng invested heavily in consolidating the support of Lao Cai and actively stimulating the fighting spirit of all parties.
Bai Socheng spared no effort to defend the Lao Cai area, declared a decisive battle with the Allied forces, and offered a huge cash reward for the death of the commander-in-chief of the Allied forces, Peng Deren. This shows that Bai Socheng has a certain amount of financial resources and influence, and can mobilize the forces of the Lao Cai area to a certain extent, and form a certain pressure on the allied forces.
At present, the Burmese army in Kokang Lao Cai is under pressure from the allied forces, and it is difficult to protect itself. At the same time, the militia of the four major families is strong, and if the Tatmadaw wants to capture their leaders, there is a risk of fierce clashes. Considering the critical situation of the Tatmadaw army in Lao Cai, they may choose to leave Lao Cai after the peace talks, so they have no incentive to capture the leaders of the four major families.
The Burmese army may be weighing whether the conflict against the allies and the four great families is worth the risk. They may think that the cost of confrontation with the four major families is too high, and the impact on their own interests is greater, so it is better to let Bai Suocheng and other telefraud leaders deal with the alliance forces for them. On the other hand, they may be preparing for the evacuation of Kokang Lao Cai and are not interested in the conflict with the four major families.
1.The Burmese side hopes to gain China's support, but realizes that even the arrest of the top 10 leaders will not be able to change the unfavorable situation of the war.
2.The Burmese side may not want to engage in large-scale clashes in Lao Cai and affect the progress of the peace talks.
3. Bai Suocheng invested heavily in consolidating Lao Cai, showing his determination and influence.
4. The Burmese side is facing a difficult situation, and the arrest of the leaders of the four major families may bring greater difficulties and losses.
5.The Burmese army may be considering whether it is worth risking a clash with the four major families rather than opting to evacuate Kokang Lao Cai after peace talks.
Based on the above analysis, the reason for the drastic change in the attitude of the Burmese side may be that considering the current predicament and future developments, as well as the progress of peace talks with the allies, they may believe that the capture of the leaders of the four major families will have a greater impact on their own interests and is unwilling to take risks. In this case, they may be more inclined to continue to cooperate with blackmail leaders such as Bai Socheng in the hope of turning the tide of the war. Of course, this is just a personal opinion and more information is needed to get the full picture.