Recently, the international situation has changed dramatically, making people feel chaotic, and there are even fears that the situation will get out of control.
However, if we analyze it carefully, we will find an interesting phenomenon.
What is the phenomenon?
That is to say, after a year or two of wrestling, the status of the world's great powers has not changed much, and the three powers of China, the United States and Russia are still the top three, and they have all gained something.
And those small countries that follow the United States have mostly lost money, especially some countries in Europe, such as Germany, France, Poland, Ukraine, and so on.
It's really interesting.
In addition, a new round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict has recently erupted suddenly, and it is very intense, with no sign of easing.
This is a relief to Russia, which had the upper hand in the war in Ukraine, and they can now sit back and watch the tiger fight with peace of mind, which is completely different from the situation at the beginning of the war in Ukraine, especially last year.
Against this background, there is a veteran political observer in Russia, the former mayor of Volgograd, Konstantin Karachev, who made a series of very bold statements.
Why is his remark bold?
Let's see what he says.
He said bluntly
China is not an ally of Russia, nor is it a friend of Russia, but is just going together at an appropriate time.
In other words, this Russian expert is frankly admitting that the current Sino-Russian relations are only a relationship of interests, and there is nothing to talk about!
And Karachev also had a more direct expression, in which he asked a question:
Is the rise of China good for Russia?It's a worthwhile question!
What do you think of this statement by Russian experts?My personal feelings are mixed.
I would like to make three brief points.
First of all, why do Russian experts think that we are not their friends?
We Chinese have an old saying, thirty years in Hedong, thirty years in Hexi.
In other words, the times make heroes.
As mentioned above, the current international situation has undergone a very subtle change, on the surface it seems that Palestine and Israel are fighting, but in fact, Iran, a major country in the Middle East, after being stimulated and inspired by the Russian-Ukrainian war, also wants to drive the United States and Israel away from the Middle East region.
A few days ago, Elon Musk, the owner of the American social platform X, released a map of the distribution of US military bases around Iran.
The United States has gone too far over the years, blocking the way out for many regional powers, including Iran and Russia.
We in China have also been affected.
After Middle Eastern countries such as Iran and Saudi Arabia joined the BRICS, their ideas were also enlivened.
Iran, in particular, was the biggest winner of both wars, as its influence quickly spread throughout the Middle East after the U.S. withdrawal from Iraq and Afghanistan, and as a whole.
The Iran-Iraq war, which they had fought for many years, did not get results, but the Americans gave it to Iran for nothing.
In addition, more than 30 countries in the United States and the West have been fighting with Russia for nearly two years, but Russia is getting stronger and stronger, so it is fake that Iran is not moved.
It is for this reason that the Iranian-backed Palestinian Hamas group has dared to launch an attack on Israel, which has been hard to imagine over the past half-century.
This has undoubtedly brought an unprecedented favorable situation to Russia, and the pressure on Russia has been reduced a lot at once.
Therefore, from the perspective of ordinary Russians, Iran seems to play a great role in supporting Russia's strategy, even more so than China's strategic support for Russia.
Karachev, of course, will see it the same way!
But I would like to say that the level of this so-called Russian expert is too low.
His vision is superficial.
He can only see superficial phenomena.
His level is probably equivalent to that of a Russian public knowledge!
Why?
Because now even Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Russian Putin have to admit the special importance of Sino-Russian relations.
The just-concluded 3rd Belt and Road International Summit Forum is the best proof of this, Putin and Lavrov came together to participate, giving China enough respect, but more for the interests of Russia!
Secondly, does the rise of China matter to Russia?
To clearly look at China from Russia's point of view, in the final analysis, it is necessary to answer the soul question raised by the Russian expert above, is China's rise important to Russia?Or rather, is the rise of China good for Russia?
The answer is yes!
Because Russia has no other choice.
Even if such a special event as the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has temporarily lightened Russia's burden, objectively speaking, if there is no strong China to provide strategic support to Russia, there are only two prospects for Russia's long-term development.
What are the two possibilities?
One possibility is that Russia will soon be mired in war, and in the face of the increasingly tight strategic encirclement of the United States and the West, Russia's decision-makers will have to fight to the death, which will eventually trigger a nuclear war that mankind does not want to see.
This is very unlikely.
Although Russia has been threatening this matter, it is a matter of life and death for mankind after all.
No country will use this ultimate ** unless it is absolutely necessary.