The U.S.-China relationship is one of the most important bilateral relationships in the world, and the relationship between the two countries will have a profound impact on the global environment and order.
Since Trump took office, relations between China and the United States have gradually fallen to a freezing point, and it is only in the past one year that relations between the two countries have improved.
At the recent meeting between the heads of state of China and the United States in San Francisco, many people felt that Sino-US relations had finally ushered in a turning point.
But in fact, the US side has not been able to get rid of its arrogance at all, and it has always felt that its strength is far stronger than that of China, and it wants to step on us when it finds an opportunity.
Previously, the United States had shouted that the strength of the United States was much stronger than China's, and China would either make concessions to the United States or choose to fail
After the meeting between the Chinese and US heads of state in San Francisco, many people believe that Sino-US relations have reached a turning point and that relations between the two countries will continue to warm up in the future.
But judging from Biden's actions later, in fact, the US side does not have the sincerity to improve relations with China at all.
After all, not long after the summit, Biden announced that he would continue arms sales to Taiwan.
Why is the United States behaving in such an inconsistent way?A very important reason is that, in fact, the United States fundamentally looks down on China and believes that China has only two ways to make concessions or fail to the United States.
Before US Secretary of State Antony Blinken's visit to China in June 2023, Bloomberg published an article titled "China Better Listen to What Blinken Must Say", falsely claiming that China is making mistakes.
What mistakes does the US side think we have made?Bloomberg pointed out that after Blinken arrives in the background, he will definitely propose some measures to prevent a real armed conflict between China and the United States, but this will definitely be "resisted" by China.
According to Bloomberg, this is the "mistake that the Chinese side is making", because the Chinese side will not be willing to make "compromises" with the ongoing reconnaissance activities and so-called "freedom of navigation" carried out by the United States around our country.
And this kind of "intransigence" will lead to a conflict between the two countries and even a situation that will quickly get out of control.
So, what are the consequences of China's "mistakes"?
According to Bloomberg, the result is that China chooses to make concessions or accept defeat, because in their eyes, the United States has an "escalation advantage" over China.
In other words, as long as the United States "escalates means" in the Sino-US conflict, such as using stronger force and more advanced **, then China is powerless to deal with it and can only surrender or make concessions to the United States.
Bloomberg pointed out that the US military is the most powerful armed force in the world, whether in terms of combat experience, the advanced level of equipment, or the training level of the troops, and this advantage of the US military will be maintained for a long time.
Perhaps, to a large extent, this view of Bloomberg is probably also the view of many Americans, which is also the reason why the United States does not intend to respect China in its heart and behaves inconsistently towards China.
Even Bloomberg's release of such a commentary before Blinken's departure is likely to be a threat to our country:If China does not accept Blinken's viewpoint, it is very likely that the United States will really use force to deal with China and completely "subdue" China.
There are many self-confident Americans and American institutions like Bloomberg, and coincidentally, a US think tank called the Center for Strategic and International Affairs (CSIS) has come to a similar conclusion to Bloomberg.
At the beginning of 2023, CSIS released a war game deduction report on the Taiwan Strait, which many people interpreted as saying that if the mainland sends troops to liberate Taiwan in 2026, the United States has a 92% chance of defeating China.
The report first set the scenario for the liberation of Taiwan as not only a battle between the PLA and the Taiwan military, but also a battle between the PLA and the armed forces, including the US military and the Japanese Self-Defense Forces.
Under this premise, CSIS conducted 24 wargames, of which 21 were won by the U.S. military.
On one occasion, the US military not only helped the Taiwan military defeat the PLA and completely "liberate" Taiwan, but also further completely defeated the PLA and completely crushed our country.
From this, many people have come to the conclusion that the US military can win 92 percent.
Although this number may seem a bit "scary", it is actually quite watery.
On the one hand, in order to make it easier for the U.S. military to win, CSIS placed the main battlefield of the war to liberate Taiwan only 2 kilometers away from China's coastline.
You must know that after all, Taiwan is also 200 kilometers away from China, and judging from the comparison of the military strength of the mainland and Taiwan, the main battlefield in the Taiwan Strait will not be 2 kilometers away from the mainland's coastline.
Moreover, perhaps what is even more outrageous to us is that in the course of several war games of CSIS, in order to avoid a head-on conflict with the PLA's powerful naval strike capability, the US military also decided not to send aircraft carriers, but only sent B-52 and other bombers, carrying the latest anti-ship missiles developed by the US military, to block the PLA's landing on the island and quickly "end" the war to liberate Taiwan.
