Introduction:
How to open a position depends on the trader's complete trading behavior, which is a whole, and it is a logical closed loop formed by multiple logical fits.
Hello everyone, I'm Brother A, today is Thursday, there is not much trading time this week, today's **long ushered in**, it is still good for me as a long trader, the thread is untied as scheduled and ushered in a certain profit, as for urea, it has gradually begun to have a certain dawn!After all, the daily line ushered in the end of the sun.
First of all, let's take a look at the trend of the commodity index, from yesterday to today, the two ** directly broke the ** pattern, began to strengthen, in the short term, it is expected that the possibility of further pulling up is very high, if the new high can be broken, the year ago may usher in a small bull market pattern, which I hope you can pay attention to.
Let's talk about the logic of this wave first.
First: the market has a big brother, European line container transportation, four consecutive boards looking at the entire historical market is also very eye-catching, in the near future to play a certain role in the leading brother, mainly driven by the emotional side.
Second: near the end of the month, most of the 01 contracts of ** products are about to enter the delivery month, with the return of the spot, some spot products that are much higher than ** need to move closer to the spot**, which is often referred to as forced position behavior.
Personally, I think the main reason is the second point, I believe that many old traders should know this, so remember not to rush to open a short at the end of the month.
This is also the main reason why my thread long order has been held until now, and it has been said during the live broadcast at night that at the end of the month, the short long at the end of the year is a safe strategy!
Let's talk about the current positions, as well as the more optimistic products, I hope it will be helpful to everyone!
Current positions: thread, urea.
The above picture is the thread daily line 05 contract trend chart, the current Zhongyang open road today, on 4000 is no problem at all, as for the new high is not impossible, but for the sake of safety, I will reduce the position above 4000 with a good capital preservation, continue the pattern. After all, it was a few days before, and now it comes out, and it can't be set anymore.
For the black series: I personally think that the years ago are easy to rise and fall, especially bifocal, iron ore and hot coil, relatively speaking, the thread is the weakest, hot coil and iron ore foreign capital are brainless bulls, as for the bifocal spot has been high and even has a price increase, ** and then will soon rise. Therefore, it is recommended that you do not rush the empty black series. Remember.
The above picture is the daily trend chart of the urea 2405 main contract, and friends who have read the previous article should have the impression that I made money first and did not go and then increased my position**. So it's hard too, haha.
However, at the end of the month, the spot ** is still relatively strong, and it is rumored that India's last bidding began to start, and in terms of short-term technical aspects, this wave of urea ** is basically in place, so I have to wait quietly, if the end of the month still can't get up, it is impossible to stay next month.
I don't dare to say that urea will definitely rise, but I have done urea many times this year, and with my understanding of urea, there was at least one wave of ** before the year, and it did not reach the top!!
A few products that are more optimistic:
Apple:
Apple's product has been said for a long time, and it has been done many times, and it has recently begun to move sideways, and its performance is average, but experienced veterans know that the more this time is often prone to big **, after all, the demon fruit is not a joke.
It's Christmas soon, and it's really strange that there is no stocking news at present, I estimate that it will come out tomorrow or this weekend, as for whether it can drive the bulls to take off a wave is not easy to say, but the big fall should not be, the best situation tomorrow morning bottoming out and then rising at noon, so that next week you can use the news to take advantage of a wave **.
Prepare to try a small ** entry point tomorrow, preferably around 8000, if you can't get to 8000, then wait until 8000 to make up the position, the long-term bullish, if you can get up, you can get it after the year!
Soda ash:
Soda ash today is really fierce, in fact, it can be seen as a signal of **, originally last night's live broadcast said that the 2050 long order, but unfortunately 6 points short of the transaction.
In addition, you may have also seen that the inventory of soda ash announced today has a certain **, but it is still at a low level, it is still very low, and the spot ** has been stable, and the basis is also very large, so the soda ash is still not good to fall, and I am personally more optimistic**, and I am ready to find opportunities to do more in the future.
In addition: coking coal, methanol, Shanghai nickel, soybean meal, soybean oil, these products I am also bullish, it is expected that there may be a good wave of **!
That's all I have to say, I won't say much else, if you have any questions, you can leave a message in the comment area, and talk about it live at night!Welcome to come and see!