For ordinary people, it is necessary to learn to accumulate experience. Experience is very important. There are many stock commentators on the Internet, but we must learn to weigh them.
For those who are more emotional, we should be especially careful of those who bet on certain *** in the near future.
Many major decisions require you to make your own decisions, make your own decisions, and think about various ways out. That is, if the ** falls by 50% or 80%, how much do I have to make up?When is the margin call?Do I have follow-up funds?
The easiest way to judge whether an investor is mature is to look at his expectations.
Those who always say they want to double in ** are probably because they have just entered ** and have unrealistic fantasies about **.
*。We all know that the best ** investor in the world is Warren Buffett, who makes an average of about 20% per year.
Any expectation above this value is an unreasonable expectation.
So what kind of expectations are reasonable?I think it's a reasonable expectation that we can outperform GDP growth.
This expectation is relatively easy to achieve. GDP growth is calculated on the value of growth of national enterprises. So we only need to buy three to five (dispersed to prevent sudden black swan events), better than most enterprises, and it can be realized.
So why lower expectations?
Because expectations are too high, long-term holding** is not achievable. Holding for a long time can only achieve the goal of outperforming GDP and outperforming Buffett's earnings, which will lead to frequent trading. As for frequent transactions, firstly, the transaction fees are expensive, and secondly, it is easy to lead to gambling.
Nine out of 10 losses are due to gambling.
And if you hold good companies for a long time, you will theoretically definitely outpace GDP growth, which is now about 6% per year.
Closer to 10% when inflation is taken into account. So if you can lower your expectations, not only will you not lose money, but you can also achieve an average return of 10% in the long run.
And if you have a keen insight, if you have an eye and Buffett's understanding of the business, your income can be close to 20%.
I think Warren Buffett is the ceiling for all investors) so we need to lower our expectations so that we can be patient and hold **, because the returns of not moving are those that are higher than the returns of moving.
*The most indispensable thing in the market is news.
Advanced inventions, mergers and acquisitions of large companies, and private cooperation between management can all cause speculation in the market.
Even if no one cares, it can suddenly skyrocket and double in a short period of time. So should we chase hot stocks?
In my opinion, if ordinary investors want to make money, they must not buy hot stocks, or even stay away from them. First, sentiment outstrips value over sentiment in popular stocks.
Emotions are erratic, and the worst fear is losing money. Losing half of your money requires doubling your profit to recover your principal. Betting on emotional heights is like guessing the odds.
As long as you keep going, you're going to fail at some point. And this heel will make you unable to stand up.
Secondly, popular stocks are not ** stocks. The reason why popular stocks can be so hot shows that the market capitalization of the stock is small. As soon as the big money enters the market, the stock price will be rapid**. With such a small market capitalization, it is difficult to see the future.
But this kind of small market capitalization is exactly what many big funds are willing to. Finally, hot stocks are not suitable for small funds.
The uncertainty of popular stocks is high, and it is difficult to reposition positions.
You guessed it, you can't make much money;You guessed it, you can't make much money;
You guessed it, you can't make much money;
In fact, buying ** should be based on value, because in the long run, the stock price will not be below the value. For a long time, when the stock price is below its value, it is the time to ***.
You must be optimistic about the trading volume of **, because only the trading volume cannot deceive people, other data can be fake, only the trading volume cannot be fake;Analyze the intention of the market maker by volume;
*There are people behind it, so it's ever-changing, and you have to figure it out**. The intent behind it;Look at the general trend and future profitability rather than previous or current performance;
Try not to touch ** with a market capitalization of more than 10 billion, and try not to touch **trend**, because you don't know where the bottom isLook for the opening with a 30-minute line and an ascending channel
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