The conflict between Russia and Ukraine continues in the steppes of Eastern Europe, with small frictions between Palestine and Israel, small frictions between the Indochina Peninsula Alliance, and small frictions between India and Pakistan. South America, Venezuela and Guyana, who are engaged in a fierce battle for the Ethiopian region, have joined the bandwagon. Will this region become another new focal point of the "powder keg" in America's backyard?
Venezuela held a referendum on December 3 to decide whether to annex to the Essequibo region. In Venezuela, nearly 10,400,000 people voted on the country's claim to sovereignty in the Essequibo region. Since then, Venezuelan Maduro has launched a series of initiatives:
1. Maduro is building"Supreme Council for the Defence of the Essequibo Region"signed on the "** order". Venezuela will also establish a new administrative unit in the Essequibo region, in accordance with a special decree adopted on the same day.
2. Venezuela will register Venezuelan citizenship for all residents of the Ethiopia region.
3. Maduro sent an army to the border with Guyana to contain Guyana by force.
Which side owns the Essequibo region?Why did it cause a confrontation between the two ** teams?Is it possible that this contradiction will erupt soon?
Maduro holds a referendum on the Essequibo region.
Britain, an unreliable country, has once again dug a hole for itself!
First, let's take a look at the history of this land war. The Essequibo region, located in the north of South America, borders Venezuela and Guyana in South America, to be exact, at the junction of the Orinoco River and the Amazon, covering an area of 15,999,000 square kilometers. It is important to note here that the Essequibo region occupies two thirds of Guyana's territory.
In 1811, Venezuela broke free from Spanish control, and Britain reclaimed Guyana from the Netherlands in 1814, expanding its western borders again and again within Venezuela. In 1882, Venezuela could no longer bear it and proposed an arbitration to Britain in 1899. The ruling prevented British expansion into Venezuelan territory, but at the same time turned the Essequibo region into a British colony. It was also a territorial dispute that followed. At that time, international exchanges were basically a paper agreement, a war, or a colonial deal.
The two sides are vying for the Essequibo region, which accounts for 2 3 of Guyana's area
Guyana won its independence in 1970 and the Essequibo region, a British colony, was incorporated into Guyana's territory. Why does this scene look so familiar?Pakistan, Israel, India and Pakistan, is this what they do, the British are just going to stir up relations with others.
Oil wealth is the catalyst for conflict!
Guyana, a small country in South America, has long held the second largest place in the Latin American region, and for the world, it is just a passerby. The development of a city may create many "rich and handsome", and the development of a city may make earth-shaking changes in Guyana's economy. ExxonMobil discovered a new** field near Guyana in 2015 and over the next few years has found more than 30 new fields with estimated total reserves of 13 billion barrels, which will be developed in partnership with Guyana**.
Guyana is the third largest oil reserve country in the world after Saudi Arabia and Russia. Guyana's economy is also growing at an alarming rate. Guyana's GDP grew in 2020, 2021 and 2022. 8% and 578%, according to the IMF**. From $5.2 billion in 2019 to $14.8 billion in 2022. It's not a good thing, it's just gold falling from the sky.
In the early 20th century, people found it for a long time near Lake Maracaibo in Venezuela. Over the past few years, Venezuela has found new oil fields and is on its way to becoming one of the world's largest oil producers. Venezuela is now the world's largest oil storer, with 303.8 billion barrels**, 20% of the world's total, the world's largest in the world.
The survey ship of the American company Mobil Oil went to the waters of Essakibo.
Venezuela's economy is in a state of instability, especially in recent years, due to the ups and downs of oil ** and internal political instability, as well as the economic sanctions imposed on the country by the United States. Venezuela's economy has had some problems due to the high inflation that exists within the country. Venezuela is economically troubled by policy in the Ethiopian region, preferring to seek its own economic advantage in the region's competition.
It can be said that the conflict in the Ethiopia region is due to the huge reserves of oil and natural gas, which has led to the increasingly fierce conflict between the two countries.
Approach the lighthouse, far away from God.
Latin America has always been the "backyard" of the United States, which has repeatedly intervened and sanctioned the region, and even overthrew it. Many small countries in Latin America are the raw material producers of the United States, and their economic structure is very simple, and they have become extremely dependent on the United States. The Ethiopian region is a major investment target for the United States and other multinational companies. Not only are they developing in the area, but they are also working with the local authorities to reap huge benefits.
In this territorial dispute, the United States acted as an arbiter, and he himself did not intervene directly, but he was like a pair of invisible hands, powerfully controlling the situation. As one of the few anti-American militants in Latin America, Venezuela has been secretly fighting each other for decades, and there are irreconcilable contradictions between them.
Guyana has only 800,000 people, and they have no chance in front of Venezuela, a country with a population of more than 30 million. Therefore, for the United States, Guyana can be described as dead. Since 2022, Guyana has conducted a series of joint exercises with U.S. special forces, and the U.S. team is ready to build a base in Guyana's Essequibo area to help Guyana defend the area.
Venezuelan army march.
There is another factor that should not be overlooked, and that is that South American powerhouse Brazil has played a crucial role behind the scenes of the World Cup. Brazil is one of the largest countries in South America and a stabilizing factor in the region, bordering Guyana. Brazil will not sit idly by in response to the measures taken by Venezuela. With the deployment of Venezuelan troops in the border area, Brazil has also been active and ready to assist Guyana.
Venezuela is bluffing, scared.
So, will the war in this territory turn into a war in the end?Maduro can be said to be scaring people, as long as he dares to make a move on Venezuela, then he will be the next one, like Saddam.
First of all, the country of Venezuela is a chaotic country, and its economic structure is very simple, because it has been relying on the export of **, and its economy has been hit a lot. With a GDP of only $2,400 and a debt of $50 billion, Venezuela is already struggling to make ends meet, let alone fight a fierce battle.
Second, Latin America has been the backyard of the United States for many years, and even if the United States were to draw some troops, plus Brazil and Colombia, it would be easy to destroy Venezuela's army, and the difference in strength between the two is huge. Iran in Asia is a good country in its own right, with a population of 80 million, a complete industrial system, and strong allies, which is enough to compete with the United States for decades. In Iran and Venezuela are neither countries take advantage of anything.
Guaidó's war has been going on for 4 years.
Third, Venezuela is calm on the surface, but in fact there is a turbulent undercurrent, and the rivalry between "temporary" Guaidó and Maduro is like a farce. The support of the United States, Europe and other countries has made this turmoil last for four years. There are internal problems with people's livelihood, there are enemies outside, and the rebels are also waiting for an opportunity, and Venezuela has no chance to make a move.
Maduro's referendum on the Essequibo region is more to show his strength, concentrate domestic forces, and divert domestic disputes from the country. Venezuela will do it in 2024***, a move that could also bring more votes to **.