The situation in Ukraine is in a precarious situation, and Germany** has pointed out nine major dilemmas facing Ukraine, which has raised a lot of concern. At the same time, ChinaInternationalRelationship ExpertJin YinanThe professor also expressed his opinion on this, arguing that the United States may no longer be able to bear it and plans to withdraw "gracefully" from Ukraine. If these analyses are accurate, then the end of the Russian-Ukrainian war is no longer far away. This article will describe and analyze the dilemma facing Ukraine and the reasons for its failure from German and Western perspectives.
German scholars pointed out that Ukraine is now facing a severe winter environment, and the Ukrainian army is facing the dilemma of lacking sufficient materials and facilities to protect against the cold. The Russian winter has made a deep impression on the Europeans, and the Ukrainian army's inadequate preparation will inevitably have a significant impact on its combat effectiveness.
However, in fact, winter is not without a solution for Ukraine. Ukraine can take a series of countermeasures, such as increasing the number of cold equipment and setting up in the battlefieldMilitarybases, etc., to alleviate the cold plight of the Ukrainian army. In addition,InternationalSociety can also provide support to Ukraine and provide them with necessary cold materials to improve the combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army.
German scholars believe that the officers and soldiers on the front line and the rear ** in Ukraine are physically and mentally exhausted and cannot see a glimmer of hope for victory. After paying a huge price, the Ukrainian army still failed to achieve a breakthrough in a large-scale counterattack.
However, the Ukrainian army'sExhaustionIt doesn't mean they can't fight anymore. In fact, the Ukrainian army has carried out a series over the past few yearsMilitaryreforms, improving its combat effectiveness and combat readiness. ArmyLogisticsThe improvement of the system and the stimulation of the morale and willpower of the officers and soldiers will all help the Ukrainian army to regain its strength and meet the severe test of war.
Another problem facing Ukraine is the shortage of ammunition. German scholars note that the Ukrainian army lacks 155-mm large-caliber shells. Although the West has promised to provide Ukraine with large quantities of ammunition support, in reality the number of deliveries is relatively small.
However, the shortage of ammunition is not the only reason why Ukraine cannot defeat the enemy. Ukraine could increase the efficiency of munitions** by strengthening domestic production and improving the distribution mechanism of munitions. In addition, Ukraine can also seek the support of other countries to help them deal with the shortage of ammunition.
Ukraine also faces the problem of scarcity, especially the lack of 155-mm large-caliber artillery shells. Previously, the West promised to support the amount of ammunition in Ukraine, but the delivery was inefficient, showing the inadequacy and slowness of the support action.
However, there are many ways in which Ukraine can solve the problem of deprivation. In addition to increasing by buying or receiving assistanceIn addition to the stocks, Ukraine can also strengthen itselfproduction andMilitaryR&D capabilities to improve independent productionQuantity and quality of equipment. Rational use of limited resources, realizationIt is also a way to solve the problem of scarcity.
Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhny noted that the war between Ukraine and Russia has manifested itself in a long-term positional war, which is heavily used by both sidesDronesAs a result, the troops of both sides could not be assembled, and the battle situation reached a stalemate. This is more beneficial for Russia, while the West is struggling.
However, the transformation of the war into a long-term positional war does not mean that Ukraine cannot make progress on the battlefield. Ukraine can quickly counterattack with more flexible tactics and strategies, weaken the enemy's strength, and advance steadily. In addition, Ukraine can also be sought on the battlefieldInternationalMultifaceted support from the community, including:Militarytechnical assistance, intelligence sharing, etc., to change the current impasse.
Germany** believes that Western assistance to the Ukrainian army is insufficient and late, and is mainly focused on providing defenseon, like Germany, even refuses to provideCruise missilesThis leads to the fact that the effect of the aid is not obvious.
However, insufficient aid and a defensive bias do not mean that Ukraine cannot win. Ukraine can seek a wider range of strategic assistance by changing its strategy and seeking more strategic assistanceInternationalIn the tank. In addition, Ukraine can also strengthen the development of its own industries and improve its strategic self-sufficiency.
Germany believes that Russia has transformed from purely mechanized warfare to informationizationDronesoperations, technological progress has been made, which makes it difficult for the West and Ukraine to achieve victory.
However, technological catch-up does not mean that Ukraine cannot cope. Ukraine can do this by strengthening technology research and development andMilitaryReform and improve your own combat capabilities. At the same time, Ukraine can also strengthen cooperation with other countries to acquire more advanced onesMilitaryTechnical support. Maintaining a certain level of relative strength with Russia in technology can support Ukraine in achieving better results on the battlefield.
Germany believes that the contradictions and unrealistic ideas of the West, both fantasies that Ukraine will be able to reverse its defeat and hope for a negotiated settlement, have had a negative impact on Ukraine.
However, Western fantasies do not mean that Ukraine cannot succeed. Ukraine can develop more realistic and pragmatic strategies and tactics by discarding unrealistic expectations and matching them with the real situation. At the same time, Ukraine can also strengthen communication and coordination with Western countries, reach consensus, and improve the efficiency of bilateral cooperation. A realistic attitude and reasonable expectation management will help Ukraine achieve better results on the battlefield.
According to a report by Germany**, the United States may have planned to withdraw from Ukraine and has no intention of continuing to assist Ukraine on the Ukrainian issue. If this report is true, then Ukraine will lose important support and cooperation.
However, even if the United States withdraws, Ukraine can still seek the support and cooperation of other countries. Ukraine can be strengthened by strengthening relations with European countries and othersCriticalThe diplomacy of the country andMilitaryCooperate for more resources and assistance. In addition, Ukraine can also strengthen its own domestic development, improve its economic strength andMilitarycapacity, so as to better respond to and solve the problems facing Ukraine.
To sum up, Ukraine does face many difficulties, including the lack of cold materials and facilitiesExhaustion, ammunition and **scarce, etc. However, these problems do not mean that Ukraine cannot defeat the enemy. Ukraine can solve these dilemmas in a number of ways, including strengtheningLogistics, increase ammo and**, change strategy and tactics, etc. At the same time, Ukraine needs to be withInternationalThe community should strengthen cooperation and strive for more support and assistance. Only by comprehensively responding to these dilemmas will Ukraine be able to achieve victory in the war.