On 9 December this year, Sky News reported chilling news: the situation on the border between Venezuela and Guyana is deteriorating, and the clouds of war are hanging over the hot land. Four countries – Venezuela, Guyana, the United States and Brazil – have mobilized their troops, meaning that the conflict could erupt at any time. Historically, Guyana was considered a territory of Venezuela, and the Essequibo region was even more soPetroleum resourcesThe abundance is now in the hands of Guyana. However, Venezuela has always wanted to regain this territory, so a recent referendum was held, which resulted in more than 95% of voters supporting the inclusion of the disputed territory of Guyana-Essequibo in Venezuela. Not only that, but the National Assembly of Venezuela has passed legislation to establish the 24th state, Guyana-Essequibo, in the territory disputed with Guyana. Venezuela**Maduro has also sent troops to the port of Parima in the Amakuro Delta state to prepare to seize Essequibo territory.
However, the Guyanese side announced that it is strengthening security measures and working withU.S. ** teamCooperate to protect the Essequibo regionPetroleum resources。Guyana** Ilfaan Ali said the Guyana Defence Force is on full alert and has made contact with the military, including the U.S. Southern Command. "We will not allow our territory to be violated, nor will we allow the development of our country to be hindered by this major threat," he stressed. "The Guyana army currently has only 5,000 people, and it will be quite difficult to repel an attack by the Venezuelan army.
Regarding this dispute, Scott Morgan, an expert on American affairs, said that war has become possible, and the rapidly rolling snowball looks like it cannot be stopped. He believes Guyana is betting on the U.S. to make a corresponding assist. In fact, the United States has already announced that it will join forces with GuyanaMilitaryExercise. The U.S. Embassy said the U.S. Southern Command will conduct air operations in cooperation with the Guyana Defense Forces. This initiative demonstrates that the United States will continue to deliver on its security commitments to Guyana and to strengthen regional cooperation and joint operations.
In addition, Guyana's neighbour, Brazil, has been deployed at the borderMilitaryTroops. In order to strengthen its presence on the border between Venezuela and Guyana, Brazil has deployed additional wheeled armored vehicles. The Brazilian Post reported that once war broke out, Brazil would intervene with troops, just like the United States. As allies of Venezuela, Russia and Iran should be very hopefulU.S. militaryFight a war of attrition in their backyard in order to distract the United States and make it harder to take care of developments in Ukraine and the Middle East. Therefore, in the event of a war between Venezuela and Guyana, Russia and Iran will be the biggest winners.
Tensions between Venezuela and Guyana are now at stake, with all sides waiting for the Venezuelan army in the border area to fire the first shot in the disputed area. However, the attack by the Venezuelan army was a big challenge for the 5,000-strong Guyanese army. If the flames of war do ignite, it will have far-reaching consequences for the region.
First, regional stability will be seriously threatened. The wars in Venezuela and Guyana could ripple into neighboring countries, causing tensions throughout South America.
Secondly,Petroleum resourcesMining will take a hit. The Essequibo region isPetroleum resourcesAbundant places, control of this territory will bring great economic benefits. As soon as the war broke out,OilMining will be severely disrupted, which is detrimental to both Venezuela and Guyana.
Finally,InternationalThe situation will also be affected. As allies of Venezuela, Russia and Iran will play an important role in this war, and they may use this opportunity to play inInternationalExpand your influence on stage.
The border conflict between Venezuela and Guyana was causedInternationalSocial concerns. If war breaks out, it will have catastrophic consequences for the region. Behind the war, we see the wrestling of interests between countries and the complexity of geopolitics. The conflict involves not only Venezuela and Guyana, but also the United States, Brazil and other countries. Venezuela's allies, Russia and Iran, will also use this war to expand their presenceInternationalInfluence in a transaction.
Present,InternationalPeace and security face enormous challenges. We should actively promote dialogue and cooperation, avoid escalation of conflicts, and jointly build a peaceful and stable world order. Peace and prosperity in the region can only be achieved through cooperation and mutual understanding. It was hoped that Venezuela and Guyana would be able to resolve their disputes in a peaceful manner and no longer resolve them through war, thereby contributing to peace and stability in the South American region.