2024 Russia-Ukraine conflict: The UK ** depicts three futures, what do we think?
2023 is coming to an end, and it is really worrying to keep an eye on the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2024. The United Kingdom has imagined three different scenarios for the future, and I can't help but express my opinion, which is a major matter related to the safety of the country.
Let's start with the idea of the Economist Intelligence Unit, which is unbelievable that they dare to propose three scenarios. The first is to end the conflict through negotiations. I don't believe it, there is such a good thing in these years?If Trump is re-elected to the United States, there may be a glimmer of hope, but can this thing succeed?I really don't have a backache when I stand and talk.
Let's look at the second option, the Russian army captures more territory in eastern and southern Ukraine. Isn't this a blatant attempt to make trouble?Isn't Russia asking for trouble by increasing its arms production and bypassing sanctions?Don't say I'm ruthless, this scene is simply ridiculous.
The most outrageous is the third, where Russia loses, withdraws from Ukraine in an orderly manner and takes the initiative to negotiate an armistice. It's just a fantasy, how can you let Russia fail?It's like a pig can fly, it's too fanciful.
After talking about these three scenarios, I really can't stand it. Will Ukraine be able to hold out?Fighting with Russia is really looking for death. Russia, a veteran of the great power game, is simply about to go to war one day. As I watched all this, I couldn't resist giving my personal opinion.
First of all, let's not get our hopes up too much that Trump will be elected. In this world, who knows what kind of ** the voters will elect?Moreover, even if he is elected, he may not be able to influence the direction of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The great power game does not mean that whoever is the best can be swayed.
Besides, our country's posture of supporting Ukraine cannot be changed. I think that if China can give more support and increase its aid, we may be able to help a little. U.S. support for Ukraine will decrease, and that's a good opportunity for us to stand on the cusp.
After all, Russia is not easy to mess with. Once the United States and the West reduce their aid, Ukraine will not be stupid, desperately holding on will only make Russia see an opportunity, and it will inevitably attack on a large scale and seize cities and land. This is the perfect time for Russia, and it is really difficult not to be beaten to the table.
As for that scenario of Russian defeat, it's a joke. If this Russia loses, how stupid will it have to be to lose in the hands of Ukraine?The military operations they launched are, in my opinion, more likely to be successful. Even if the Verkhovna Rada *** Committee of Ukraine says that the possibility is very small, I don't believe it, this is clearly covering your ears and stealing the bell.
War is no joke, it can be won or lost in a split second. No amount of changes in US policy toward Ukraine can hide this fact. We in China must always maintain a high degree of vigilance, otherwise we may become a pawn in the hands of some people if we are not careful.
So, what the future of the Russia-Ukraine conflict will be in 2024 is really unpredictable. The three scenarios envisaged by the Economist Intelligence Unit are either fantastical or pure speculation. Only time will reveal this unsolved mystery.
In short, we must maintain a high degree of vigilance against this dangerous game of great powers. Don't be blinded by some illusory assumptions, stay awake and always be prepared for possible changes. It's been almost two years since the conflict, and it's time to come to an end. In Ukraine, in particular, it is wisest to negotiate an end to the conflict in the face of reduced aid. After all, now is not the time to procrastinate, and we must always be vigilant and defend the dignity of our country.