On December 8, the general secretary presided over a meeting of the Politburo to analyze and study the economic work in 2024 as an important part of the meeting.
This year is the first year of the full implementation of the spirit of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, and it is also a year of economic recovery after the three-year prevention and control of the new crown epidemic. For the economic work in 2024, the meeting proposed to adhere to the principle of "seeking progress while maintaining stability, promoting stability with progress, and establishing first and then breaking".
Different from the Politburo meeting at the end of 2022 to set the tone of the economy in 2023 to "stabilize the word and seek progress while maintaining stability", "promoting stability with progress, establishing first and then breaking" is a new formulation this year.
The twelve words of seeking progress in stability, promoting stability with progress, and establishing first and then breaking contain two pairs of dialectical relationships: one pair is "stability" and "progress", and the other pair is "standing" and "breaking". Grasping well the dialectical relationship between these two pairs is the key to doing a good job in next year's economic work.
First of all, look at "stability" and "progress".
For an economy of our size, it is important to maintain economic stability. Only by maintaining economic development within a reasonable range and fully guaranteeing employment and people's livelihood can we calmly resolve risks and challenges and gain an advantage in international competition. In short, "stability" is an important foundation for "progress".
We will continue to implement a proactive fiscal policy and a prudent monetary policy", "enhance the consistency of macroeconomic policy orientation", "consolidate the fundamentals of foreign trade and foreign investment", "continue to effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas", and "resolutely adhere to the bottom line of no systemic risks......".This ** Politburo meeting put forward a series of measures to grasp the key point of "stability".
"Progress" is the goal of "stability", and it also provides a lasting impetus for the "stability" of China's economy. As the saying goes, "sail against the current, if you don't advance, you will retreat".
** The general secretary once said: "'Stability' and 'progress' must promote each other, and economic and social stability can create a stable macro environment for adjusting the economic structure and deepening reform and opening up."Only by making substantial progress in readjusting the economic structure and deepening reform and opening up can we create good expectations for the smooth operation of the economy and society. ”
The "progress" of the economy needs to be led by scientific and technological innovation, and it is also necessary to deepen the reform of key areas and expand high-level opening up to stimulate and release the momentum of development. The meeting also made specific arrangements for the "progress" of the force:
Look at the industry - we must lead the construction of a modern industrial system with scientific and technological innovation, and improve the resilience and safety level of the industrial chain.
Looking at people's livelihood -- we should focus on expanding domestic demand and forming a virtuous circle in which consumption and investment promote each other.
Reform - It is necessary to deepen the reform of key areas and continue to inject strong impetus into high-quality development.
It is generally believed that this year, the first time again emphasized "seeking progress while maintaining stability", and proposed "promoting stability with progress", indicating that "the tone of stability is more clear".
Let's look at "standing" and "breaking".
"Establishment" and "breaking" are important aspects of economic work, and in practical work, it is very important to grasp the relationship between the two. In order to seek new impetus for economic development, open up new space for economic development, and create a new mechanism for economic development, it is necessary to correctly handle the dialectical relationship between "establishment" and "breaking".
At the 2022 National People's Congress and the National People's Congress, the general secretary of ** once made an image analogy when talking about the realization of the "double carbon" goal "to establish first and then break, and not to break before standing" - you can't throw away the guy who eats in your hand first, but the new guy who eats has not yet got it, which is not good.
This vividly illustrates that before "breaking", you need to think about how to "stand".
So when it comes to economic work, what should we "establish" and what should we "break"?
In the long run, the old economic development mode and the industry in the recession stage should be broken, but in the process of "breaking", we must pay attention to the grasp of the degree, and we must first "stand" the new economic pulling capacity led by scientific and technological innovation.
The meeting mentioned science and technology related content many times, emphasizing "promoting high-level scientific and technological self-reliance and self-reliance", and "leading the construction of a modern industrial system with scientific and technological innovation, and improving the resilience and safety level of the industrial chain", which fully demonstrates that scientific and technological innovation has a role that cannot be ignored in the process of economic operation.
This was elaborated in more detail at the ** Politburo meeting held on April 28, 2023.
At that time, the meeting pointed out that it is necessary to accelerate the construction of a modern industrial system supported by the real economy. For example, consolidate and expand the development advantages of new energy vehicles, accelerate the construction of charging piles, energy storage and other facilities and the transformation of supporting power gridsIt is necessary to pay attention to the development of general artificial intelligence, create an innovation ecology, and pay attention to risk preventionWait a minute.
2024 will mark the 75th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China and a crucial year for the implementation of the 14th Five-Year Plan. As long as we deeply study and implement Xi socialist thought with Chinese characteristics in the new era, especially the economic thought, and grasp the "seeking progress while maintaining stability, promoting stability with progress, and establishing first and then breaking", we will be confident that we will achieve better development in "stability" and "progress", "breaking" and "standing".
* Radio and Television Station CCTV Network).