The war between Israel and Hamas continues, with the two most recent highlights being the release of a video of Hamas's surrender by the IDF and a high-definition propaganda video by Hamas. It has to be said that the outside world underestimated Israel's determination. Israel has now designated a small area of southern Gaza as a "security zone". This means that the IDF will not only take northern Gaza, but also continue to advance ground operations in southern Gaza. The LM-90 heavy rocket equipment displayed by Hamas also seems to indicate that Hamas is about to have a final showdown with Israel.
Hamas's display of heavy rockets is naturally aimed at boosting morale and deterring Israel, but it is difficult to say whether the image released by Hamas was filmed recently or was taken before. But one thing is confirmed: the impact of Hamas on Israeli rockets was very ineffective. In addition to being intercepted by Israel's Iron Dome system, almost every Israeli has bomb shelters. To inflict lethal harm on Israel, Hamas is now arguably incapable of doing so.
The propaganda**, released Friday by Hamas's Qassam Brigades, shows a new multiple rocket launcher, the LM-90, which can launch up to eight rockets at a time. The paragraph, entitled "Tel Aviv will be burned and Al-Quds Al-Sharif will be liberated", shows the strength of the Palestinian resistance in terms of production capacity and military arsenal. It is reported that the rocket has a range of 90 kilometers, making it possible for Hamas to target and strike the heart of occupied Palestine and even important Israeli cities from various positions in the Gaza Strip.
At the same time, the Israeli side is beginning to estimate the end of the war, and there are currently two nodes, one at the end of January and the other in mid-February. This means that the IDF's plan for the war in Gaza will last at least two more months. If Israel's stated plan is to continue fighting for two months, Hamas's fate will face a huge challenge. Because Israel's current way of fighting is to exterminate Hamas. Gaza City is currently surrounded on all sides by Israel, Khan Younis's ground operations are being further expanded, and Hamas's living space has been repeatedly compressed.
In the current situation, the initiative is entirely in the hands of Israel. As we said earlier, as long as Israel accepts the current price or even a greater price, there will indeed be only one outcome for Hamas. Because the gap between the two sides is so great, although Hamas can use tunnel warfare and guerrilla warfare to pose a threat to the Israeli army, the Gaza Strip is too small to have a buffer space to support Hamas's "asymmetric warfare". Moreover, the Israeli army has various ways to deal with Hamas's tunnels, blowing them up when they find them, and even filling them with water, which makes Hamas's tunnel warfare not so smooth. The most terrible thing for Hamas is the lack of backup. Gaza has been completely locked down. Even if external forces want to help Hamas, they can't get in. This means that Hamas's ammunition stockpiles will soon be depleted. And the pressure on Israel in the Lebanese and Syrian directions is not enough to change Israel's established plans.
Without Hamas, is this an acceptable situation for the countries of the Middle East?In fact, throughout the Arab world, more voices are heard for an Israeli ceasefire because of the large number of civilians** that have been created. Few countries have come out directly in support of Hamas, which makes Hamas's fate even more uncertain. For the Middle East powers, especially Saudi Arabia, the demise of Hamas is definitely not a good thing. Because this is an armed force that balances Israel and even triggers strategic hedging. Although Saudi Arabia does not like Iranian-backed Hamas, it does not mean that Saudi Arabia wants Hamas to perish. In this round of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, although on the surface Saudi Arabia's role in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is very marginal, even inferior to Qatar, Saudi Arabia is strategically hedging against the United States through the current Palestinian-Israeli conflict. Putin's recent arrival, and his interaction with Iran, suggests that Saudi Arabia is trying to break free from more Western constraints.
If Israel really eliminates Hamas, it will actually have little impact on the Middle East pattern, and Saudi Arabia still has plenty of room to play games with the United States. After all, the improvement of relations with Iran is enough for the United States to drink a pot. Moreover, Israel seeks stability in relations with the Arab world and is also "dependent" on Saudi Arabia. The absence of Hamas does not mean that Israel has nothing to fear. Israel wants a safe surrounding environment, and Saudi Arabia is a force to be reckoned with.
For Iran, there is no Hamas and no Lebanon. There are also Shiite forces in Syria, and the rivalry between the two sides will not stop with the demise of Hamas. Even if relations between Saudi Arabia and Israel improve, Iran is unlikely to change relations with Israel. Therefore, the demise of Hamas will not have much impact on changing the situation of the overall confrontation forces in the Middle East. Besides, is Israel really capable of destroying Hamas entirely?No way. It can only be said that Hamas will lose, but losing does not mean that it does not exist. The hatred that Israel is injecting into the Palestinians today will one day lead to those whose families are ruined and who have only hatred in their hearts to rise up and fight Israel to the end.