At present, many Taiwanese politicians still believe that Taiwan will continue in the next few years or even decades. This concept shows that the politicians on the island have a distant understanding of the issue of cross-strait reunification. In contrast, many Taiwan scholars have begun to think about the future of Taiwan, especially the fierce game in the Taiwan Strait in 2024. Former Secretary General of the KuomintangCai ZhengyuanSpeaking of Taiwan, he said: "Taiwan will continue to be carried out, because it is difficult for cross-strait relations to seek independence and reunification, and the status quo between the two sides of the strait will only continue." In other wordsCai ZhengyuanIt is believed that the status quo between the two sides of the strait will continue indefinitely. WhyCai ZhengyuanWhat do you think about?
Cai ZhengyuanIt is believed that the reason why the two sides of the strait have not yet achieved reunification is that both sides of the strait lack a "motherland consciousness." Although many young people on the island of Taiwan harbor a strong ""Thoughts, but they don't want to do it for"."And sacrifice your own life. Therefore,Cai ZhengyuanTo think that the pursuit of independence is nothing but a self-deception. When referring to the continent,Cai Zhengyuan"Although the mainland has sufficient troops to reunify Taiwan, the mainland seems to lack passionate emotions and a call for being willing to sacrifice everything to achieve the reunification of the motherland, so the mainland can only call for peaceful reunification," he claimed. "YesCai ZhengyuanMainland netizens responded to the view that young people on the mainland are unwilling to sacrifice to achieve the reunification of the motherland, saying, "This is just a trick by the mainland that does not want to be in the United States."Martial artsIt's not that hard. Even if the mainland has not yet resorted to force, this does not mean that there is no way to do it, and the mainland is not willing to take such a step. Chinese fight Chinese. The views of netizens actually point out the essence of the problem, that is, the issue of reunification is not only a matter of military strength, but also involves the issue of governance after reunification. If Taiwan's continued hostility and populist incitement continues, reunification by force is only a matter of time.
As a matter of fact, if the two sides of the strait take over Taiwan by force, I believe that many people will respond to the call and resolutely support the state's decision. Cai ZhengyuanThe view is a bit narrow. withCai ZhengyuanThe view that "the status quo between the two sides of the strait will be maintained" is oppositeMa Ying-jeouYang Yongming, secretary general of Taiwan's "National Security Council" during his administration, said: "Taiwan may be the last in 2024, depending on the election next year." IfLai QingdeIf elected, it is very likely that the leader of the 520 Taiwan region will fall into a period of turmoil before taking office. While a period of turmoil does not necessarily escalate into war, it can be a prelude to war. It can be said that Yang Yongming's view is relatively more sober, and he sees the reality that the status quo on Taiwan is unsustainable. Next yearLai QingdeThe election will be an important variable. As a matter of fact, the initiative for cross-strait reunification is in the hands of the mainland, which mainly refers to the mainland's power to promote cross-strait reunification according to the timing and manner. The fact that the mainland did not adopt force for reunification in the past does not mean that it will not do so in the future. Cai ZhengyuanThere is no real understanding of the inevitability of the mainland's reunification of the motherland.
For the cross-strait situation and the future of Taiwan **, beforeMa Ying-jeou** Director of HealthYang Zhiliangthinks: "There is no need to wait for the moment of armed reunification of the mainland, Taiwan society may collapse from within, because the corruption problem of the *** authorities is serious, and once a crisis appears, they will have the opportunity to make a big profit." On the other hand, the opposition parties have different aspirations, attack each other, and are unable to put forward political opinions that the people really care about, and are destined to be unable to support the figures who are stirring up trouble. ”Yang ZhiliangHe believes that "the reunification of the two sides of the strait will come sooner or later, and even if the mainland does not take the initiative to adopt reunification by force, the reunification forces will gradually rise within the island." This is a point worth pondering, because the status quo on Taiwan is no longer what it used to beAsian Tigersis leading the way, but is constantly going into decline. No matter what kind of thinking one holds, the trend of cross-strait reunification is irreversible. Cai ZhengyuanIt is wrong, and the two sides of the strait will be reunified, and they will inevitably be reunified!
