Corn is good for two! Food prices or will**? Is there a chance for a big rally in December corn?
Recent corn ** trend.
At present, China's northeast corn has stabilized and rebounded, and there is a trend of continuous upward trend in some places, which cannot but be worrying. But in December, at an important stage of grain sales in our country, it is still doubtful whether it can continue to be substantial in the future. However, there have been two good recent news about the corn market that offer a glimmer of hope that the grain will stop rising.
1. The price reduction is small.
Since November 26, after nearly a month of gains, the Northeast corn market has ushered in a new wave of decline. This decline has caused a great impact on ordinary farmers, mainly because the price reduction of corn at the bottom is too fast, the price of enterprises is 40-60 yuan per ton, and the decline at the grassroots level can be as high as 60-100 yuan tons. However, in the current market, there are two scenarios that show that this round of *** is likely to have bottomed out.
First of all, the reduction of the enterprises has been significantly reduced, except for the Heilongjiang Suihua Haotian is still declining, the rest of the enterprises have no longer decreased. After all, if a business can't get food, it can't lower it. Secondly, the purchase price of Inner Mongolia Kailu Yuwang has been for two consecutive days**, which also indicates that the reduction is about to end. Therefore, whether the overall price increase can be achieved in the future depends on the progress of the bottom farmers in selling grain, however, the grain has not fallen back at present, which is also a good phenomenon.
1. Difficulties faced in February.
It's December, and the grain sales in the market are not too slow, and many farmers are worried about whether the corn can continue. However, it seems to me that the cereals *** in December are indeed a little difficult. First of all, both large and small buyers, they hold the view that the ** of corn will decline further. Therefore, they all want to wait until the price of grain is more ** before buying, so that they can buy a large amount of grain at a lower price. Therefore, the current situation is that they are not in a hurry to buy it, and they dare not buy it. If you want to raise prices, you must have a leader, but the current situation does not seem to be very good.
Secondly, after December, grain sales will exceed November. Under the conditions of oversupply, it is often difficult for housing prices to increase significantly. And to make it higher, there has to be a natural disaster, several snowfalls in a row, and food piles up. However, it will take some time to really rely on natural disasters to achieve food price increases.
In short, judging from the current situation, it is unlikely that the corn futures price in December this year will be significantly **. However, no matter what, we are looking forward to getting better and better in the future and bringing more income to farmers.
In terms of economic benefits, at present, the purchasing units of corn are holding a "wait-and-see" mentality, believing that the future will continue to decline, so they are not in a hurry to buy or buy. In such a situation, if you want to increase the price, there must be a group of people who take the lead in buying and generating some demand in the market, so that the first will go up. On the other hand, the current grain market supply is relatively abundant, if the grain sales exceed the demand, then it is difficult for the grain to rise significantly, and there must be some special conditions.
Although it seems that the probability of a large ** in December is relatively low, the change of ** is unpredictable, and we still have to continue to observe ** and make strategic adjustments in a timely manner. Farmers are members of the market, and they must also respond accordingly to the current situation and make the most rational choices.
In the end, no matter what happens in the market, I firmly believe that the state and relevant departments will give appropriate policy support and guarantees to farmers to get through this turbulent period and create a good environment for their development. He also called on the vast number of peasant households to enhance their understanding and grasp of the market, enhance their own market concept and decisiveness, and promote the steady development of China's agriculture.