According to the disclosure of the United States, the LRASM anti-ship missile used by CSIS in the war game to completely defeat the PLA is the **.
This is a new ** that the US military only equipped in 2018, which is a long-range anti-ship missile with a maximum range of 900 kilometers, and can independently select targets, plan flight routes, and carry out precise strikes on targets.
In addition, the stealth capabilities of this missile are also very strong, and it is not easy to be detected by the opposing air defense system.
CSIS believes that once the PLA launches a war to liberate Taiwan, the US military will launch 2,200 LRASM missiles from a distance of 900 kilometers, which can not only destroy the PLA fleet, but also the US bombers will not be intercepted by anti-aircraft missiles, and the US military can return safely.
But it is clear that the US military overestimated the performance of the LRASM, after all, this is only a subsonic missile, and whether it can break through the PLA's air defense system in real combat is still a question.
What's more, the range of our army's air defense completely covers the Taiwan Strait and surrounding areas, how can it be as vulnerable as CSIS envisions.
Taking a step back, the US military believes that our air defense system covers a range of less than 900 kilometers.
However, our army has a large number of long-range missiles, which can also launch an attack on the US military, and it is impossible to really "sit idly by" and let the US military retreat.
Of course, CSIS also conducted some war games in which the US military dispatched aircraft carriers, and came to the conclusion that all parties involved in the war would suffer heavy losses.
For example, CSIS has concluded that the U.S. military will lose 2 aircraft carriers, hundreds of aircraft, and 3,200 U.S. troops, and the Japanese Self-Defense Forces will also lose more than 100 aircraft, 26 ships**.
But at the same time, the PLA Navy will "completely collapse", and more than 10,000 more soldiers will die.
But this result is actually very outrageous, because the US military has more than 5,000 sailors on one aircraft carrier alone, and only 3,200 people were killed after sinking two aircraft carriers.
Moreover, this report does not take into account all the PLA's prevention and control forces, but only blindly "strengthens" the US military and "weakens" the PLA
In fact, although we must admit the power gap between China and the United States, is the gap between China and the United States really very obvious?Not necessarily.
From the point of view of military strength alone, although the United States can still maintain its strategic superiority in the Asia-Pacific region, it is not an "upgraded" advantage.
In recent years, the pace of construction of our army has been very fast, anti-ship and anti-missile capabilities have also been rapidly improved, and our hypersonic ** has also achieved corner overtaking against the United States.
At least we are confident that in the Taiwan Strait region, we have area denial capabilities.
Specifically, although the number of aircraft carriers in our country is far inferior to that of the United States, and the naval base is relatively weak.
However, our navy is also speeding up the pace of "dumplings", and the navy is also rapidly moving towards the deep blue.
In terms of the Air Force, China's J-20 production has recently exceeded 200, and the difference in the number of stealth fighters between China and the United States is only 180, which is a breakthrough in China.
In addition, our army still surpasses the US military in terms of the number of troops and artillery strength, which means that the US military does not actually have an "absolute advantage" over us.
Taking 10,000 steps back, during the period of resisting US aggression and aiding Korea, the US military must have had an "escalation advantage" for us, but what is the use of that?
Our army still won the victory by virtue of its stubborn will and flexible combat methods, making the Korean War a "forgotten war" in the United States.
On the other hand, the United States does have an advantage over China in terms of economic size.
Moreover, the United States also holds the hegemony of the dollar, and its scientific and technological strength is more developed than that of China.
However, in these areas, the United States also does not have an "upgrade advantage" over us, and our country's GDP has reached 75%, and the United States' advantage over us is no longer obvious.
In the fields of science and technology, high-end manufacturing, we have also invested heavily and quickly caught up, and achieved corner overtaking against the United States in many fields.
If the United States still wants to continue to lie on the laurels of the past, I am afraid that it will soon be surpassed by us in an all-round way.
Moreover, even if Bloomberg threatens our country, the United States will interfere in our internal and foreign affairs by imposing sanctions on our country.
But since Trump took office, the United States has sanctioned more than 10,000 entities in our country, and the list has been listed one after another, and in the end, the United States has not reaped any benefits, but its own economic development has been affected.
As we all know, this is also one of the reasons why Blinken and other United States** have visited China one after another:There are many pressures at home and abroad, so that the United States has to establish good relations with us in order to get our help.
Therefore, the US side should understand that there is a power gap between China and the United States, but the United States has long lost its "escalation advantage" over us, and the United States must treat China in a more equal way in order to truly improve the relations between the two countries and benefit from it.
Reference: "China better listen to what Blinken has to say" Bloomberg.