What does it mean for the Saudi and Iranian deputy foreign ministers to visit China urgently during

Mondo International Updated on 2024-01-30

While a few of the "P5 powers" are still verbally condemning Israel, the "flat-headed brothers" in the Middle East are shouting at the road when they see injustice, and they will take action when it is time to act.

The Houthis have issued harsh words to the entire Western world: "If medicines, food and other supplies are not allowed to be sent to Palestine, the Red Sea will be completely blocked." "At the beginning, both the United States and the West felt that this guy was just talking about it, and it was impossible to act on it.

When the cargo ships of countries such as the United Kingdom, Denmark, Bulgaria and Japan were attacked by missiles and drones in the Red Sea, the scope and impact of this conflict were realized far beyond what had been done before.

The turnips are not big, they grow on the ridges", Yemen's Houthi rebels happen to control the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, and their missiles and drones are enough to directly block the Red Sea access. At present, even the global shipping giants Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd have announced the suspension of all shipping plans in this area.

If the Bab el-Mandeb Strait were to be closed, the consequences would be devastating. 17,000 cargo ships, 6.2 million barrels** and 50 million tonnes of agricultural products will be forced to divert daily to the Cape of Good Hope in Africa. Shipping costs will skyrocket. Whether in Israel or in Europe, tensions on the ** chain will be further increased.

As for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait in the Red Sea, it is one of the world's 16 maritime choke points, and the Pentagon made it clear that it wants to control it many years ago. Now the Houthis have just captured it. It's hard to imagine that the once global hegemon has now been reduced to the point of being pressed to the ground and rubbed by small players. This slapped Lao Mei in the face.

But the trouble is that the Houthis fly only a few dozen or hundreds of cheap drones a day, while the US Burke-class missile ships have 96 vertical missile launchers, of which 2 3 are equipped with anti-aircraft missiles, costing millions of dollars. Intercepting a drone worth tens of thousands of dollars each with an anti-aircraft missile is really a waste.

Therefore, such a passive interception is definitely not a good thing for the US military. Seeing the growing tensions in the Red Sea, the US military is now preparing to call people. The White House said it was working to coordinate and invite more than 30 countries to form an international maritime task force to escort the escort.

So we can see that the USS Eisenhower aircraft carrier battle group is rushing towards the Red Sea. The British also arrived at this time. The Germans have already begun to make a U-turn, announcing that they will send the frigate F221 "Hesse" to the Red Sea. The French are already in the Red Sea.

Such a big battle, is it really just to escort?What if the Houthis continue to be stubborn and their own or allied warships are under attack?Just interception?

At this time, if the United States really wants to use force against the Houthis, it must carry out a certain military build-up in the Arabian Peninsula. Therefore, it is very likely that the US military will forcibly "borrow" Saudi Arabia, and even ask Saudi Arabia to send troops. In this way, the Saudis will once again be pushed to the forefront.

In the face of US coercion, it will be difficult for Saudi Arabia to stop. If Saudi Arabia agrees to "borrow the channel", it will mean that the diplomatic achievements previously reached with Iran will be ruined. Not only that, but if it really stands up to help the United States, attack Israel at this time. Houthis, how can the Saudis explain to their Arab brothers?

You must know that attacking Israel is the absolutely right thing to do for the entire Arab world. If Saudi Arabia does not send troops, then forget it. It also helped the Americans attack the Houthi armed forces fighting Israel. If this happens, it will be difficult for Saudi Arabia to give an account to its Arab brothers.

At this time, Iran is also in a "dilemma". The U.S. and Israel's strikes on the Houthis are tantamount to targeting Iran behind the Houthis, and also involve Saudi Arabia as a springboard. So, what should Iran do, or to what extent, should it intervene in order to effectively control the situation without undermining the hard-won Saudi-Iranian rapprochement.

At this sensitive moment, the deputy foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia and Iran paid an urgent visit to China, and the China-Saudi Arabia-Iran Trilateral Joint Commission held its first meeting in Beijing.

Judging from the public announcement, Foreign Minister Wang Yi mainly put forward three suggestions to Saudi Arabia and Iran: the first is to adhere to the strategic choice of reconciliation unwaveringly, the second is to further promote the process of improving relations, and the third is to eliminate external interference.

It is not difficult to see that these proposals are "very informative" and keenly grasp the essence of the problem.

Putting aside the part and looking at the whole, the participation of the Houthis not only gave the US military a resounding slap in the face, but also gave the United States an opportunity to break the "Saudi-Iraqi rapprochement" and knead Saudi Arabia and Israel together through "excuses", while Iran sided with the Houthis, and he was naturally placed on the opposite side behind the scenes.

At the heart of the current situation is whether Saudi Arabia should continue to side with the United States. This is an unavoidable issue of principle.

If Saudi Arabia continues to be tied to the thief ship of the United States, given the situation in the Middle East, Saudi Arabia will sooner or later become a victim of the United States. But by clearly saying no to the United States, Saudi Arabia will inevitably worry that its future security will not be guaranteed, so it gathered friends and came to China overnight. It is hoped that Saudi Arabia will gain a sufficient sense of security in this trilateral meeting between China, Saudi Arabia and Iran.

At that time, the United States was able to remain invincible in the Gulf War because Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and other Arab countries provided stable logistics bases for the US military. But now, who dares to side with the Jews and support the US military in the attack on the Houthis?

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