Rise first and then suppress? Is it an illusion that the polling authorities have raised the Hou Ka

Mondo Social Updated on 2024-01-19

After the blue and white break in Taiwan, Hou Youyi andZhao ShaokangThe co-branding has caused widespread discussion. Interestingly, some pollsters in the green camp have also started to pump up the poll numbers of the candidates in the blue camp. Among them, the polling agency "Beautiful Island Electronic News" has attracted a lot of attention, and its head Wu Zijia often makes remarks in major **, and even has his presence in "Today's Headlines". According to the results of the agency's polls, Hou Youyi andZhao Shaokang's poll data is relatively high, surpassing Ke Wenzhe and approaching the level of Lai Qingde and Xiao Meiqin. Why is this happening?

In fact, Taiwan's polls play a very important role in elections. Not only is it a reference indicator, but it also influences voters' voting intentions, especially those in the middle. First, many middle voters tend to favor the more powerful parties, and they will go with the flow. Second, many voters are reluctant to waste their votes and want to vote for the candidate with the best chance of being elected. In such a situation, polls play an important role in influencing voters' voting intentions. And TaiwanLawsPollsters are prohibited from publishing poll data in the run-up to the elections, so that only polls conducted in the final stages can be published, both surreptitiously and underground.

However, it should be noted that the green camp is currently pulling upZhao Shaokangand Hou Youyi's "Hou Kangpei" does not mean that they will continue to maintain a high position, it is likely that it is a temporary improvement now, and it will continue to decline in the final stage. As a matter of fact, the Green Camp is more inclined to support the victory of "Lai Hsiao-pei" over "Hou Kang-pei", which is the view I have come to from many observations in Taiwan's elections.

In recent years, a considerable part of Taiwan's polling agencies have been controlled by Tsai Ing-wen, mainly due to the funding of Taiwan. Because pollsters themselves are not self-sufficient, they can only be funded by others to conduct surveys and thus generate income. As a result, many pollsters say that the income during the election period can sustain them for a long time, and in order to continue operating, they must make enough money at the time of **.

To sum up, we need to keep an eye on itTaiwan polldevelopment. The next 40 days or so will be a very critical period. In Taiwan's political arena, polling is not only a survey tool, but also a trump card that affects the election situation. Therefore, we need to maintain a calm and objective attitude, maintain a cautious interpretation of the poll results, and not be swayed by excessive optimism or pessimism.

Summary: The phenomenon of polling agencies raising up "Hou Kangpei" has attracted people's attention. Although the current poll data gives "Hou Kangpei" a certain advantage, we cannot ignore the possible negligence behind this. Opinion polls have played an important role in Taiwan's elections and have a certain guiding effect on voters' voting intentions. However, polls are also influenced by financial and political interests, so we need to maintain rational judgment and an objective attitude.

And for Taiwanese voters, it is extremely important to choose a suitable candidate. They need to be fully aware of each candidate's policies, personal qualities, and abilities, rather than being swayed by the results of the polls. Voting is the right of every citizen, and every vote should be taken seriously. It is hoped that Taiwanese voters will be able to make rational and wise choices in this election and contribute their own strength to Taiwan's future.

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