The civil war in northern Myanmar has been going on for more than two months, and there has been major news recently: the Myanmar side has also started the Quadrilateral Talks under the mediation of China.
It seems that the allies still have a lot of respect for China!
Is this war going to end?
Myanmar's official press spokesman, Zo Myint Tun, held talks with the allies, the Arakan Army and the De'ang People's Army on December 11 with the assistance of China, and the Myanmar Affairs Coordination Group met on December 11.
Later, Zo Mintun added: "In accordance with the original intention of the four-nation talks, we hope to meet again at the end of December to negotiate on the outstanding issues." ”
It can be seen that the attitude towards peace is very positive.
In fact, since the war was waged by three local military groups and the gradual capture of many cities in the west and north of Myanmar, Myanmar has been in a state of panic and is looking for an opportunity to reach an agreement with the local military forces.
However, the mediation process has been slow because of the differences in interests and mutual mistrust between the two countries.
This time, Myanmar asked China to intervene in order to resolve the conflict through negotiations.
We can imagine how much effort China has put into making this peace process a reality, especially the work done by its allies.
Not to mention the contradictions between the previous and the four great families, just these days, they have been fighting guerrilla warfare in the mountains, fighting against **, and have suffered a lot.
This war is not over yet, they have let go of their past grievances, if it weren't for Huaxia's sake, they wouldn't stand with **.
According to information obtained by Reuters from China on December 11, the negotiations between Myanmar and various ethnic armed groups have been fruitful.
Mao Ning, spokesperson for China's first country, also replied: "The stability of the northern part of Myanmar is beneficial to all countries, and it is beneficial to the stability of the China-Myanmar border area." ”
In fact, the timing of this meeting is crucial for this meeting to go smoothly, excluding China's assistance.
First of all, military groups all over Myanmar have begun to rebel and occupy many important bases, and in order to solve this problem as soon as possible, Myanmar** has shown great sincerity.
Since they are asking China to intervene to solve the problem, there is no suspicion that China's actions will interfere in Myanmar's internal affairs.
Secondly, the military groups in various parts of Myanmar, especially the alliance, although they have won several civil wars, there is still a certain gap between their equipment level and the regular ** army;
Moreover, the battle had been going on for more than two months, and the coalition forces were exhausted, and they desperately wanted a trusted intermediary to act as their messenger, as China did.
Third, China, for its part, also has its own reasons.
Over the past two months, China has made important progress in the field of anti-telecom fraud.
On November 12, Zhejiang Province issued a wanted warrant for Ming Xuechang, Ming Guoping, Ming Zhenzhen, and Ming Julan.
In just four days, one of these four people was killed, three people were arrested, and the originally arrogant and domineering Ming family completely collapsed at this moment, and the rest of the people were also panicked.
On December 10, according to the important clues and numerous clues of the case, Fujian and Liaoning ** once again carried out an open pursuit of more than 10 backbone wire fraudsters, including Bai Suocheng, Liu Zhengxiang, and Wei Huairen, and vowed to eradicate these people from the source and crack down on their arrogance.
I hope that through the cooperation of China and Myanmar, this case will be resolved as soon as possible.
Therefore, when all conditions were met, China agreed to Myanmar's request and successfully concluded the talks.
Will this negotiation go smoothly?Will the war in Myanmar end?
Given Myanmar's current predicament, and some of the basic intentions of the recent four-nation talks, there is a good chance that this will happen.
First of all, the armed forces of the three regions are a little tired, so in this negotiation, the four countries have shown great sincerity.
In addition, the stability of the border area between China and Myanmar is also beneficial, so although there are still differences of opinion in the negotiations, China will not sit idly by and take the initiative to mediate.
Therefore, as long as all parties are sincere in making peace and not making unreasonable troubles, then the negotiations can still proceed.
But even if the negotiations are reached, there are potential problems in Myanmar, such as how to resettle Kokang and the military power of the three major forces.
Kokang was originally Peng Jiasheng's, but was later expelled by ** and the four great families, and now, Peng Jiasheng's son came over with the coalition army, obviously wanting to take Kokang.
If the ** army hands over the brother city to the alliance, then the negotiations will be much easier, the question is whether Myanmar ** will be at ease?
Besides, if the Burmese authorities are willing to cede the Kokang region to the Allied States, what about the local army?
You can't leave all the places to the local armed groups, in that case, you have to give up your territory, and Min Aung Hlaing will certainly not allow it.
Therefore, it remains to be seen what the relationship between Myanmar and the three major powers will be after the negotiations, and how the local military forces will control themselves.
If the fourth round of the four-nation talks, to be held at the end of this month, succeeds, Myanmar's civil war may end quickly.
Only in this way can Myanmar sign an agreement with the military groups in the three major regions and restore peace to the border between China and Myanmar. However, in the end, Myanmar's internal stability depends on the level of governance of Myanmar itself.
As a neighbouring country, we sincerely wish that Myanmar will maintain peace and stability for a long time.