After China's civil war between the Kuomintang and the Communist Party 70 years ago, the Kuomintang was defeated and retreated to Taiwan, resulting in the separation of the two sides of the strait for more than half a century. Although China now has the strength to unify Taiwan by force, the "** forces" on the island are becoming more and more rampant, making the time node of military reunification of Taiwan a hot topic. When exactly will the military reunification of Taiwan begin?The author believes that at present, the mainland is waiting for the resolution of three key issues, and this will be the best opportunity for military reunification with Taiwan. First, China needs to establish a complete internal circulation of the economy.
Modern warfare requires strong economic power, and China's current dependence on foreign countries, especially on Western markets, is worrying, despite its large economy. Data shows that 675% come from Western countries such as the European Union, the United States, Japan and South Korea, and there is a gap with the West in terms of high-end industries. In the event of a war, China's economic strength will be severely damaged, so it is urgent to establish a complete economic internal circulation. Second, China needs to address the international environment in which the Taiwan issue is resolved.
At present, the United States and other Western countries have been maintaining stability in the Taiwan region through arms sales and political support, and China needs to weaken Taiwan's influence in the international community through diplomatic means in order to strive for an international environment conducive to reunification. Finally, China needs to strengthen its military preparations to ensure that it has sufficient military strength to ensure the military reunification of Taiwan by force. China needs to be prepared on many fronts and wait for the three issues to be resolved, when the best time will be to reunify Taiwan by force. Will China be able to successfully recover Taiwan like Russia?
This seems to be a question full of unknowns. In recent years, Russia's actions against Ukraine have triggered sanctions from Western countries, and the war has taught China a profound lesson. Unlike Russia, which needs to import large quantities of food and energy, the situation could be even more dire if it faces Western sanctions. Therefore, before taking any action, China needs to build a strong internal economic cycle in response to possible sanctions. The mechanism of internal circulation in the economy is not an easy task and requires long-term efforts and strategic determination.
This includes ensuring enough food, energy, and a strong manufacturing industry to survive even in extreme situations. From a military point of view, China also needs to continue to build up power. The Russia-Ukraine war has provided China with many negative teaching materials, showing problems such as underestimating the enemy, lack of precision ammunition, chaotic command of troops, and weak logistics system before the war. Therefore, in order to achieve a beautiful "blitzkrieg", China needs to accumulate a sufficiently deep offensive capital before the war.
While the PLA's military rise in recent years has been remarkable, especially in the navy and air force, China needs to be clear that a future war in the Taiwan Strait may not only confront the Taiwanese military, but may also involve the involvement of the United States and Japan. Since Tsai Ing-wen took office, the United States has provided Taiwan with a large number of arms sales, including F-16V fighters, M1 Abrams tanks, AIM-120D air-to-air missiles, and "Patriot" air defense missiles.
At the same time, Japan has also expressed its support for Taiwan and openly opposes China's recovery of Taiwan. Therefore, China needs to consider all aspects when facing the Taiwan issue, and it needs to have long-term planning and preparation, from economic construction to military layout. Only in this way can China respond to various challenges and protect its own interests in the international arena. At present, the Taiwan Strait issue affects the nerves of China and the United States and the entire East Asian region, and the election in the Taiwan region affects the future of the entire Taiwan Strait.
Once war breaks out, the USS Reagan aircraft carrier battle group and the USS America amphibious assault ship under the name of the US Navy's Seventh Fleet will form a huge expeditionary strike group with the Japanese Self-Defense Forces, including 3 aircraft carriers, 2 aircraft carriers, more than 300 advanced fighters, 8 Aegis ships, and 21 attack submarines. This expeditionary strike group can arrive in the Taiwan Strait within 72 hours to participate in the war. Once air and sea supremacy is lost, the landing force will completely lose its way of retreat and will not be able to withdraw a single soldier.
Taiwan's regional elections will determine the future fate of the Taiwan Strait, and if *** wins the government, there is a high probability that Taiwan will enter a real countdown to military reunification. So, has the hope of peaceful reunification of Taiwan been completely dashed?Since the island came to power, "it is true that the * forces have become more and more rampant, but there are still a considerable number of more rational people on the island who agree that there should be no war between the two sides of the strait," and it is foolish for the * elements to deliberately provoke the anger of the mainland.
Finally, China has been waiting for cross-strait reunification for more than 70 years, so naturally it has enough patience to wait for the next six months. The cases of the PLA's previous wars tell us that as long as all the three conditions are ripe, the PLA will surely strike with a thunderous force and smash the dream of collusion between the United States and Taiwan in one fell swoop.