Recently, the nuclear game between the United States and Russia has escalated again. Russian Deputy Minister Sergei Ryabkov has publicly warned the United States that if the United States resumes nuclear testing, Russia will also conduct nuclear testing at any cost.
This is the most serious nuclear threat between the two nuclear powers since the end of the Cold War. What are the strategic considerations behind the nuclear game between the United States and Russia?What kind of impact will it have on international strategic stability?
The root cause of the nuclear game between the United States and Russia is the structural contradictions between the two countries in various fields. The United States regards Russia as its "biggest adversary" and has taken a tough stance against Russia, constantly squeezing Russia's strategic space.
The United States has also withdrawn from a number of arms control treaties, accelerated the modernization and upgrading of nuclear weapons, and vigorously developed new types of nuclear weapons such as low-yield nuclear weapons and hypersonic weapons, in order to form a new strategic advantage over Russia.
The United States has also demonstrated its nuclear capabilities in a high-profile manner and sent a clear deterrent signal through daily combat readiness exercises and training activities such as nuclear Xi, strategic cruises, and missile test launches.
Russia is not to be outdone in the face of the aggressiveness of the United States,Priority will be given to the development of strategic nuclear forces, with particular emphasis on developing nuclear weapons capable of breaking through the US missile defense system.
Russia has developed and deployed in recent years"Vanguard", "Dagger", "Zircon".and other hypersonic missiles, as well"Poseidon" unmanned underwater vehicle"Petrel" nuclear-powered cruise missileand other new models, all of which have asymmetric advantages over the United States.
Russia has also emphasized increasing its deterrence options and further expanding its deterrence to non-nuclear strategic and dual-use nuclear and conventional uses. Russia has also further broadened the concept of deterrence in the new edition of the Federal Military Doctrine, which is intended to be achieved by targeting the other sideTransmit the signal that "the nucleus can be used".to "lower the nuclear threshold" to deter the opponent's offensive intentions.
The game between the United States and Russia over nuclear forces can be described as a song of your side and a mere debutThe intertwining and continuous escalation not only increases the difficulty of managing the crisis, but also makes it easy for both sides to have serious misunderstandings and miscalculations.
The nuclear threat between the United States and Russia has also caused great unease to the international community. The use of nuclear weapons will not only cause large-scale loss of people and property, but also cause global environmental disasters and climate change, and have an irreversible impact on human civilization.
Therefore, nuclear arms control is an important means of maintaining global security and stability, and it is also the common responsibility of the United States and Russia.
However, the United States and Russia have obvious differences on the issue of nuclear arms control, and it is difficult to reach a consensus.
The New START Treaty, the only major remaining arms control treaty between the United States and Russia, expires in 2026However, the two sides have different views and demands on whether to renew the treaty, how to renew it, and whether to include new, tactical nuclear, and missile defense systems in the scope of the new treaty.
The United States also wants to include China and other third-party countries in the multilateral arms control framework, but China has made it clear that it will not participate in nuclear disarmament negotiations between the United States and Russia, because China's nuclear forces are far from those of the United States and Russia in terms of number and size, and there is no comparison. Under these circumstances, the prospects for the United States and Russia to advance nuclear arms control talks are not optimistic.
The escalation of the nuclear game between the United States and Russia is a dangerous game with no winners. The United States and Russia should realize that nuclear weapons are not a good solution to the problem, but a curse that provokes disaster.
The United States and Russia should abandon the Cold War mentalityEnhance strategic mutual trust, seek breakthroughs in nuclear arms control through dialogue and consultation, and contribute to global strategic stability.
The United States and Russia should take the same as the United StatesNew START TreatyOn the basis of this, a new nuclear arms control treaty will be signed, the quantity and quality of nuclear weapons will be further reduced, and new types of nuclear weapons and tactical nuclear weapons will be included in the scope of restrictions, while taking into account the impact of factors such as missile defense systems and outer spaceAchieve comprehensive, balanced and effective nuclear arms control.
The United States and Russia should fulfill their obligations under the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons in a responsible manner, prevent the risk of nuclear proliferation, and support the work of the International Atomic Energy AgencyPromote the ultimate goal of nuclear disarmament.
The escalation of the nuclear game between the United States and Russia is not only related to the security interests of the two countries, but also related to global peace and development. As nuclear powers, the United States and Russia should shoulder the heavy responsibility of safeguarding nuclear security, instead of intimidating and provoking each other.
The United States and Russia should replace confrontation with cooperation, threats with dialogue, and zero-sum with win-win results, and work together to build a community with a shared future for mankind and create a nuclear-free world.