Early in the morning of 1 December, fighting resumed and Israel resumed its military strikes in the Gaza Strip.
The "Provisional Ceasefire Agreement in the Gaza Strip" came into effect at 7:00 a.m. on November 24, and the two sides reached an agreement on a four-day ceasefire, which was then extended twice, theoretically ending at 7:00 a.m. on December 1.
But 40 minutes before the expiration of the temporary ceasefire agreement, Israel could not wait, and the sound of bombardments was heard all over the Gaza StripHamas violated the interim ceasefire agreement into Israel**.
Although it may feel a bit far-fetched, it is still a reason, and it does not matter whether or not Hamas violated the temporary ceasefire agreement and the Israeli army did not choose to continue the truce. If you say it's violated, it's violated, and if you want to fight, what else can you do?
Don't forget, in the eyes of Israel, everyone in Gaza is Hamas, even the bricks are Hamas's, and now they have no reason to say it?Maybe the so-called "to Israel" is an angry Palestinian kid who threw a brick at an Israeli tank that destroyed their home?
In fact, judging from the conditions of the temporary ceasefire given by Israel before, this ceasefire is inevitably unlikely to be long-lasting.
Israel's extension of the ceasefire is conditional on the continued release of hostages by Hamas for the seven-day duration of the ceasefireThe parties released seven batches of hostagesHamas has released more than 70 Israeli hostages and 24 hostages from other countries, and Israel has released 210 Palestinians in custody.
The exchange of hostages is the key to a Palestinian-Israeli ceasefire. But the problem is that the hostages in Hamas's hands are to put one less and find enough hostages to prolong the ceasefireHe is not Israel, and he can go to the West Bank at any time to replenish the stock of hostages.
Hamas still has hostages in its hands, but the number of civilian hostages is obviously not much, and the Israeli soldier hostages in its hands, Hamas will not let go so easily, it must want to exchange for Hamas militants in Israeli prisons, but it is difficult for Israel to agree to this exchange.
So,The ceasefire is unsustainable, and war is bound to resume. The captain also mentioned in a previous article: Time is very precious for Israel now, and the "temporary ceasefire" is just to let the Israeli army calm down the international ** and solve the hostage problem by the way, so that it can be more free to deal with Hamas.
Since winning five consecutive victories in the Middle East war, Israel has firmly established itself as the "little bully of the Middle East", relying on its military strength and the deterrent power brought by military superiority. In the second Lebanese-Israeli conflict in 2006, the IDF tasted for the first time that it could not win, but the number of Israeli casualties at that time was only 121.
At present, the number of Israeli officers and soldiers captured by the little "Hamas" has reached hundreds, which makes the "little overlord" talk about military deterrenceThe "Golden Bell Jar" has been punctured, and the chain reaction behind it is too much for Israel to bear. To fill this bell jar, a devastating blow to Hamas would have to be inflicted. Therefore, the Israeli army's operational goal has always been clear, and the minimum goal is to eradicate Hamas.
Now, the Israeli army has not even achieved the minimum goal, and even the military defeat has not yet succeeded, and in addition to the bombing of buildings, the actual results are very few, and it is not difficult to understand that the Israeli side is eager to re-**.
So after the re-**, what will happen to the Israeli army compared to the previous offensive?The captain thinks there are a few points:
First, the overall situation of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict will not change, after all, the gap in strength between the two sides is here, but the Israeli army has exchanged most of the hostages for the opportunity of a "temporary ceasefire." It will no longer be a "rat trap" during the shelling, and the offensive will inevitably be more fierce than the previous one.
2. It is very likely that the scope of the Israeli army's military operations will be expanded to southern Gaza, because Hamas has opened up the northern and southern parts of Gaza through many tunnels, and has basically realized the "mutual channeling" of the north and the south.
Third, there is a great possibility that the Palestinians and Israelis will talk and fight at the same time, but peace is doomed to be hopeless in the short term, and the Israeli side will not easily cease fire until the Israeli army has not eliminated Hamas, or the Israeli army has suffered heavy losses and finally finds itself unable to eliminate Hamas.
Israel does not dare to stop this war, and Hamas cannot stop.
So, how can Palestine and Israel achieve a genuine ceasefire?Either the Palestinians will be freed from the existential threat and truly independent, or they will drag Israel into a protracted war, and the wartime economy will not be able to bear it, so it will have to stop fighting.