At present, our leaders are visiting Vietnam to meet with Vietnamese General Secretary Nguyen Phu Trong and Vietnamese President Vo Van Thanh. Prior to this, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi visited Vietnam and held talks with Vietnamese Foreign Minister Bui Thanh Son, which paved the way for the meeting between the leaders of China and Vietnam.
It can be seen that China is very concerned about this Sino-Vietnamese state diplomacy. In fact, not only Vietnam, but also China has been in contact with ASEAN countries very frequently. Previously, the Chinese Navy visited Myanmar and conducted joint exercises with Myanmar Xi. Not long ago, the Chinese ** ship docked at the Ream military base in Cambodia for the first time.
Including before the visit of our leaders to Vietnam, Singapore's Prime Minister and Minister of Finance Lawrence Wong also led a delegation to visit China for the first time as the prime minister, and the lineup of visits to China is very large, which is quite rare in my impression.
Obviously, China has recently accelerated the establishment of political, diplomatic, military, and economic cooperation and exchanges with ASEAN countries. Why is China doing this?On the one hand, it is naturally due to national strategic considerations, and on the other hand, it is forced by the current situation in the South China Sea. It can be said that as long as the ASEAN attitude is ensured, China can "shut the door and fight the dog" in the South China Sea and teach the Philippines a good lesson.
During this period, there has been a lot of movement in the South China Sea, and the situation has actually shown signs of intensification. Although the Philippines alone cannot set off any storms in the South China Sea, if the United States and the Philippines join forces, this matter will not be so simple, and how to stabilize the situation in the South China Sea is imminent.
A few days ago, the Philippine Coast Guard publicly stated that it would be on high alert during the Christmas period to strengthen maritime security. It has even been revealed that the Philippines intends to organize 40 fishing boats and join forces with several coast guard ships to force their way into Ren'ai Jiao again during this period, and will not give up until the goal is achieved.
Obviously, the Philippines alone certainly does not have the courage to openly argue with China. Therefore, behind the abnormal behavior of the Philippines, there must be the instructions and plans of the United States, in order to find trouble with China in the South China Sea. It is no wonder that two days ago, in the face of the Chinese coast guard's expulsion, the Philippines dared to turn around and ram the Chinese coast guard ship, which turned out to be to further stir up the situation in the South China Sea and pave the way for the United States.
To tell the truth, neither the United States nor the Philippines alone would be able to set off any storms in the South China Sea. But as soon as the two join forces, China will have to consider the question of whether it will cause dissatisfaction among ASEAN if China makes a brazen moveWill it completely push ASEAN to the side of the United States?
The key to whether the South China Sea can be stabilized lies in ASEAN. The key to whether the United States can advance its South China Sea strategy and make it difficult for China in the South China Sea also lies in ASEAN. But as I said at the beginning, judging from the current layout of China, in fact, the time is ripe, and China can stage a good show of "shutting down the door and beating the dog", and teach the Philippines a good lesson while excluding the United States and convincing ASEAN.
If you think about it, China has established relations with ASEAN as a whole, not with any particular country. Does this mean that if any ASEAN country has a conflict with China in the future, it must first try to be consistent with the ASEAN organization?
In the ASEAN Charter, there is also a principle that ASEAN countries must make strengthening regional peace a common commitment and collective responsibility. To put it simply, now that the Philippines is stirring up the situation in the South China Sea, provoking China's territorial sovereignty, and luring wolves into the house and colluding with external forces, should ASEAN take care of it?In principle, it must be managed.
However, within ASEAN, there may not be any country that can really control the Philippines, so since China has close relations with ASEAN, and the Philippines is provoking China, can China help ASEAN and manage the Philippines, which does not care about regional stability?
Therefore, some people say that the Philippines is provoking in the South China Sea all day long, why doesn't China subdue the Philippines?In fact, it is not that China does not fight, but that it must consider the overall situation and become famous. Now that China's layout has been completed, all the foreshadowing has been made, and it can stage a "closed door and fight dogs" at any time to teach the Philippines a good lesson, and at the same time, there will be no ASEAN country to help the Philippines come out, let alone ASEAN countries, and it is not the fault of accusing China.