The Russia-Ukraine conflict has been going on for 22 months, and the situation is becoming clearer. Ukraine's large-scale ** this year ended in failure, they could not afford to continue the offensive and had to choose to let go. At the same time, Russia is not only strong in forces, but also in abundance with ammunition. Ukraine once preached**, but now some military officers and politicians have changed their position, realizing that keeping the existing territories is a priority, rather than pursuing a reconquista. However, in the face of the current situation of the Ukrainian army and the pessimism of the population, maintaining the status quo also seems to have become a luxury, and a sudden rout could happen at any time.
According to Alexandriy Volkov, commander of the 24th Mechanized Brigade of the Ukrainian army, Ukrainian society may have been misled by certain **. These ** propaganda that everything is fine with the Ukrainian army, that the enemy is being struck and that victory is coming. However, this is not the case at the moment, the enemy is very strong, and the Ukrainian army is only trying to stop them. In fact, Ukrainian society is misguided, more precisely, deceived by its **. The Ukrainian authorities have unrealistic expectations for ** and exaggerate propaganda until the goal is achieved. In order to boost morale, some exaggerations may occur, but when faced with defeat, they still refuse to admit it, and even disguise defeat as victory, sending the wrong message to the Ukrainian population. Ukraine's defeat was evident as early as the first half of the year, but until now the Ukrainian side still firmly denies the defeat and is not even willing to use the word "stalemate".
Volkov revealed a serious problem: soldiers fighting on the front lines became increasingly restless due to the inability to recruit enough recruits. If there are enough recruits, it means that veterans of front-line combat can be replaced and rested. However, now Ukraine is unable to recruit new recruits, resulting in front-line soldiers having to continue fighting. They all had some injuries to some extent, even minor injuriesFireline, not to mention disabled, but still having to continue fighting. Previously, a Ukrainian soldier revealed that the commander told a soldier with a broken leg that he could still stay on the battlefield and be responsible for operating the drone. Recently, ** also reported that the wives of some Ukrainian soldiers were thereKievDemonstrations were held to demand that their husbands be brought back from the front. This is a worrying sign that front-line soldiers are eager to be replaced, but they never get a break, and families are starting to **. If Zelensky is unable to meet the reasonable demands of the officers and soldiers and their families, there is a risk of triggering a civil war, because the soldiers will return directlyKievCarry out**.
The Ukrainian army is facing a serious dilemma and cannot continue to fight in its current state. Even if they continue to fight, there is little hope of making any progress and will only pay a greater price. In the past six months, the Ukrainian army has received almost no good news, there is a lack of recruits to replenish, Western aid is getting less and less, and many soldiers can't even fire a few shells a day, rightRussian armyThere is hardly any effective lethality. Once the morale completely collapses, there will be a rout, because the soldiers have no desire for victory anymore, they will not be replenished with fresh blood, nor will they be able to get ammunition replenishment, but Russia will have what it wants, and how can the Ukrainian army continue to fight?If they will continue to fight as ** asking them to die, then it is likely to turn the muzzle of the gun, after all, attackingKievthan offenseRussian armyThe position is simpler.
The risk of civil war in Ukraine is rising, and the plight of the Ukrainian army is becoming more and more apparent. Misleading the public, sending them the wrong message and making them have unrealistic expectations of victory;The pressure on Ukrainian soldiers to fight on the front lines is increasing, and they urgently need to be replaced and rested;At the same time, the missteps of Ukraine ** and the cover-up of defeats aggravate the situation. Faced with this situation, Ukraine needs to take practical measures to protect the country and its soldiers, otherwise civil war will be inevitable. Only through the domesticInternationalCooperation, Ukraine can find a way out of the Ukrainian crisis. It is imperative that the ceasefire be fully implemented and create conditions for the de-escalation of the situation in Ukraine. At the same time, Ukraine should seek moreInternationalSupport and assistance to prepare for post-conflict reconstruction. It is only through peace and negotiation that a permanent solution can be reached and Ukraine is put on the path of stability and development.