Recently, the frequent changes in extreme weather have been really unexpected. Not long ago, the temperature was around a comfortable 20 degrees Celsius, but all of a sudden, the temperature plummeted to minus a few degrees Celsius, dropping by more than 20 degrees. This extreme temperature change is rare, and has raised concerns and concerns about the weather ahead, especially for the upcoming Chinese New Year.
In this regard, traditional Chinese folk have long predicted. There is an old proverb: "If you hit five or nine tails in spring, you will break your leg when you want to eat." What does this mean?What will the weather be like during the Chinese New Year?
First, let's parse this proverb. "Spring" here refers to the solar term of the beginning of spring, while "Wujiu" is related to the folk tradition of "Counting Nine Songs". "Counting Nine Songs" is a folk weather method, as the saying goes: "hot in the dog days, cold in the three nines", which shows that the degree of cold in winter can be judged by counting nine. Generally speaking, the fifth nine days after the winter solstice are "five nine".
This year's winter solstice falls on December 22, which means that from this day on, people will start counting nine days for future weather. According to tradition**, it can be unusually cold during the Chinese New Year.
Although this traditional weather method is not as precise as scientific instruments, it contains the deep understanding and observation of the laws of nature by the ancients. Each "nine" represents nine days, and the different "nines" reflect the weather characteristics of different stages of winter. Therefore, whether the weather will be very cold during the Spring Festival this year, from this point of view, it seems likely that it will be particularly cold, as the proverb says. However, this is only a tradition**, and the specific situation needs to refer to modern meteorological data.
The beginning of the Spring Festival in 2024 falls on February 4, that is, on the twenty-fifth day of the lunar month. This day, according to the notation of the lunar calendar, is the day of the month of Bingyin in the year of the Lunar New Year. Interestingly, this date coincides with the final stage of the traditional "number nine" cold day, that is, the end of the fifth nine.
In traditional Chinese culture, there is a proverb "Hit five or nine tails in spring, and break your leg when you want to eat", which has a profound meaning. When the beginning of spring occurs on the last day of May 9, it is often considered a sign of a crop failure. The proverbial "running and breaking a leg" refers to a beggar who is running around in vain because of a lack of food, reflecting a year of scarcity.
The specific date of the beginning of the spring solar term has an important impact on the growth and harvest of crops. In ancient books such as "Yi Wei Tong Hexagram Experience" and "Yi Shuo", this is elaborated in detail. For example, they mentioned that the timing of the onset of spring and the climatic state have a direct impact on the growth of crops. If the climate of the beginning of the spring solar term is not normal, it may lead to an increase in diseases and poor crop growth.
Therefore, the beginning of the spring solar term is not only an important lunar solar term, but also a key time point in the traditional agricultural society to observe and improve the growth of crops. It not only marks the beginning of spring, but also the beginning of the year's crops. This year's beginning of spring coincides with the end of May and September, and according to traditional belief, it may mean that the growing conditions and climatic conditions of the crops this year require special attention.
Regarding the climate of the Spring Festival in 2024, we can speculate by analyzing the number nine weather ** method. According to this traditional method, the Spring Festival (February 10, 2024) is in the "June Nine" period. Usually, during the sixth and ninth seasons, the cold of winter gradually subsides, and the weather begins to warm up, heralding the arrival of spring. Since the beginning of spring (February 4) in 2024 is earlier than the Spring Festival, this indicates that the Spring Festival period is likely to be relatively warm.
However, relying solely on tradition** to judge the climate of the Spring Festival may not be accurate enough. In nature, there is often a phenomenon of "inverted spring cold", that is, the weather is warm at the beginning of spring, and then suddenly turns cold, which has a potential adverse effect on the growth of crops. In the folk, there are various proverbs in different regions to describe the weather changes after the beginning of spring, such as "spring beats the five and nine tails, and every family can't open their legs", "the spring hits five and nine tails, and every family fishes for pork legs", etc., all implying that the beginning of spring may bring unstable weather at the end of the fifth and ninth days.
In addition, changes in modern weather are influenced by a variety of factors, such as the El Niño phenomenon, which makes traditional weather methods less accurate. Therefore, although the tradition** provides some references, to accurately understand the specific climate conditions of the Spring Festival, it is also necessary to combine the real-time meteorological data and cold wave forecast at that time. In this way, we can get a more accurate idea of whether the weather will be cold or warm during the Spring Festival.
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