Vietnam had hoped to become the first country in Southeast Asia to have a high-speed railway, but cooperation with China and Japan failed. Although Vietnam proposed three new construction proposals, all of them were ultimately rejected. This time, Vietnam's high-speed rail plan was shattered again. In the face of various difficulties and challenges, will Vietnam be able to find a new way out?Let's take a look at the analysis.
1. The first plan: a new north-south double-track railway
The existing North-South Railway was upgraded to transport short-distance passengers in addition to cargo. The program totalInvestmentsThe amount is expected to be 673$200 million.
Expansion: The first plan is based on the north-south double-track railway, which can not only improve the cargo transportation capacity, but also meet the needs of short-distance passengers. This will effectively improve the efficiency of north-south commuting in Vietnam and support the optimal development of the transportation market. However, this solution does not solve the need for Vietnamese cargo transportation to connect with international standardsRailswith the original VietnameseIron oreThe gauge does not match. Therefore, the proposal was rejected.
2. The second plan: a new double-track railway
A new double-track railway will be connected to the north-south direction, and the design of passenger and freight transport will be adopted. The program totalInvestmentsThe amount is up to 720$200 million.
Expansion: The second scheme emphasizes the combined transport of passengers and freight to meet the ever-expanding demandFreightDemand. However, due to the relatively low speed and high speed, it cannot meet the standards of high-speed rail, which is still a problem in long-distance north-south transportation. Therefore, Vietnam wants to have a high-speed railway that can reach speeds of up to 350 km/h. As a result, the proposal was also rejected.
3. The third plan: north-south double-track railway
InvestmentsA north-south double-track railway line, mainly for passenger transport, and at the same time capable of transporting goods in the event of overloading of the existing north-south railway line. The program totalInvestmentsThe amount rose to 689$800 million.
Expansion: The third option has a high transport capacity, passenger trains can reach a speed of 350 kilometers per hour, and the use of modern high-speed technology can greatly reduce the commuting pressure in the north and south of Vietnam, and realize the optimal adjustment of the transport market. In addition, the scheme can also be used in the existing north and southRail transportTransporting goods in case of overload of goods. However, due to the high technical requirements, the safety and passing capacity of the train could not be guaranteed, so the plan was ultimately rejected.
All three plans were rejected, and Vietnam's high-speed rail plan was shattered again. In the face of difficulties, will Vietnam be able to find a new way out?
1. Transportation demand and international docking
Vietnam is facing the need for cargo transportation and international docking, which is the driving forceEconomyAn important factor for development and international cooperation. However, none of the three existing options adequately addresses this issue.
2. Technology and investment challenges
The huge amount required for high-speed rail technology and constructionInvestmentsIt is the difficulty in promoting the implementation of the program. Vietnam's high-speed rail plan needs to rely on foreign technology and financial support, but this also means that it is highly dependent on foreign countriesInvestmentsThe cost is incalculable.
3. Demand and actual operation
Although the three plans for Vietnam's high-speed rail plan cover the needs of passenger and cargo transportation, there are many difficulties in practical operation. Axle load and speed constraints between schemes, as well as differences in technical requirements, create operational and management challenges.
Although Vietnam's high-speed rail plan has suffered many setbacks, the Vietnamese side does not seem to have completely given up. In the face of new dilemmas and challenges, Vietnam may need to think about the following questions:
1. Technology introduction and independent innovation
Will Vietnam be able to find a balance between technology introduction and independent innovation in the construction of high-speed rail?Through the introduction of advanced technology and experience, improve their own technical capabilities, so as to seek better solutions.
2. Cooperation and reasonable planning
Will Vietnam be able to work more closely with its international partners to develop a rational transport plan and construction plan?By making full use of the advantages and resources of all parties, we can achieve a win-win situationSustainability
3. Conform to market demand and economic development
Can Vietnam more accurately grasp the market demand andEconomyThe pace of development?Integrate high-speed rail construction with the stateEconomyDevelopment strategies are combined to ensure the viability and sustainability of the project.
Vietnam's high-speed rail plan was shattered again, mainly due to technical difficulties in the construction planInvestmentsdifficulties and operational challenges. However, Vietnam has not given up and is still looking for a better solution. Facing the future, Vietnam needs to learn from the lessons of the past and carry out more in-depth researchMarket researchand planning, and working with international partners to promote the development of high-speed rail. Only by finding the right technology andInvestmentsBalance point and adapt to market demand can realize the dream of high-speed railEconomyA virtuous circle of development.