Tensions in the Middle East have escalated, and US Iran relations have once again reached a stalemat

Mondo Military Updated on 2024-01-21

As we all know, the contradictions between the United States and Iran have always been the focus of the Middle East. After Trump** announced his withdrawal from the "Iran nuclear deal" and took a series of tough measures, the relationship between the United States and Iran deteriorated rapidly. Although Biden said that he would return to the agreement after taking office, more than three years have passed, and the US-Iran negotiations are still deadlocked. On July 24, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said that the United States did not rule out the possibility of resuming dialogue with Iran on the nuclear issue, but that there was no significant progress in substance.

Biden had planned to force a compromise by "isolating Iran," however, with Iran rapprochement with Saudi Arabia, a wave of rapprochement in the Middle East has challenged U.S. strategy. In order to maintain its influence in the region, the United States seems to be once again considering the use of force to exert pressure.

On the 1st, the Israel Defense Forces announced that it would conduct a two-week "internal defender Xi" with the U.S. Fifth Fleet, covering land and sea training, as well as ship seizure and other exercises. The action was interpreted as a deterrent to Iran, especially against the backdrop of a near-conflict between the United States and Iran over the seizure of oil tankers in early July.

Behind the Xi exercise, the intentions of the United States are obvious. First, the joint US-Israeli "ship seizure" exercise is a response to the events of early July and could set the stage for a larger conflict in the future. Second, many countries in the Middle East formed a new naval alliance to ensure the safety of navigation in the Persian Gulf, which reduced the sense of presence of the United States in the region, so the Xi exercise was also to demonstrate its presence and deter Middle Eastern countries.

At the same time, tensions between Israel and Iran have also affected the game of the United States. By conducting a joint Xi with Israel and pointing the finger at Iran, the United States is essentially providing support to Israel and preparing for its friction with Iran in the region.

In addition, the increased U.S. maritime presence in the Middle East is consistent with its strategy of restricting Iranian oil exports. Considering Iran's call on India to buy its oil after Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the United States may use the Xi to prepare for the future seizure of Iranian oil tankers. At a time when US-Iran relations are at an impasse, this series of measures taken by the United States shows that it does not hesitate to use various means to balance Iran and undermine the reconciliation process in the Middle East.

To sum up, the accelerated deployment of the United States in the Middle East has made the regional situation more tense. Middle Eastern countries such as Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates need to be vigilant in response to possible tougher actions by the United States. In this complex geopolitical landscape, the prospects for Middle East reconciliation have become more tortuous, and the contradictions between the United States and Iran will continue to ferment.

The article provides a detailed analysis of the complexity of the current US-Iran relationship and the multifaceted actions of the United States in the Middle East, and shows the trend of escalating tensions in the region. First of all, the article clearly points out that the grievances between the United States and Iran, especially the withdrawal from the "Iran nuclear deal" and the military action against Soleimani during the Trump era, have led to a sharp deterioration in relations between the two sides. After taking office, Biden said that he wanted to return to the agreement, but the negotiations have not made substantial progress.

The article forcefully reveals that the U.S. strategy of trying to force compromise by "isolating Iran" has been challenged, especially the rapprochement between Iran and Saudi Arabia, which has ushered in a wave of reconciliation in the Middle East. This rapprochement trend has weakened U.S. influence on Iran and forced the U.S. to recalibrate its overall strategy toward the Middle East. This is a positive sign for stability and reconciliation in the Middle East, but for the United States it means the loss of some control.

The Xi exercise was seen by the article as a means of force pressure by the United States. The Xi involved the "seizure of ships" and was apparently in response to tensions between the U.S. and Iranian navies over the seizure of oil tankers in early July. The article reasonably speculates that this may be the foreshadowing of a larger conflict in the future. This action is not only a deterrent to Iran, but also a maintenance of the US presence in the region, because the formation of a new naval alliance has affected the geopolitical position of the United States to a certain extent.

The article mentions the joint Xi between the United States and Israel, emphasizing the strategic game of the United States in the region. By directly supporting Israel and pointing the finger at Iran, the United States is effectively endorsing Israel in its future friction with Iran, which is also partly a booster of regional tensions.

Finally, the article clarifies the strategic purpose of the strengthened U.S. maritime presence in the Middle East, in particular to limit Iranian oil exports. Considering Iran's shouting to India, the article speculates that the United States may block its oil exports by seizing Iranian oil tankers in order to safeguard its economic and strategic interests in the region.

Overall, the article objectively analyzes the complexity of US-Iran relations and the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East, revealing the multi-layered strategy adopted by the United States in this process. The wave of regional reconciliation and the strategic conflict of the United States have made the future of the Middle East uncertain, and all countries need to be vigilant to adapt to possible changes in the situation.

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