This pig price**, the performance in East China is particularly obvious, and the market trend is quite strange. Pickling in the southwest started, but the pig price did not reach that in East China. Personally, I believe that this is mainly due to the recent rain and snow in East China, the rhythm of pig purchase and sales has been blocked, local consumer demand has rebounded, and the shortage of pigs in slaughterhouses has become more and more obvious.
In places such as southwest and southern China, pig prices** are more supported by pickling, while price increases in East China are more directly affected by sentiment and weather factors. The winter solstice solar term is approaching, and the temperature in the southern region continues to drop due to the influence of low temperature and cold wave weather, and the peak season of pork consumption is cashed out. With the good support of pickling, can pig prices be "red all the way"?The specific analysis is as follows:
First of all, from the perspective of supply and demand, as the winter solstice solar term approaches, the demand for pork consumption in the southern region continues to rise, especially the strong demand for cured meat, which forms a strong support for pig prices. At the same time, the rain and snow weather in East China has led to the obstruction of the rhythm of pig purchase and sales, the recovery of local consumer demand, and the shortage of pigs in slaughterhouses has become more and more obvious, which has further boosted pig prices.
Secondly, from the perspective of emotional factors, the recent pig price continues to be the best, the market bullish sentiment is high, and the breeding end is reluctant to sell, which leads to the difficulty of slaughtering enterprises to collect pigs, and they are forced to raise the price of purchase. Under the combined effect of emotional and weather factors, pig prices in East China are more obvious.
However, we should also recognize that pig prices are not "red all the way". Although the demand for pickled meat in the south is strong, the demand in the north is relatively weak, and the space for pig prices is limited. In addition, as pig prices continue to increase, the pressure on policy regulation and control may increase, and measures such as reserve meat are not ruled out to stabilize pig prices.
To sum up, with the support of pickling, pig prices are expected to continue to maintain the best trend, but the best space is limited. It is recommended that farmers remain rational and slaughter in a timely manner to maximize breeding income. At the same time, it is also necessary to pay close attention to weather changes, policy regulation and other factors, and adjust the breeding strategy in time to cope with market changes.