Neither military reunification nor reunification is feasible?Is the strategy of forcing reunificati

Mondo History Updated on 2024-01-19

Hello friends, I'm Da Zhuang, and I'm here to talk about current affairs again

Recently, Xie Hanbing, a military expert on the island, put forward a new point of view in an interview"Forced reunification".。In the face of the increasingly conspicuous urgency of the issue of cross-strait reunification, can Xie Hanbing's new line of thinking be used as a good medicine to resolve the deadlock?Today, Dazhuang will discuss the feasibility of the "forced reunification" strategy with you, and see how much room there is for this strategy to practice in the current situation1. "Forced Reunification": A More Flexible Third Way Since 1949, the situation of cross-strait separation has lasted for more than 70 years. In the past long years, the call for peaceful reunification has never ceased, but the process of reunification has always been stagnant. In recent years, with the rapid increase in the mainland's strength, the disparity in strength between the two sides of the strait has become increasingly wide, and this gives us reason to re-examine the reality of the road to peaceful reunification.

Against this background, the strategy of "forcing reunification" recently proposed by Xie Hanbing, a military expert on the island, is novel and avant-garde. The essence of "forcing reunification" is to use economic sanctions and military deterrence as means to force the Taiwan authorities to take the initiative to seek reunification talks under pressure。Such a strategy can avoid the tragic cost of armed conflict and accelerate the eventual political integration of the two sides of the strait. In contrast, the long-term implementation of the road of "peaceful reunification" and "military reunification" has certain drawbacksThe former has too long a time span and is difficult to achieve results in the short term;The latter may lead to instability in the Taiwan Strait and cause incalculable losses. So, is it really possible to resolve the cross-strait deadlock in one fell swoop?

2. The operational space of the mainland's "forced reunification" strategyTo answer the above questions, it is necessary for us to analyze the current operability of the "forced reunification" strategy. From two key perspectives, economic and military, the mainland has accumulated ample bargaining chips. First, at the economic level, Taiwan's dependence on the mainland has reached an eye-watering level. Data from 2022 shows that the mainland is Taiwan's largest partnerTaiwan's exports to the mainland accounted for 41 percent of Taiwan's total exports5%, and imports accounted for 219%。This means that Taiwan's economic lifeline is closely linked to the mainland market. Once the mainland restricts the entry of Taiwanese products or imposes economic sanctions on Taiwan, it will be difficult for Taiwan to bear the losses arising therefrom.

Second, at the military level, the PLA's frequent military exercises are also affecting Taiwan's psychological defense. In the past, the Taiwan military had declared that if the Continental Army planes crossed the so-called "middle line of the strait," it would definitely counterattack, but under the pressure of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) step by step, this "bottom line" has been forced to retreat. The PLA's two large-scale military exercises in April and August 2022 have left the Taiwanese military at a loss.

Therefore, the mainland has seized the initiative in terms of both the comparison of economic strength and the strength of military deterrence, and this has provided strong support for the implementation of the strategy of "forcing reunification." 3. The main resistance to "forcing reunification" However, there will inevitably be resistance in any strategy. As far as the road of "forced reunification" is concerned, the potential involvement of the United States is undoubtedly the biggest variable. In view of the important strategic position of the Taiwan region, the United States is very likely to extend a helping hand to the Taiwan authorities when the situation in the Taiwan Strait becomes tense, such as military exercises and Xi or on-the-spot intervention. This will undoubtedly affect the process of "forced reunification." However, the mainland also seems to be ready for all kinds of external interventions.

Specifically, the mainland has built a sound regional anti-access system to prevent US military intervention. This system is mainly composed of naval and air forces and rocket forces, the former is responsible for demarcating forbidden areas in the first island chain area, and the latter can carry out long-range strikes against US military bases in the Asia-Pacific region, instantly weakening the deployment strength of the US military in the Asia-Pacific region. It can be said that the mainland has made every possible preparation to prevent the United States from interfering in the process of reunification.

It can be seen that the strategy of "forcing reunification," as a good medicine to resolve the deadlock in the Taiwan Strait, has a relatively prominent feasibility and practical space. Under the pressure of the mainland's ever-increasing economic and military strength, the Taiwan authorities will, sooner or later, under the pressure of public opinion, choose to hold reunification talks with the mainland. It is believed that in the future, the long-standing dream of the two sides of the strait finally realizing reunification will also become a reality. Accomplishing the great cause of the motherland's reunification is a historic task that our generation of Chinese should work together for. What do you think about this?Welcome to leave a message to communicate.

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