The Tatmadaw has faced a joint counterattack by multiple local forces, most notably the Tatmadaw of the 99th Division and the 16th Field Brigade in the Kokang Allied Army area. This conflict is different from previous local conflicts, but it shows the coordinated operation of local armed forces, forming an organized encirclement and suppression. The use of rocket artillery and other advanced ** has made the war situation more complicated, putting the Myanmar army in an unprecedented predicament.
The use of high-intensity** rocket attacks against the Burmese army has become a highlight of the joint counterattack. In Magway province, the 101st Division of the Burmese Army was hit by rocket artillery and even suffered heavy damage from the destruction of ammunition depots. The widespread use of this advanced ** has made it difficult for the Burmese army to choose an effective way to deal with the situation instead of facing traditional small-scale armed forces, but to deal with more complex and high-intensity firepower confrontations.
The main force of the Burmese army entered the Kokang area, however, this did not bring them the joy of victory, on the contrary, the logistical supply lines were attacked from many sides. Local forces have resorted to coordinated guerrilla warfare tactics in rural areas, forcing the Burmese army to shrink gradually. The loss of small-scale strongholds, townships and towns in various places has caused the Burmese army to lose control of the surrounding areas in rural areas, providing favorable conditions for joint counterattacks.
Due to the loss of control in rural areas, the Myanmar Army** faces a severe logistical dilemma. The encirclement and suppression of local armed forces has been further intensified, and the movement of the main force of the Burmese army has been severely restricted. This situation not only affects the combat effectiveness of the army, but also makes it difficult for the military to effectively provide basic services to rural areas, such as tax collection and resource development, which in turn leads to the gradual escalation of pressure within the army.
The situation has been dire in the face of coordinated counterattacks from multiple directions, with reduced resources and loss of control over rural areas. The local armed forces have gradually strengthened themselves through the expansion of the areas under their actual control. Using ant-eat-bison-style tactics, local militants could plunge the Burmese army into a long and protracted war, which would have a profound impact on Myanmar's political situation.
At the heart of the Burmese military's diminishing resources and internal rifts lies in its reliance on rural resources and tax revenues, which have been drastically reduced by local militant control. It is difficult for the Burmese army to enter the locally controlled areas for development, enterprises are directly terminated, and tax revenues are reduced, which makes the financial revenue of the country decline rapidly. This lack of resources has a direct impact on the army's logistical supply and equipment upgrading, weakening its sustainability on the battlefield.
The dwindling resources have not only created a dilemma at the economic level, but also triggered a power struggle within the Myanmar military. Due to the scarcity of resources, conflicts may arise between factions over limited resources. This internal discord can lead to internal rifts and weaken the ability to fight back against local forces. This is a favorable factor for the local armed forces, who can further weaken the internal unity of the military by sowing discord and other means.
It is difficult for the Myanmar military to enter the locally controlled areas for development, enterprises are directly terminated, and tax revenues are reduced. As a result of this phenomenon, the economic base of the locally controlled areas gradually collapsed, the living standards of the residents declined, and dissatisfaction with the military gradually accumulated. At the same time, the loss of enterprises also means that the military has lost part of its economic pillars, which has exacerbated its dilemma of resource depletion. This situation has enabled the local armed forces to gain more support at home, forming a double blow to the military.
The Burmese army** may face the possibility of a protracted war, which can be compared to the Taliban's sustained guerrilla strategy during the war in Afghanistan. Although the Burmese army is strong, the local armed forces use scattered and flexible tactics, which makes it difficult to win through conventional means. This kind of ant-eating bison-style fighting makes the Burmese army ** likely to experience a long period of weakening and attrition, and the situation will be even more severe. At the same time, the Myanmar military needs to carefully consider its foreign aid and international support strategies to improve its position in the international community, and hopefully respond more effectively to internal and external challenges with the support of external forces.