On December 30, pig prices deteriorated and the north and south fell , and the logic of the decli

Mondo Three rural Updated on 2024-01-31

Recently, the pig market "gunsmoke resurgence", the game at both ends of the market purchase and sales intensified, especially, after the winter solstice, the supply and demand pattern has been differentiated, on the one hand, the southwest pickling has gradually ended, the pork season has gradually "downgraded", and the consumption support has weakened;On the other hand, the bullish sentiment at the breeding end has loosened, and the big pigs have increased significantlyThe strong supply and weak demand of the pig market gradually appeared, and the big fat ** went down, leading the standard pig *** downward, and the pig price "deteriorated" from north to south, and the market showed a situation of overall decline!Hogs**

According to the analysis of the institution, it is understood from the summary data of slaughtering enterprises that on December 30, 2023, the average price of the national lean foreign ternary pig slaughter price will drop to 703 yuan catty, down 009 yuan, the domestic market showed a comprehensive downward situation, pig prices obviously "deteriorated", * the center of gravity fell back to about 7 yuan catty, in some areas of the north and south, pig prices showed a "broken" low situation!

Among them, in the northern region, the traditional low-cost provinces and regions, at present, Heilongjiang ** in 67~6.8 yuan, Hebei**69~7.3 yuan, Shaanxi ** in 7 7$3. In the traditional **region, Sichuan**69~7.2 yuan, Zhejiang**75~7.8 yuan, Shandong**72~7.7 yuan, Henan**7 73 yuan, Hunan**7 73 yuan, Guangdong ** at 73~7.$5!

At present, the domestic high and low market, the center of gravity of pig prices has been lowered, and the pig price in the northeast has fallen into the "6 yuan era", * region, the low-price pig source in the Sichuan and Chongqing markets has fallen below 7 yuan catty!Judging from the market feedback, at present, in Henan, the price of large factories is 3 4 cents, and the price of Guangdong factories is 2 cents, and the market supply and demand sentiment is generally poor, and the pig price is as follows

On the one hand, with the arrival of the New Year's Day holiday, the pre-holiday stocking of slaughterhouses has basically ended, the operating rate has been sharply reduced, and the enthusiasm for pig source procurement has gradually weakened, the average daily slaughter volume has been significantly reduced, and the mentality of reducing the number of pigs has become stronger

On the other hand, the market is not enough to support, the stock before the New Year's Day is less than expected, and by the rise in temperature in the south, the demand for pickling is gradually weakening, the end of pickling in the southwest, the willingness of residents in East China and Central China to pickle is general, pork sales have deteriorated, and the difficulty of white strips has increased!

Superimposed, a new round of pork rotation is coming, the market feedback is flat, and by the frozen pork inventory is higher, after the New Year's Day holiday, the rhythm of frozen pork out of the warehouse or will be accelerated, the market for the New Year's Day holiday, the pig price is not confident enough, the breeding end of the slaughter mentality is higher, ** two breeding and large factories generally sell large pigs, slaughterhouse pigs arrive in excess, and the price mentality is higher!

Therefore, the increase in ** is obvious, and the demand is gradually declining, and the domestic pig price is showing a significant decline!However, there is 1 good news in the market, because the pig is about to fall below 7 yuan catty, the northern market has a slightly high price operation, the pig farm price mentality has become stronger, and the decline may gradually weaken!However, at the beginning of January, the pressure on the slaughter of group pig enterprises may be reduced, and the pig price has the opportunity to be the first, however, limited by the weakening of demand support, the storage capacity of frozen pork is sufficient, and I personally believe that in the short term, the pig price will still be dominated by "grinding the bottom", and there is still a risk of further downward adjustment!

On December 30, pig prices "deteriorated" and "fell" in the north and south1 good newsWhat do you think about this?The above is the author's personal opinion, **from the Internet, the content is for reference only!

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