After nearly 700 days of the Russia-Ukraine war, the United States has finally revealed its true intentions, will Ukraine become a bargaining chip in the final US-Russia deal?
On January 5, US spokesman Matthew Miller gave the following reply in response to a reporter's question about "how will the United States treat the Ukraine issue in 2024":
We (the United States**) will continue to support Ukraine, and at the same time, we believe that Ukraine is an independent country, and it should learn to walk independently";
As far as this year (2024) is concerned, I don't think there will be a level of financial support for Ukraine in 2022, 2023, because it is not necessary".
Matthew Miller went on to explain that the ultimate goal of the United States' aid to Ukraine is to achieve Ukraine's "self-reliance" and build an industrial base and a military industrial base on a piece of ruins, so that Ukraine can refinance and independently produce ammunition, and in addition to the United States, Ukraine should also seek help from Europe and countries outside Europe.
The author of the seriously injured Ukrainian soldier believes that Matthew Miller, the spokesman of the United States, represents the most real strategic intention of the United States in the near future, and has released at least 3 signals to the outside world.
1. After nearly 700 days of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the United States does intend to get rid of the burden of Ukraine.
The Russian-Ukrainian war that broke out on February 24, 2022, and as of December 31, 2023, the United States has supported Ukraine with a total of 100 billion dollars of ** equipment.
In the context of continuous interest rate hikes, the United States is facing the risk of defaulting on huge U.S. bonds, and the continuous issuance of a large number of dollar banknotes has also led to high domestic inflation in the United States.
The sudden outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and the increasingly unstable security situation in the Middle East have greatly involved the strategic resources of the United States, and it is absolutely impossible for the United States to cope with a three-front war based on its current national strength.
And Ukraine's performance in 2023 has not achieved a major victory over the Russian army on the frontal battlefield, and Russia and Ukraine have formed a stalemate, which makes the United States and the NATO bloc very disappointed.
According to the announcement of the Russian Ministry of Defense, 54 countries have provided Ukraine with $203 billion in ** equipment, and NATO has dispatched 70 military satellites to provide military intelligence.
With such support, the Ukrainian army is still unable to achieve a major victory over the Russian army, and the United States is very disappointed in Ukraine, and the United States also feels that it is time to get rid of the burden of Ukraine.
2. The essence of the United States' hope for Ukraine's "self-reliance" is to change from "blood transfusion" to "Ukraine's self-hematopoiesis" when Ukraine is unlikely to defeat Russia independently, and continue to consume Russia for the United States
The performance of the Ukrainian army in 2023 has made the United States realize that it is impossible to recover the four oblasts of eastern Ukraine and the Crimean peninsula by relying on Ukraine's armed forces alone without direct NATO troops.
Ukraine is now completely dependent on the support of the United States and NATO militarily, in addition, Ukraine's economy has basically collapsed, and the basic operation of the country and ** also needs financial support from Western countries.
A large number of wounded people are also a heavy burden on Ukraine, and the United States recognizes that Ukraine will not be able to defeat Russia in a short time, so the United States hopes to change from a direct "blood transfusion" to Ukraine that can "make its own blood".
The United States and NATO countries help Ukraine build its industrial and military-industrial base at home, and can produce its own equipment, which will greatly reduce the burden on the United States and continue to consume Russia.
It's a "beautiful" idea, but it still requires a lot of capital investment and valuable time in the early stages.
Of course, Putin also saw this strategic intention of the United States, so since December 28 last year, the Russian army has used hundreds of missiles and suicide drones, focusing on the military-industrial complex throughout Ukraine, intending to nip in the bud of Ukraine's military self-hematopoietic ability.
3. What will be the future of the Russian-Ukrainian war?In the author's opinion, there are only three possible outcomes of the war.
The first possibility is that the Ukrainian army will be like a heavenly soldier in 2024, with the blessing of the West, to achieve a major victory in the war against Russia, and to recover the 4 oblasts of eastern Ukraine and the Crimean Peninsula in one fell swoop
The second possibility is that the Ukrainian army is unable to regain lost ground without the NATO army going down, and the war has fallen into a substantial stalemate.
In order to reduce the strategic burden, the United States demanded that Ukraine and Russia hold peace talks on the condition that Ukraine be allowed to join the European Union and that the United States provide military protection to Ukraine
The third possibility, when it is almost impossible to regain lost territory, the United States supports Ukraine to continue fighting, uniting with other NATO countries to build Ukraine's own industrial base and military industrial base.
The United States has armed Ukraine into a porcupine, maintained a state of war with Russia, constantly used Ukraine to consume Russia, and "fought to the last Ukrainian".
In your opinion, in the end, what kind of outcome will the Russian-Ukrainian war go?Please leave your opinions in the comment section!