Recently, the Russia-Ukraine conflict is about to usher in its second anniversary, and the United States, the supporter behind Ukraine, has also sat down at the negotiating table. At the moment, the United States and Russia are at a critical stage of whether to fight or talk, and Russia's Putin seems to have made a choice in his heart. However, at this critical juncture, an unpleasant friction with Iran has complicated the situation. Recently, the contradictions between Russia and the United States have gradually come to the forefront, and Biden has launched a fierce debate within the country, entangled in whether to "confiscate" the 300 billion euros of foreign exchange reserves of the Central Bank of Russia in the United States and the West. Russia, on the other hand, directly announced that if the United States dares to touch this money, it will lead to the "severance of diplomatic relations" between the United States and Russia.
These 300 billion euros of foreign exchange reserves account for more than half of Russia's foreign exchange reserves, which is not only the first of Russia's military support, but also an important fund to support Russia's economic development. If the United States uses this huge amount of money, it will undoubtedly directly touch the lifeblood of Russia. With Ukraine at war with Russia going on for nearly two years, Russia's style of warfare has prepared both soldiers and civilians to live and die with Russia. If the United States can stop in time, there may still be room for negotiation, but if the United States acts recklessly and plunders Russia's huge assets, then US-Russian relations will fall into a tragic situation that will never stop dying.
According to the New York Times, Putin had privately revealed in the early days of the conflict and recently that he intended to reach a ceasefire agreement with Ukraine and recognize Ukraine's sovereign independence, provided that Russia can continue to control the four regions of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia and Kherson captured in the conflict. However, the total area of these plots of land occupies 20% of the land of Ukraine, and the Ukrainian side does not agree with this. Ukraine** Zelensky is lobbying countries to support Ukraine's "peace plan", demanding that Russia return all Ukrainian territory and pay reparations. However, the reality is very skinny, whether it is the conflict between Russia and Ukraine or the confrontation between the United States and Russia, it is obvious that Russia has the upper hand.
After the outbreak of this round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the United States fell into a situation where it was difficult to take care of its head, while Russia has been soaring, and through its leadership in "OPEC+", Putin has returned to the world stage. The Middle East is a region of fundamental interest to the United States, so it has no choice but to continue to pay attention to the region. At the same time, peace talks with Russia are a good deal for the United States. However, the reality has made the United States see that Russia is strong, and the initiative is significantly more in the hands of Russia.
At this critical juncture, Iran is in the midst of a change in the situation. Iran raised Russia's position on the issue of the ownership of the three islands in the Persian Gulf and demanded the delivery of a diplomatic note to the Kremlin. The speaker of the Iranian parliament, Mohammad Bagher Kalibaf, issued a stern warning, saying that any claim that threatens Iran's territorial integrity will be met with a "serious response" and warned Russia to be wary of possible exploits by Western countries. The consensus between Russia and Iran is crucial on the issue of anti-US hegemony, and if the two countries disagree at this time, it will be a tragedy of "the close is painful, the enemy is happy".
As the Russia-Ukraine conflict is about to enter its second anniversary, the situation in Ukraine is not satisfactory, and Biden in the United States is about to enter the 2024 election. This is a good opportunity for Russia to break through, but hopefully everything will have a satisfactory ending.