In order to better study the market, understand the market and participate in trading, it is necessary to carefully analyze the important factors that can affect its volatility. Therefore, it is necessary to pay attention to the policy factors that have the greatest impact. In recent months, there has been a significant increase in important meetings, documents and announcements related to the capital market, which requires careful study and Xi to correctly understand the positioning and work direction of the senior management for the capital market, so as to reduce the lack of self-awareness.
Face up to the boundaries of self-knowledge.
a. Policy documents, from a strategic vantage point, have the whole and the part, and have the long-term and the short-term.
b. Personal vision, limited by various conditions, is difficult to have a comprehensive and in-depth understanding in place.
c. Be aware of the limitations of self-awareness, not be greedy for more than you seek, focus on areas with strong relevance to your work, focus on Xi and research, and form an effective understanding that can guide specific work.
Pay attention to the market background and application environment of relevant policy documents.
2.1. Carefully analyze the market background of the policy document.
a. The market background is the starting point of the market reality and the biggest fundamental.
b. The introduction of major policy documents should have a clear positioning judgment on whether it is to cure the disease and save the market, or to add icing on the cake, or to completely innovate.
c. Combined with the market background, study the policy documents in order to produce a more objective understanding.
2.2. Carefully assess the market impact of the policy document.
a. The introduction of new policies may change the interest pattern of the original industrial chain, or change the horizontal pattern within the subdivided industry, and it is necessary to carefully analyze the direction of its impact.
b. Correctly assess the impact of the policy on oneself and the impact on the relevant parties in combination with the situation in which one is working, so as to guide the correct direction of betting.
2.3 The impact of policy documents on market volatility.
A. For the A-share or commodity market, the introduction of major policies will stimulate huge short-term fluctuations in the subject matter, and it is necessary to analyze historical cases and study the reflexive impact of the market.
b. Observe and summarize the changes in the market before and after the introduction of major policies, and analyze the beneficiaries and contributors in the process of short-term sharp fluctuations, so as to avoid their own assets becoming policy dividends for others.
c. Combined with the reflexive characteristics of the market, carefully analyze the cyclical effectiveness of the impact of relevant policy documents on market fluctuations, some of which can last for several months, and some can only stimulate for a few hours.
Pay attention to the overall impact of the combination.
A. Taking A-shares as an example, the last six months may be one of the strongest periods of time in history when the density of policy protection is strong.
b. Pay attention to the coordination from the first to the relevant ministries and commissions, from the competent departments to the relevant departments, as well as the policy linkage between different market segments.
c. "Adhere to the centralized and unified leadership of financial work" and "adhere to and strengthen the party's overall leadership over financial work", an era of comprehensive supervision, strong supervision and joint supervision has arrived.
Summary:As the financial market enters an era of strengthened supervision, the impact of policies on the market is increasing, and how to interpret and respond has become an important basic skill.
Friendly reminder:
a. It is not easy to create, if you like it, please like and**, and please pay attention to ***
b. The market is treacherous and changeable, and the transaction needs to be adjusted according to the market trend. The content of the article is only a summary of personal reflections, and is not intended as investment advice for anyone, and investors need to make their own profits and losses.
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