Elections on the islandPollsThere has been a significant change, and the current dynamics of support show the competitive landscape of individual candidates. Lai Xiaopei's support rate continues to be **, and has now fallen below 4 percent, ranking first. Hou Kangpei's support rate decreased slightly, but on the whole, it showed a leading trend, ranking second. Ke Yingpei's approval rating has fallen seriously, leaving only 173%。However, although Lai Xiaopei is still ahead, the gap with Hou Kangpei has narrowed to 26%, which is already in the margin of error. And Hou Kangpei has more than ninety percent support in the Kuomintang, but inPollsstill failed to completely catch up with Lai Xiaopei. Therefore, the KMT's election situation is still not optimistic. At this time, there are still some variables, such as the voting propensity of the middle voters, the degree of impact of the abandonment effect, and some unexpected events that are difficult to achieve, which will determine whether the KMT can defeat in next year's election
According to the latestPollsThe data shows that Lai's support rate has continued to decline and has now fallen to 351%。This situation has further increased the island's confidence in Hou Kangpei, and some people believe that Hou Kangpei is expected to defeat Lai Xiaopei in the election campaign. However, Lai still maintains the leading position. It is worth noting that most of the supporters within the KMT have returned, but inPollsstill failed to completely surpass Lai Xiaopei. This put the Kuomintang in a certain predicament.
In addition, Ke Yingpei's support rate has also fallen sharply, leaving only 173%。This result shows that Ke Yingpei's current election situation is not optimistic. At the same time, for the KMT, how to win over the middle voters has become an important issue. However, the KMT's move to target the middle voters is not small, and they hope to attract the support of the middle voters in various ways in order to gain an advantage in the election.
In the process of analyzing the election situation, there is a view that the "abandonment" strategy. The implication of this strategy is that the blue camp should try to keep Hou's approval rating rising, so as to force non-green supporters to choose "stay strong";At the same time, the blue camp should also widen the gap between Hou Kangpei and Ke Yingpei, so as to encourage non-green supporters to choose to "abandon the weak". As things stand, this strategy seems to have had some effect. However, Ke Yingpei still maintained 17The 3% support rate shows that there is still room for further fermentation of the "abandonment of insurance" strategy.
In response to this situation, the chairman of the KuomintangZhu LilunOnce again, the red line of the "ban on Keke" was reiterated. He said that in order to express the KMT's support for Hou Youyi, Ko Wenzhe will not be relaxed as a KMT."Legislator"Platform limitations. This move shows that the KMT is nervous and attaches great importance to the election situation.
And forTerry GouThe Kuomintang also pinned high hopes on its return. Previously, there were polls that showedTerry GouThe supporters are mainly from the blue camp and the middle voters, which makes the KMT look at the supportTerry Gouof the middle voter population. In order to attractTerry Gouand to further attract the return of voters from the blue camp, the KMT lifted the "ban on Guo" and allowed the KMT".Legislator"Candidate invitedTerry GouGo to the platform.
In order to win the support of the middle voters, the KMT took a series of actions. Lai Qingdeand Xiao Meiqin began to avoid talking".", indicating that there is no longer any need for Taiwan to declare independence and avoid it.""The label sparked panic among the population. The move is intended to send a message of stability and peace to voters in the middle in order to rally their support. However, the statements of these candidates are just a change of rhetoric, and the essence has not changed. Lai Qingdeand Xiao Meiqin are still named by the mainlandWorkers and diehards, for the middle voters, this information does not go unnoticed.
Judging from the current election changes, the competition between the Kuomintang and *** is still fierce. Lai's support continued to decline, which made the KMT have more expectations for Hou Kangpei's chances of victory. However, the gap has entered the margin of error, and the uncertainty of the election situation remains. The voting preferences of voters in the middle, the abandonment effect, and unexpected events will have a significant impact on the outcome of the election.
For the KMT, it is necessary to win over the middle voters and attractTerry GouThe return of the order became a priority. They hope to gain the trust and support of voters by changing their stance and expanding their support camp. However, there is still a tendency to insist on "double independence", which is a factor that cannot be ignored by middle voters.
Therefore, the KMT needs to continue its efforts and take more aggressive steps to win the support of voters in the middle. At the same time, they also need to pay close attention to changes in the election situation and public opinion trends, and flexibly respond to various unexpected situations. The election campaign is about to enter the final stage, and the KMT needs to unite closely to meet the challenges of the election.