This yearCornBumper harvest and more than 10 million tons, the gap is reduced: this yearCornThe production is high and exceeds 100 million tons, which makes the market sufficient and the gap reduced, thus putting pressure on the market. There is a trend of expanding imported grain: the recent import of grain has been arriving at the port for unloading in a steady stream, and the first is low, which has increased the competitive pressure in the market. Official forces have not intervened for the time being: ** No measures have been taken to intervene in the market, which makes itMarket economyThe performance is more pronounced, and market confidence is unstable.
Lack of confidence and willingness to build inventory: Lack of confidence in market prospects and reluctance to build a large amount of inventory. This, coupled with weak downstream demand, has led to a downturn in the market. The grassroots grain storage is huge, and the risk of concentrated grain supply is skyrocketing: farmers have huge grain storage, and once a large number of farmers are listed and the harvest period overlaps, it may lead to a surplus and increase the pressure.
For nowCornThe market is constrained by the above several prerequisites, so in the short termCornThere is no substantial basis. However, it is to be expectedChinese New YearThere will be a wave of phases before, but if you don't intervene in the marketCorn** Possible "crash" again.
The weather forecast shows that a new round of snowfall is coming: snowfall is conducive to the short-term, but it is also easy to lead to a concentration of grain sales and a surplus situation. The rotation of the reserve is low, and the quality requirements are strict: the rotation of the reserve is lower than expected, but the quality requirements are higher, which shows that the grain holders still have a strong willingness to ship and lack confidence. At the same time, ** has no will to support the city for the time being, and may even let itCorn** Return to 11 yuan catty position to promote ** back to a reasonable range. Many grain depots, enterprises and merchants have signed orders, resulting in limited demand: Recently, many grain depots, enterprises and merchants have signed orders to lock in grain prices in advance, which has led to further shrinking market demand.
Although in the recent pastWheatIt's faster, but I personally think this ** is a bit vain. Because there is no shortage of inventory in milling enterprises at present, the fast *** may be the mentality of the bosses who cut leeks. Before the end of the month, thinkWheat**will continue** repeatedly, but **will be gradual** as the market surplus decreases.
Officials may not carry out large-scale auction placements for the time being, but will complete their unfinished rotation tasks first. This yearWheatThe market is affected by many factors, which is relatively special, from the perspective of mentality, supply and demand environment and policy levelWheatofChinese New YearBoth before and after are favored. Although it may be suppressed under the influence of the phased panic sale of grain, it will gradually be suppressed as the surplus grain in the market gradually decreases. It is recommended that the boss who has grain in his hand should wait patiently if there is no problem in terms of mentality, funds, venue and grain quality, and for the boss who has no conditions, it is recommended to cash out in time.
After entering the middle and late half of the year,CornThere is a base, but the increase is limited. After entering January, even if there isChinese New YearThe stimulation of stocking, enterprises will inevitably trigger the outbreak of centralized sales, so inChinese New YearFront pairCornThe direction of the market is difficult to judge. It is recommended that the boss who is willing to ship lower his psychological expectations and do not expect to be able to significantly **. As forWheatThe market, despite the recent emergence of **, I personally think that this ** may not last, **will be repeated**, but as the market ** decreases, **will gradually**.