At a sensitive moment, Saudi Arabia and Iran came to China overnight, and the US military is really

Mondo Military Updated on 2024-01-30

When several of the "P5 powers" are still verbally condemning Israel, the "flat-headed brothers" in the Middle East roar when they see injustice, and they will take action when it is time to take action.

The Houthis have unleashed cruel words against the entire West: "If medicines, food, and other materials are not allowed to reach Palestine, the Red Sea will be completely blocked." At first, the United States and the West felt that this guy was just a mouthful, and it was impossible for anyone to dare to fight him.

When the UK, Denmark, Bulgaria and Japan were attacked by missiles and drones on freighters in the Red Sea, they realized that the scope and impact of the conflict had never been greater.

The turnip is not big, but it grows on the ridge", Yemen's Houthi rebels happen to control the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, and missiles and drones are enough to directly block the access to the Red Sea. At present, even the global maritime industry giants Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd Group have announced the suspension of all shipping plans in this area.

If the Bab el-Mandeb Strait were to be closed, the consequences would be unimaginable, 17,000 freighters per day, 6.2 million barrels of ** and 50 million tons of agricultural products will be forced to divert to the Cape of Good Hope in Africa, and transportation costs will surge, whether in Israel or Europe, the ** chain tension will be further exacerbated.

And this Red Sea el-Mandeb Strait, which is one of the 16 maritime choke points in the world that the Pentagon has clearly stated that it wants to control many years ago, and now the Houthis have taken itIt's hard to imagine that the former global hegemon is now reduced to being trampled under the feet of small players and rubbing, so where does Lao Mei's face go?

But the trouble is that the Houthis only need to put dozens or hundreds of cheap drones every day, while the 96 vertical missile launch units of the US Burke-class missile destroyers, of which 2 or 3 are equipped with anti-aircraft missiles, and an anti-aircraft missile worth millions of dollars can be used to intercept a drone of tens of thousands of dollars, which is really enough.

Therefore, it is certainly not a matter for the US military to intercept it so passively, and seeing the intensification of tension in the Red Sea, the US military is ready to "shake people" at the momentThe White House said it was working to coordinate and invite more than 30 countries to form an international maritime task force to escort the ship.

So we can see, the United States"USS Eisenhower"The carrier battle group was rushing in the direction of the Red Sea, and the British arrived at this time, and the Germans began to turn to announce that they would send F221"Hesse"The frigate went to the Red Sea, where the French had long been squatting.

Such a big move, is it really just for the sake of escort?What if the Houthis continue to fight and their own or their allies' ** are also attacked?Just interception works?

At this time, if the United States really wants to use force against the Houthis, it must carry out a certain military build-up in the Arabian Peninsula. Therefore, the US military is likely to forcibly "borrow" from Saudi Arabia, and will even ask Saudi Arabia to send troops. In this way, Saudi Arabia will once again be pushed to the forefront.

In the face of US coercion, it is difficult for Saudi Arabia to stop, and once Saudi Arabia agrees to "borrow", it is equivalent to the previous diplomatic achievements with Iran to come to naught

You must know that attacking Israel can be said to be the absolute right thing for the entire Arab world, and you Saudi Arabia will not send troops, but also help the Americans fight against the Houthis who are resisting Israel.

At this time, Iran is also in a "dilemma", the United States and Israel are fighting the Houthis is equivalent to pointing the sword at Iran behind the Houthis, and it also involves Saudi Arabia as a springboard. So what should Iran do, or how much should it get involved, to effectively control the situation without undermining the hard-won Saudi-Iranian rapprochement?

At this sensitive moment, the deputy foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia and Iran paid an urgent visit to China, and the China-Saudi-Iranian Trilateral Joint Commission held its first meeting in Beijing.

Judging from the public announcement, Foreign Minister Wang Yi mainly put forward three suggestions to Saudi Arabia and Iran: the first is to adhere to the strategic choice of reconciliation unwaveringly, the second is to further promote the process of improving relations, and the third is to eliminate external interference.

It is not difficult to see that these suggestions are "full of dry goods" and keenly grasp the essence of the problem

Looking at the whole regardless of the part, the participation of the Houthis has given the United States an opportunity to break the "Saudi-Iranian rapprochement" while slapping the US military in the face, and rubbing Saudi Arabia and Israel together through "excuses", while Iran stands behind the Houthis and is naturally put on the opposite side.

At present, the core of the situation is given to Saudi Arabia, should we continue to side with the United States?This is an unavoidable and principled question.

If it continues to be on the thief ship of the old United States, with the situation in the Middle East, Saudi Arabia will sooner or later become a victim of the United States. However, after clearly saying no to the United States, Saudi Arabia will inevitably worry that its future security will not be guaranteed, so it took its small partners and came to China overnight. It is hoped that this trilateral meeting between China, Saudi Arabia and Iran will give Saudi Arabia a sufficient sense of security.

In those years, the United States was able to be invincible in the Gulf War because Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates and other Arab countries provided stable logistics bases for the US military. But now, who dares to side with the Jews to support the US military in the attack on the Houthis?

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