Israel** says that Israel is ready to implement a humanitarian ceasefire again, what signal does it send?
In fact, ordinary people can think that this is that the Israeli army cannot be defeated. The troops are too big to rest and recuperate, and the ammunition consumption is too large to replenish, so in the name of "humanitarianism", let yourself rest and take a breath. For example, this is the heartbeat of 150 when you are training, and it will explode if you keep stopping.
As for what kind of humanitarianism, then forget it, even kill your own people who hold white flags and shout Hebrew with bare arms, and what else is there in the Israeli army that will not kill? Anyway, even if a few hostages are exchanged, more hostages can be captured in the West Bank at once. The number of hostages over there is limited, and there is a steady stream of hostages caught by themselves, and they don't suffer at all. The Jews have always been very shrewd in their calculations.
The real crux of the problem is that the ammunition has run out, and the United States needs to travel thousands of miles from the mainland. Especially now, the Houthis have cut off the southern transportation route of the Israeli army, and can only transport through the Strait of Gibraltar through the Mediterranean, plus some urgent air replenishment, which must not be interrupted. You must know that such a long and arduous transportation line is a nightmare for any army. And its real transportation volume is inevitably impossible to meet the needs.
To add insult to injury, the Israeli army is indiscriminately using ammunition. They recklessly targeted the civilian Hamas, the construction Hamas, and the air Hamas**, and as a result, they used more than 50,000 tons of ammunition and killed nearly 20,000 civilians, including nearly 10,000 "child Hamas". At present, it seems that the ammunition that the Israeli army is replenishing one after another can probably only meet about three-quarters of its needs
Otherwise, you seeIsraeli army from 107 After the start of retaliation, it took about 20 days to basically destroy the bombs of the Air Force. By 30 October, the air force could no longer hold out and began to enter the ground fighting in Gaza.
WhileAfter 20 days of fighting from the beginning of ground fighting on 30 October to 21 November, the Army began to propose a ceasefire in an emergency situation, and then the two sides formally imposed a ceasefire on the 23rd. It wasn't until a week later, on December 1, that the Israeli military waited for the Americans' ammunition to arrive, and then immediately turned around and re-attacked.
Since the resumption of the fighting on 1 December, the intensity of the fire has decreased significantly compared to before. In desperation, the Israeli army could only tear down the eastern wall and make up for the western wall, withdraw 70 percent of its troops from northern Gaza, and then go to southern Gaza. And after 10 days of fighting, due to the fact that the ** was too large and the ammunition was urgent, the troops could not move. Therefore, in the second 10 days from December 10 to today, the Israeli front has never advanced again. Its ammunition replenishment is already only enough for defense, and it is impossible to attack. And after taking care of one or the other, the north side has made people have a vacancy, and even Hamas has openly patrolled the streets in **.
Therefore, in desperation, the Israeli army could only propose a ceasefire for a week again on the 20th, in order to wait for new ammunition to arrive so as to launch a new offensiveγIn addition, the Israeli army can also take the opportunity to withdraw the troops that are too large, reorganize the troops and change the defense in the rear, and then transfer more reserve call-up troops to the field.
So we can see thatIsrael's daily ammunition stockpile, combined with emergency post-war shipments, is about enough for the Israeli Air Force and Army to consume for 30 days each β 20 days of high-intensity combat and 10 days of emergency defensive ammunition. A week's worth of transport after the ceasefire would be enough to sustain about 15 days of high-intensity fighting β or 10 days of high-intensity fighting and 10 days of defensive fighting. And after doing so, we have to use the emergency reserve ammunition and start eating food. So at this point we had to stop fighting for a week and wait for the new ammunition to arrive again.
So at present, it seems that the supply cycle of the Israeli army is about 20 days. It's like being aloneA month's salary is only enough to spend three weeks, and the remaining more than a week, then you can only tighten your belt and starve, and wait for the next month's salary and your son's filial piety money to be in place, so that you can be extravagant for another ten days, and then save money for ten days, and finally starve for a week, basically you can survive until the next salary.
Anyway, according to the inner pot, this "ceasefire is tantamount to surrender". After surrendering a few more times, in fact, I Xi used to it, as long as I am not embarrassed, it is someone else who is embarrassed, it doesn't matter.