The current situation in the Middle East was completely ignited and detonated by the United States after it entered the game. Many people should know that the Middle East situation is a conspiracy, and the United States can only end up with a hard head. So what exactly is the "lead" of this bureau?
It is estimated that many netizens will think that the escalation of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has forced the United States to enter the game, but in fact, this is not the lead of this game, but the result of the United States entering the game. The real lead of the Middle East bureau was the rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and Iran in March this year, which was the key point at which the United States had to intervene.
If the United States does not intervene, as Saudi Arabia and Iran reconcile and the great unity in the Middle East will be restored, the United States will completely lose its voice in the Middle East, which will affect "Petrodollars"Hegemony;And the "nail" of Israel will also be pulled out.
Because in the first five Middle East wars, Israel played the role of the American, and with the assistance of the United States, it almost offended the rest of the Middle East, leaving decades of shame on the head of the Muslim world.
Previously, the fundamental reason why Israel was able to stir up the great unity in the Middle East was that there was a contradiction between the Sunni Islam led by Saudi Arabia and the Shia Islam led by Iran. Therefore, the great unity in the Middle East is not only something that the United States does not want to see, but Israel is also afraid to death.
What could be a better expression of the great unity of the Muslim world in the Middle East than the elimination of this "alien race"?
On June 1 this year, Qatar's Al-Jadid News** reported that under the coordination of China's mediation, Iran, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Oman will form a joint navy to ensure the safety of navigation in the Persian Gulf. The report also said that this is an important step for Middle Eastern countries to take "security independence".
It was even rumored that Saudi Arabia was going to buy 12 D52 missile destroyers from China, which made the United States feel like a pin. Later, it was rumored that Biden was running around all parties in the Middle East, starting big negotiations and promoting the establishment of diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel.
Because Saudi Arabia did not recognize Israel before, it did not establish diplomatic relations with Israel. It is reported that Saudi Arabia has set a series of conditions, including the Palestinian issue and the jurisdiction of the Al-Aqsa Mosque in Jerusalem. In other words, Israel needs to make significant concessions on both issues.
But Netanyahu** is the most right-wing Zionist regime in Israel since its term, and the "financier" behind Netanyahu is the Republican Party of the United States, and the Democratic Party represented by Biden cannot be in the same pot at all.
Previously, Netanyahu pushed for judicial reform, which was opposed by Israel and the military, and at one point triggered months of popular demonstrations. At that time, Biden publicly sided with Netanyahu's opposition and said that he would not invite Netanyahu to visit the White House. In the end, Netanyahu faced a crisis and was forced to suspend reforms.
On August 9 of this year, Wall Street** quoted the United States ** as saying that Biden ** and Saudi Arabia are working on an agreement to pave the way for Saudi-Israeli normalization:Saudi Arabia will recognize Israel and establish diplomatic relations, Israel will make concessions on the Palestinian issue, and Saudi Arabia will receive security guarantees and assistance for civilian nuclear programs from the United States.
Biden also asked Saudi Arabia to pledge to distance itself from China economically and militarily, the U.S. said. For example, the use of Huawei technology is restricted, and the use of RMB to trade oil is prohibited. But then news came out that Netanyahu was unwilling to make concessions on the Palestinian issue.
On September 29, Reuters quoted three sources as sayingEven if Israel does not make significant concessions on the Palestinian issueSaudi Arabia has also decided to move forward with a defense agreement with the United States, requiring the United States to provide security protections in exchange for normalizing relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel.
The deal could be similar to the U.S.-Japan defense deal, with Saudi Arabia likely to become a major non-NATO ally of the United States, as Israel did, the sources said.
But in any case, the Saudis may not be able to receive the NATO-style security guarantees provided by the United States as initially expected. In addition, on the issue of civilian nuclear technical assistance, Saudi Arabia has also changed its previous refusal and intends to sign a clause with the United States on preventing the proliferation of nuclear technology.
According to the report, the U.S. negotiations may finalize more details in the next 9 to 12 months. However, some analysts believe that all parties face considerable resistance in terms of security guarantees, civilian nuclear programs, and the Palestinian issue, and the White House admits that there is still a long way to go.
An American think tank analyst described it:This negotiation is like climbing Mount Everest continuously, and if you are not careful, you will "suddenly fall off the cliff"!
The reason why this negotiation is not optimistic is that some people said that everything went too fast and smoothly, because there are too many important factors that are uncertain. For example, the conflict between the interests of the Republican Party and the Democratic Party in the US Congress.
Another example is that there is a faction in Saudi Arabia, but the Saudi crown prince does not seem to be very **, he has been implementing reforms, and there is a lot of conflict with the interests of the United States.
There is also the fact that Netanyahu** belongs to the ultra-Zionist party of Zionism, which could provoke contradictions with Islam at any time.
In addition, the Russia-Ukraine conflict is intertwined with the interests of all parties in the Middle East, and Russia's influence in the Middle East cannot be ignored. For example, Saudi Arabia directly rejected the United States' request to increase oil production to combat dollar inflation, and instead cut production together with the Russian-led OPEC oil organization.
