Recently, global financial markets have undergone significant changes under the influence of the Federal Reserve's policy. Especially in the United States, the trend of ** has attracted the attention of global investors. According to reports, there has been a strong trend in the recent term due to the Fed's inclination and bets on a soft landing. However, this trend showed a certain pullback on Thursday, and the market began to have doubts about the ** rising too fast and too high.
During this rally, the S&P 500 was close to its all-time high, but then recorded only a modest increase. This indicates that the market may be at risk. The Nasdaq-100 surpassed 50% in 2023, but then somehow so. In addition, the VIX index, known as Wall Street's "fear index", also fell from a nearly four-year low**.
In other markets, U.S. Treasuries*** sent the 10-year yield below 4%. The US dollar has emerged relative to other developed market currencies**, in part because the ECB has indicated that it will not follow the pace of US interest rate cuts for the time being. The breadth and intensity of this rally, measured by tracking the lowest returns traded on the five major exchanges, was the strongest of all Fed days since March 2009.
Analyst Matt Maley noted that both bonds and ** markets are showing signs of overheating in the short term, and there may be some ** in the near future. In addition, according to Bloomberg's latest market research, investors expect the S&P 500 to rise to about 4,835 points by the end of 2024, but this increase is only about 25%, reflecting the market's skepticism that U.S. stocks will continue**.
To sum up, despite the recent global policy-driven global outlook, the market remains cautious about the future direction. Investors need to pay close attention to the Fed's policy movements, global macroeconomic trends, and technical signals in the market to make sound investment decisions. In today's complex and volatile market environment, it is important to maintain a flexible and prudent investment strategy.
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