Will Yemen become the next Afghanistan

Mondo International Updated on 2024-01-30

Due to the attack on Israeli merchant ships passing through the Red Sea by the Houthis in Yemen, the United States is ready to launch a strike against the Houthis and invite a number of Western countries to escort them.

Yemen's Houthi leader said that we would prefer to fight directly with the Americans. The Houthis say China is a just country and will not attack Chinese merchant ships.

This high hat is well worn by China, and it has increased the Arab world's goodwill towards China.

Observe the current disputes in the world, mainly the territorial dispute between Israel and Palestine, the war between Russia and Ukraine, and the civil war in Myanmar. Behind this are the shadows of the United States and the West.

What's going on with Yemen** and the Houthis?Let's popularize it here.

The Houthis are an armed group in the northern Yemeni province of Saada, led by Hussein. Hussey. Born in 1956, Husai is the leader of the Shiite Zaid sect in the northern province of Saada, and has a strong presence in northern Yemen. The Houthis were founded in the 70s and are mainly young believers. The Houthis flourished in the 90s, when Yemen** was Saheli, a long-ruling group belonging to the Shia sect, which was in the minority in Yemen and was opposed by Sunnis in the country. So Saheli began to prop up the Houthis, and slowly the Houthis began to grow, and their ideas became more and more radical. Saheli cannot control the Houthis. In 2004, the Houthis began a large-scale rebellion and occupied many cities, during which time Houthi leader Houthi died. Later, the Houthis, with the support of Iran and Shiites, stormed the capital Sana'a and established **, but it has never been recognized by the United Nations.

This year, under the mediation of China, Saudi Arabia and Iran have reconciled. Before 2023, Saudi Arabia belongs to Sunni and Iran belongs to Shia, and the two sects are incompatible. Since 2009, Saudi Arabia has designated the Houthis as a terrorist organization and has launched a joint crackdown. However, Saudi Arabia was inferior in strength and was beaten by the Houthis. The Houthi organization has the support of the domestic people and the help of Iran behind it, so it is said that it will not fall behind when it fights Saudi Arabia. Fortunately, with China's mediation, the two countries have also achieved reconciliation.

So, will the United States attack Yemen?

No, the United States has just emerged from the quagmire of Afghanistan. U.S. economic indicators continued to decline in November. After Yemen's Houthi rebels attacked Israeli merchant ships, the U.S. aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson in the South China Sea could sail to the Red Sea. The US aircraft carrier USS Eisenhower in the Mediterranean Sea also sailed to the Red Sea.

The Red Sea is the lifeblood of the world's oil routes, and merchant ships from all over the world come and go. The Houthis in Yemen attacked Western merchant ships, which is equivalent to being held in the hands of the West.

Western countries, led by the United States, escorted merchant ships in the Red Sea. I don't think the U.S. will invade Yemen, and in the early stages it will carry out naval strikes against the Yemeni Houthis in the Red Sea. This will provoke the wrath of Iran, the big man behind Yemen, and the solidarity of Shia Muslims.

Recently, Malaysia, as a Muslim country, announced a ban on merchant ships from Israeli countries calling in Malaysia. The recent reconciliation of Muslim countries makes it possible that Muslim countries around the world will join Yemen.

Analyzed in several ways, Yemen will not become Afghanistan.

First of all, Yemen is strong.

Secondly, Yemen has Iran's support behind it.

Moreover, if Muslims reconcile, Yemen will have the support of Muslims around the world.

Finally, the U.S. economy is in dire need of growth, and the war costs money, and the U.S. will not end up in person, and will generally find the best people to go to war. And Saudi Arabia, which has a global enmity with Yemen, has just reconciled with Yemen, and no one has entered the war for the time being.

Religious wars have been going on for thousands of years. Whether the ** religious countries, led by the West, will strike at Islam's Yemen this time, I don't think it will be for the time being.

How to break the game?I think that Arab countries, as well as Western countries, will also seek good offices with the big powers in the East. After all, Saudi Arabia and Iran successfully achieved reconciliation under the mediation of China. Because Ukraine is at odds with the West, it is impossible for Russia to participate in mediation between the West and the Arabs.

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