The start of 2024 is really too warm!Looking at the actual map of temperature anomalies in the past 10 days, the temperature in most parts of the country is warmer than that of the same period in normal years, and some areas are warmer than 4.
As we said yesterday, we are still in a period of relatively calm weather, although the cold air is active, but the strength is not strong, and the temperature will continue to be generally warmer.
The first wave of warming up has come. During the day today, there was a large-scale increase in temperature in southern Jiangsu and Anhui, Zhejiang, eastern Hunan and other places, especially in Jingxian County, Zhejiang, Zhuji, Zhejiang, Pujiang, Zhejiang, Wenzhou, Zhejiang and other places.
However, at the same time, the influence of cold air has also spread in the north, and the above chart can clearly see the temperature drop in most parts of the north. Including this one, three more are expected this week: 9-10, 11-12 and 13-14. Therefore, this week's weather can be summed up as a "temperature variation": the temperature roller coaster sprints back and forth, with a cycle of ups and downs**, but the overall warming is greater than the cooling.
You see that the southern area that just rose 8 10 today, tomorrow it will drop by 4 6, rounded up, it will still be warm, and the temperature will rise sharply the day after tomorrow.
Let's take a look at the two cold airs in the back.
11-12: The path of this cold air is northerly, and the intensity is weaker, and the influence range is small, mainly in Northeast China, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, eastern Inner Mongolia and other places, and there will be 4 6 cooling in eastern Inner Mongolia and Northeast China, and about 8 local cooling. The large drop it has brought is also related to the rapid recovery of the north today and tomorrow, raising the temperature base and having more room for cooling.
It should be noted that this cold air will bring snow to Tohoku and other places. It is expected that there will be light snow in many places in northeast Inner Mongolia and Heilongjiang tomorrow, and moderate snow locally;The day after tomorrow, there will be light to moderate snow in northeast Inner Mongolia, most of Heilongjiang, eastern Jilin and other places, with locally heavy snow.
13-15: This cold air is relatively strongest, and the cooling range is wider, most of the central and eastern parts will be cooled by 4 8, and some areas will be cooled by about 10.
And before it affects the south, the temperature in the south will rush wildly. Especially in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, the cumulative warming range can reach 8 14 !At that time, Hubei, southern Anhui, southern Jiangsu, most of Hunan, most of Jiangxi, most of Zhejiang and other places can generally reach more than 10, local 12 or so, like Hefei, Wuhan, Hangzhou, Changsha, the maximum temperature on the 14th is above 20.
After the cooling on the 15th, most of the southern cities are still warmer yellow than the same period of the year.
Even if this cold air goes south to create a significant cooling, it will only pull the "crazy" temperature back and return to the temperature that should be in this season, but because the early warmer is too outrageous, after the cooling, the temperature in many areas in the south will still be warmer than usual.
The National Climate Center released the latest news yesterday that 2023 will be the warmest year since meteorological records began, breaking the warmest record, and the global average temperature from June to December has continuously exceeded the historical extremes of the same period. It has already been officially announced that the average temperature in China in 2023 will be 107, the highest since 1961, breaking 105 Record, the warmest year on record.
According to the latest**, the current moderate-intensity El Niño event will continue into the spring of 2024 and is expected to have a significant impact on global surface temperatures, with consecutive monthly high temperature records still likely to be broken again.
The outrageously warm Sanjiu that we are experiencing now is only the beginning of 2024, and you and I are witnesses to this "crazy" weather.
China Weather Network).