What does it mean that the United States has recently proposed to establish an agreement with China to inform each other of missile launches?We can analyze it from several angles. First, there has been a relative rapprochement between China and the United States over the past 30 years, and the two sides have not entered into such an agreement not because of carelessness, but because there is not such a strong sense of hostility between the two sides. However, does the fact that the United States is now putting forward this proposal represent a fundamental change in Sino-US relations?Second, we can see that the agreement between the United States and Russia to inform each other about the launch of ICBMs and launch vehicles is to build strategic mutual trust and avoid strategic miscalculations.
Against the backdrop of tense relations, the two sides fear that the other side will mistake a conventional missile launch plan for a nuclear missile attack plan aimed at itself. Does this also exist in Sino-US relations?Moreover, it is worth noting that the United States may have put forward this proposal out of concern and concern about China's missile launch intentions. This means that the United States believes that it is necessary to monitor and understand China's missile activities more closely to prevent unforeseen situations. To sum up, the U.S. proposal to establish an agreement with China to notify each other of missile launches may involve multiple intentions and considerations, which will further influence and shape the direction of China-US relations. Every change in Sino-US relations is worth pondering.
What exactly does the U.S. move mean by proposing to sign an agreement with China on intercontinental missile launches?In fact, this reflects the deterioration of Sino-US relations and the lack of political mutual trust between them. Over the past 30 years, China and the United States, despite their disputes, have been relatively trusting of each other at the strategic level. Now, the United States is feeling a sense of insecurity, which led to this proposal. On the other hand, it can be seen from the recent contacts between China and the United States that the United States has been looking forward to high-level exchanges with China, but it has reached a stalemate. Therefore, the United States seeks to break the deadlock through this proposal, and in fact it is also seeking to promote arms control negotiations between China and the United States.
From China's point of view, such an agreement means much more to the United States than to China, because China does not pose a threat to the United States. On the contrary, it is the actions of the United States that undermine political mutual trust between the two sides and force the relationship between China and the United States to an impasse. Behind this move, we need to seriously think about the direction of China-US relations and how to rebuild mutual trust. Under the current international situation, the military confrontation between China and the United States has attracted much attention. At the tactical level, the United States has been using offensive tactics to put pressure on China by building military bases around China and sending aircraft carriers. China, by contrast, pursues an aggressive defensive strategy and does not provoke in the vicinity of the United States.
In the event of a direct military conflict between the Chinese and American militaries, China hopes to achieve strategic balance through intercontinental missiles. From this point of view, the United States is concerned about the possibility of China using ICBMs, while China is under pressure from the United States to provoke and notify the United States before launching ICBMs, which poses a challenge to China's strategic deterrence capability and needs to be carefully considered. In the current international situation, the United States has been strengthening its military presence in the Asia-Pacific region, exerting pressure on China by establishing military bases around China and sending aircraft carriers, which has given the United States the ability to immediately strike at China in an emergency.
China, on the other hand, has adopted an aggressive defensive strategy and will not take the initiative to provoke the United States. As a result, China and the United States have formed different tactical postures in the military game. In the event of a direct military conflict between the Chinese and U.S. militaries, China hopes to achieve a strategic balance through intercontinental missiles, thereby deterring the United States and protecting China's homeland. The United States, on the other hand, is worried about the possibility of China using intercontinental missiles, so it appears to be in a hurry. However, China is under pressure from the United States to provoke and notify the United States before launching an intercontinental strategic missile, which poses a challenge to China's strategic deterrence capability and requires careful consideration.
Under such circumstances, China needs to carefully assess its strategic options, while strengthening its national defense construction to ensure that it also needs to actively seek dialogue and cooperation with the United States to promote mutual trust and understanding between the two countries to avoid potential military conflicts. In the international community, peace and security are the most precious, and it is hoped that all countries can work together to maintain world peace and stability.