As we all know, the outcome of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is very complex and delicate, and the asymmetry of power between the two sides makes the outcome extremely difficult. Israel, as a military and resource powerhouse, has an overwhelming advantage, while Hamas faces a hopeless situation. Even if the chances of Hamas's victory over Israel in brutal street fighting are slim to none, Israel is doomed to pay a very heavy price. Hamas, however, aims not to defeat Israel militarily, but to achieve victory through political means. Therefore, from the very beginning, the military outcome of this war was already predestined, and the post-war situation needed to be resolved by political means, and the intervention of the United States was crucial.
Some military experts have pointed out that Israel's current north-to-south approach and the release of the Egyptian border in the south are intended to expel the people of Gaza through squeezing military operations and indiscriminate air strikes. Despite the highly controversial and human rights issues surrounding this approach, Israel** has repeatedly stated that it is seriously considering the idea of forcing Palestinians out of Gaza and has developed plans to do so. Under such circumstances, it will trigger strong condemnation from the international community and cause serious damage to Israel's image and international relations.
Another possibility is that Israel does not seek to occupy Gaza in its entirety, but may remain responsible for the security of Gaza for a long time, turning it into a safe area. Netanyahu has said that Israel has no intention of occupying Gaza, but may need to be responsible for Gaza's security for a long time, a form that is not much different from direct occupation in essence, and that Israel does not have to bear the responsibility for the lives of the people of Gaza, hoping that the United Nations and charitable organizations will solve this problem. However, this programme is also facing strong opposition from the international community and the dissatisfaction of the Palestinian people, and the security problem in Gaza can only be resolved under Israeli control.
The third option is to put Gaza under multinational administration, or to be run by Fatah** in order to weaken Hamas's control. This is a situation that the United States wants to see, but Fatah rejected the proposal of US Secretary of State Antony Blinken. While it is difficult for the United Nations to reject this offer, the question of who will bear the enormous economic burden remains a huge one. What's more, Israel** has never endorsed such a plan, which they see as a compromise with Israel and at the same time fails to ensure security in Gaza. Therefore, it is unlikely that Israel will accept this formula, and Netanyahu is also facing a crisis of political life.
The role of the United States in this conflict is very important. In past wars in the Middle East, Israel, with the help of the United States, ended the wars through political means. However, it is not known whether Israel will still be able to rely on the United States to solve post-war political problems this time. Biden has repeatedly said that Israel's occupation of Gaza was a grave mistake and warned Israel not to rely too heavily on military means. Israel has a strong military in Gaza, and they can take tough actions without listening to the United States. Therefore, if coordination between Israel and the United States cannot be reached, it will be difficult for the United States to control the situation.
The outcome of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is a rather complex issue that involves multiple dimensions such as military, political and international relations. There are multiple possible outcomes, such as Israel's occupation of Gaza, control of Gaza's security, condominium or Fatah administration, each of which faces different challenges and difficulties. The role of the United States in this process is crucial, but whether Israel is willing to accept American help and intervention remains an unknown. Regardless of the final outcome, we hope to find a solution that can resolve the contradictions between the two sides and maintain regional peace and stability.