As a result, the development of things is just as described by analysts of American think tanks, and if you are not careful, you will suddenly fall off the cliff!Hamas's thousands of rockets directly hit Biden's hopes from the crater to the Arctic Ocean.
If the reconciliation between Saudi Arabia and Iran is compared to a chess game, the United States is an unavoidable player. As long as it goes in to break the game, it needs to move around the chess pieces and sacrifice its interests, and Saudi Arabia, as the object of being co-opted by the United States, needs to obtain benefits.
Because it is impossible for the United States to give up its interests in the Middle East, it will definitely go in and break the situation. So, no matter how the United States plays its cards, it will be profitable for the Arabs!
This time, Hamas moved on Israel, and the action launched was very ingenious, called ".Al-Aqsa floods”。It is claimed that because the Zionists of Israel** have repeatedly desecrated the "noble al-Haram Al-Sharif" of Islam, that is, the Al-Aqsa Mosque in Jerusalem, they want to defend their religious beliefs with their lives and blood.
Therefore, no one in the entire Muslim world will oppose them in defending the holy places of Islam. The biggest problem facing the United States now is that if it wants to reconcile with the Middle East, it must resolve the Palestinian issue. This is also the fundamental reason why the United States firmly supports the two-state solution while supporting Israel in its fight against Hamas.
If it is not resolved, the influence of the United States in the Middle East will become weaker and weaker, and the petrodollar will be shaky. As far as Israel is concerned, there is no way out, because the crisis of its collapse will increase dramatically after the great unity of the Middle East.
As soon as Hamas strikes, it will inevitably take the opportunity to make things bigger. Its strategic calculation is to get as many shares as possible in exchange for bargaining chips with the Arab world, and the United States will also help it.
In particular, the occupation of the Golan Heights, which is a strategic high ground in the Middle East and a source of water. Israel wants to redraw the line between the two-State solution through the actual occupation, not according to the 1967 two-State solution.
On social media, there were reports from Israeli rescuers that Israeli armed *** had launched missiles to bombard buildings in Israel. This is most likely Israel's desire to send a signal to the outside world that the threat posed by Hamas is too great and must be eradicated once and for Israel to be safe.
The United States has not supported the ceasefire, and has continued to provide first-class ammunition support to guard Israel's perimeter. It is also hoped that Israel can occupy more land and then come out to preside over the new two-state solution, which will not only maintain the face of world hegemony, but also regain the right to speak in the Middle East.
This was true in previous wars in the Middle East. By supporting Israel**, the United States began to mediate after Israel occupied a lot of land, and then asked Israel to return some of the land to the occupied power.
The most famous was the Camp David Accords of 1978, which allowed Israel to return the Sinai Peninsula to Egypt, which succeeded in dividing the Arab League, and Egypt was seen as a traitor to the Arab world.
However, this time, Israel obviously overestimated the combat capability of its own army, and the United States also overestimated the combat capability of the Israeli army.
I thought that I could achieve a quick victory through indiscriminate bombing of Gaza, but so far, Hamas has not surrendered, but has caused both the United States and Israel to suffer a huge humanitarian crisis.
Now that Israel is under siege from many sides, and the Houthis intercept and attack Israel and Israeli-related ships in the Red Sea, it is impossible to supply its perimeter in a timely manner, and Israel is facing collapse. Although the United States has about 50,000 troops in the Middle East, the US military does not dare to end up at all.
Once the US military is personally killed, it will inevitably further intensify the contradictions with the Middle East, escalate the war, and make it even more difficult to reconcile. Therefore, whether it is the frequent attacks on US bases in the Middle East or the behavior of the Houthis in the Red Sea, it has shown great restraint.
Judging from the current situation, the United States wants to establish Iran as a target and make it an enemy of Arab countries. Therefore, it has been claimed that armed groups such as Hamas, the Houthis in Yemen, and Allah in Lebanon are backed by Iran.
However, relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia have not been adversely affected, but have developed benignly. The rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and Iran is not just a rapprochement between the two countries, but a rapprochement between Shiites and Sunnis in Islam.
After the outbreak of the current round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, judging from the overall reaction of the entire Middle East, the common goal of all of us is to work in the direction of getting rid of US control, realizing sovereign independence, and independent development. In the current situation, it must be the best opportunity, how can you let it go so easily?
As for the ending of Israel, it is estimated that this time if you don't die, you will have to peel off your skin. Anyway, the ** of the "little overlord" in the Middle East has been completely penetrated, and he can only be a man with his tail between his legs in the Middle East after he lives. It is true that the Palestinian people have suffered a lot this time, but from the perspective of national liberation, it is the way to go.
The last thing I want to say isThe Palestinian-Israeli conflict is only a façade, in essence a "currency war"!The big oil producers in the Middle East are reluctant to put the money they sell their oil into the "wallets" of the Americans, because they already have better options.