Cai ZhengyuanIt is believed that the attitude of young people on both sides of the strait is one of the key factors affecting the process of cross-strait reunification. He noted that despite the fact that there is a strong ""Thoughts, but they don't come to fruition"."And at the expense of life. In other words, they are not hungry for unity enough to trigger action. This situation makes the strategy of seeking independence futile in the first place.
However, withCai ZhengyuanThe opposing point of view is the attitude of young people on the mainland. Cai ZhengyuanHe claimed that young people on the mainland lacked the will to sacrifice for the reunification of the motherland. However, mainland netizens responded directly to this, saying that the mainland does not want to fall into the calculations between China and the United States, and it is by no means difficult to adopt military reunification. As a matter of fact, the issue of governance after the reunification of force is an important issue that the mainland needs to consider. If Taiwan's hostility to the mainland continues and the populist posture continues to develop, reunification by force is only a matter of time. The attitude of young people on the mainland is not the sameCai ZhengyuanAs they believe, they are indeed willing to make sacrifices for the reunification of the motherland.
Therefore,Cai ZhengyuanThe view is somewhat narrow. WhileMa Ying-jeouDuring the period, Yang Yongming, secretary general of Taiwan's "National Security Council," had a more sober view. He believes that Taiwan **could be the last**, especially ifLai QingdeIf elected, Taiwan could be plunged into a period of turmoil before he is sworn in. While periods of turmoil do not necessarily escalate into war, the signs of crisis are already emerging. This once again shows that the status quo on Taiwan is not sustainable. The dominance of cross-strait reunification is in the hands of the mainland, but there are differences on the question of when and in what way to promote reunification. Translation:
nowadays,itisverylikelythatmanytaiwanesepoliticiansstillholdthebelieforideathatthe"elections"ontheislandwillcontinueforthenextfour,eight,orevenmoreyears.inotherwords,thesepoliticianssubconsciouslybelievethatthereunificationacrossthetaiwanstraitisadistantprospect.inthecurrenttensesituationinthetaiwanstraitandduringtheintensebattleofthe2024"election"ontheisland,manytaiwanesescholarsarealreadythinkingaboutthefutureoftheisland's"elections".caizhengyuan,formersecretary-generalofthekuomintang(kmt),hasalwaysbeenconcernedaboutthesituationinthetaiwanstraitandthefutureofcross-straitrelations.whentalkingaboutthe"election"ontheisland,caizhengyuanstated,"theelectionsontheislandwillcontinuebecauseintermsofcross-straitrelations,'taiwanindependence'isimpossibleandunificationisalsoimpossible.thecurrentcross-straitsituationwillcontinuetobedelayed."inotherwords,caizhengyuanbelievesthat"thecurrentcross-straitsituationwillcontinueindefinitely."whydoescaizhengyuanholdsuch**iew?incaizhengyuan'sopinion,thereasonwhythetwosidesofthetaiwanstraith**enotyetbeenunifiedisthatbothsideslacka"senseofbelongingtothemotherland".althoughmanyyoungpeopleontheislandh**eastrong"taiwanindependence"ideology,theyarenotwillingtosacrificetheirlivesfor"taiwanindependence".therefore,thedemocraticprogressiveparty'spursuitofindependenceisultimatelyaself-deception.whenitcomestothemainland,caizhengyuanclaims,"althoughthemainlandhasalargepopulationanddoesnotneedmuchmilitaryforcetounifytaiwan,thereisnopassionateemotionandwillingnesstosacrificetheirlivestoachievethereunificationofthemotherland.sothemainlandcanonlycallforpeacefulreunification."inresponsetocaizhengyuan'sviewpointthatmainlandyouthsareunwillingtosacrificethemselvesforthereunificationofthemotherland,mainlandnetizensdirectlycountered,stating,"itisjustthatthemainlanddoesnotwanttofallintothetrapoftheunitedstates'conspiracy.ifmilitaryreunificationisreallyneeded,itwillnotbedifficult.themainlandhasnotexhaustedalloptionsandisstillnotwillingtotakethisstep.chinesepeoplefightingagainstchinesepeople.""itisnotamatterofmilitaryforcebuttheissueofgovernanceaftermilitaryreunification.iftaiwancontinueswithitshostileeducationandpopulistshape,themilitaryreunificationwillalsobeamatteroftime".therealityisjustlikethis.ifitdoescometothestepofusingmilitaryforcetounifytaiwan,ibelievethatmanypeoplewillrespondtothecallandfirmlysupportthecountry'sdecision.caizhengyuan'sviewpointisabitnarrow.incontrasttocaizhengyuan'sviewthat"thecurrentsituationbetweenthetwosideswillcontinueindefinitely,"yangyongming,formersecretary-generalofthenationalsecuritycouncilduringthemaying-jeouadministration,believesthat"the2024'election'ontheislandcouldbethelastone,dependingontheelectionoutcomenextyear.iflaiching-teiselected,thereisahighpossibilityofenteringaperiodofturbulencebeforehisinaugurationonmay20.althoughtheturbulencemaynotescalateintoawar,itcouldbeapreludetowar."yangyongming'sviewismorerealistic,asheseestheunsustainabilityofthecurrentsituationontheisland.theinitiativeforreunificationisinthehandsofthemainland,mainlyreferringtothetimingandmethodsofpromotingreunification.thefactthatthemainlandhasnotusedmilitaryforceinthepastdoesnotmeanitwon'tinthefuture.caizhengyuanfundamentallymisunderstandstheinevitabilityofreunificationforthemotherland.regardingthefutureofthesituationacrossthetaiwanstraitandthe"elections"ontheisland,yangzhiliang,formerdirector-generalofthedepartmentofhealthinthemaying-jeouadministration,believesthat"wedon'th**etowaituntilthemainlandusesmilitaryforcetoreunifytaiwan;thetaiwansocietymightcollapsefromwithinbecauseoftheseverecorruptionissuesofthedppauthorities.onceacrisisemerges,theywillh**eanopportunitytomakeafortune.asfortheoppositionparty,severalindividualsh**edifferentambitionsandattackeachother,unabletopresentpoliciesthattrulyconcernthepublic.theyaredoomedtofailtoestablishsignificantfigureswhocanmakew**es."yangzhiliangbelievesthat"reunificationacrossthetaiwanstraitwillinevitablycome,andevenifitisnotthemainlandthattakestheinitiativetousemilitaryforce,therewillgraduallyemergeforcesinthetaiwansocietythatadvocatereunification."thisisathought-provokin**iewpointbecausethesituationontheislandisnolongertheleaderofthefourasiantigers,butratheragradualdecline.regardlessofone'sstandpoint,thetrendofreunificationbetweenthetwosidesisirreversible.caizhengyuanismistaken,andtheunificationbetweenthetwosideswillinevitablyoccur!
regardingtheattitudesofyoungpeopleacrossthetaiwanstraitbeingakeyfactorinfluencingthereunificationprocess,caizhengyuanbelievesthattheattitudesofyoungpeopleontheislandarenotenoughtotriggeractualactionsforreunification.however,theattitudesofyoungpeopleonthemainlandaredifferentfromwhatcaizhengyuanbelieves.caizhengyuanclaimsthatyoungpeopleonthemainlandlackthewillingnesstosacrificeforthereunificationofthemotherland.however,mainlandnetizensrespondeddirectly,indicatingthatthemainlanddoesnotwanttofallintothecalculationoftheunitedstatesandthatmilitaryreunificationisnotdifficult.infact,governanceaftermilitaryreunificationissomethingthemainlandneedstoconsider.iftaiwancontinuestobehostiletowardsthemainlandandpopulismcontinuestodevelop,militaryreunificationisonlyamatteroftime.theattitudeofyoungpeopleonthemainlandisnotascaizhengyuanbelieves.theyareindeedwillingtosacrificeforthereunificationofthemotherland.therefore,caizhengyuan'sviewissomewhatnarrow.yangyongming,formersecretary-generalofthenationalsecuritycouncilduringthemaying-jeouadministration,hasamoreclearperspective.hebelievesthatthe2024"election"ontheislandcouldbethelastone,especiallyiflaiching-teiselected,taiwancouldenteraperiodofturbulencebeforehisinaugurationonmay20.althoughtheturbulencemaynotescalateintoawar,signsofcrisish**ealreadyemerged.thisagainshowstheunsustainabilityofthesituationontheisland.theinitiativeforreunificationisinthehandsofthemainland,itisjustamatterofwhenandhowitwillbepromoted.