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Author: Ouyang Lin.
Before you know it, 2023 is about to come to an end, and 2024 will usher in a new round of dawn.
Looking back on the more than 80 days of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, if we say that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is one word: miserable!The Palestinian-Israeli conflict can be said in two words: it is more miserable!
The Palestinian-Israeli conflict has been almost three months old, but it seems that yesterday is almost every day in the Gaza Strip: artillery fire, gunsmoke, bloody rain, and bloody wind.
I always feel that in just over 80 days, the Palestinian-Israeli situation has been heating up, and lives have been lost
The first one I didn't expect: Hamas is getting stronger and stronger.
On October 7, Hamas broke into Israel, carried out killings, and eventually died there, and possibly others, continuing its guerrilla warfare.
From Israel's point of view, they are outlaws;From the Palestinian point of view, these people are the real heroes.
Over the years, Israel has isolated the Gaza Strip into the world's largest "open-air prison" and cultivated Hamas into the largest force of military resistance.
In recent years, Qatar and Saudi Arabia have provided funds, and Iran has provided military assistance, which has allowed Hamas to grow and strengthen.
After more than 10 years of planning and development, Hamas has dug 500 kilometers of underground passages in Gaza City, and now their offensive methods, tactical means, and fighting spirit have undergone qualitative changes. At the same time, the confidence and solidarity that the Hamas leaders have shown to the world are what they are.
The war in Gaza has shown that you must not underestimate each of your opponents, and the result of Israel's contempt is a disaster of war.
The second one was unexpected: both sides were ruthless against civilians.
In Hamas's eyes, there are no civilians in Israel. Therefore, they broke into the territory of Israel and killed every man, and the Israeli army exceeded 2,600 people**, and in the end they themselves were killed, and 1,500 people died in Israel.
But what about Israel's bloody revenge?
Gaza was bombed to kill 2 PalestiniansA third of the 130,000 civilians are women and children, and the conflict has caused 5More than 50,000 people were injured, and many tragic scenes are indescribable, which is really difficult to calm down.
Even more tragic is the fact that the conflict also claimed the lives of 136 United Nations staff and 105 journalists.
UN Secretary-General António Guterres called it "something that has never been seen before in the history of the United Nations." ”
These figures are harrowing, showing the brutality of both Israel and Hamas against civilians and underscoring the devastation of human existence caused by war and conflict.
The third did not expect: the Israeli military was ** miserable.
According to the latest war situation, 350 IDF soldiers were killed, including 39 seniors**, with the highest rank being lieutenant colonel, such as Salman Habaka, commander of the tank brigade.
According to foreign media reports, Israel has 13 combat brigades, and 6 brigade commanders charged into battle and died on the front line. Among them was the famous commander of the Golan Brigade.
However, Israel's own ** has questioned this data. Israeli journalist Ariel Simon set off a data storm: he claimed that the Israeli army exceeded 10,000, of which 3,850 were killed. Is this a numbers game or is it real**This suspicion makes people think.
Judging from the battlefield scene ** pictures from the battlefield in Gaza, under the stubborn resistance of Hamas, in addition to the staggering number of Israeli soldiers, Israel's proud armored forces have also suffered heavy losses this time.
During the fighting in Gaza, the Israeli army abandoned the "in-step coordination", and tanks and armored vehicles were repeatedly ambushed by Hamas.
Israel's "Merkava" tank is known as the god of war in the world, but in front of Hamas militants, it has broken the myth of its invincibility, and is often beaten by Hamas daredevils with rockets on the spot.
The fourth did not expect: Israel was besieged by the Seven Nations.
The Palestinian-Israeli conflict has left Israel facing a grim situation in which it is surrounded by enemies on all sides and fought by seven nations.
The Seven Heroes of the Middle East officially flanked Israel. The countries of the Middle East are finally united, and Israel is being attacked and ambushed on all sides by the countries of the Middle East. Hamas is waiting for reinforcements, and the situation in Gaza is about to change.
The Seven Heroes of the Middle East are:1Hamas. 2.West bank. 3.Lebanese Allah. 4.Yemeni Houthi rebels. 5.Syria. 6.Iraqi militias. 7.Iran.
Israeli Defense Minister Gallant warned that Israel is in a state of multi-front warfare, and any country or organization that opposes Israel will be encircled and suppressed.
At the same time, he said, it will be a long, arduous war with a very high cost.
The fifth one was not expected: the Houthis dared to hit the US aircraft carrier.
On December 27, the Houthis launched unmanned attack planes and missiles at US aircraft carriers, and although they were intercepted by the US military, they dared to show their swords to the United States, indicating that "the tiger's ass cannot be touched" is just a bluffing lie, and it also proves that "everything is possible" and finally "finally becomes possible".
Yemen's Houthi rebels have directly targeted their attacks on attacking US combat aircraft carriers, and what they have warned is the United States that if they want to fight, they will attack the strongest US military.
The Houthi attack, which included 12 drones, three ballistic missiles and two anti-ship missiles, attempted to inflict heavy damage on the U.S. ship and create a myth in the history of warfare.
There are no ifs in war. If the Houthis fly high-performance fighters or strategic bombers and launch hypersonic missiles or "aircraft carrier killers", then the US aircraft carrier will become a real "live target", the US ** team will be buried in the Red Sea, and the Houthis will blow through a century.
Fearless of hegemony, dare to challenge!After World War II, for the first time, there was an organization, a goal, and a means, daring to attack the most powerful US aircraft carrier combat masses, and the "slipper army" really dared to fight, it was a real warrior, and such actions made the world's jaw drop!
The sixth did not expect: the United States is so brazen.
The current Palestinian-Israeli conflict has made us see more clearly the ugly face of the United States.
In fact, in the half century since the United States operated the Middle East, it is not surprising that the "American-style double standard" has been "American-style".
Biden stressed his full support for Israel, and both the White House and the Pentagon emphasized that Israel "has the right to self-defense."
This is the "American-style double standard", which makes tough accusations against Hamas, clearly favors Israel, and turns a blind eye to the deep-seated contradictions and problems in the Palestinian-Israeli situation.
This continued bias of the United States in favor of Israel has caused Israel to feel unscrupulous, and the Palestinian-Israeli situation has further deteriorated from the so-called "security self-defense" to the "ethnic" situation.
Since the outbreak of the conflict, the United States has advocated a "rules-based international order" while avoiding the relevant UN Security Council resolutions.
At the first moment of the conflict, it also dispatched aircraft carrier battle groups and combat planes to embolden Israel to demonstrate, and also transported first-class ammunition to Israel without restraint, using the "Red Sea escort" as an excuse to draw allies into the gang and disrupt the overall situation in the Middle East.
At the UN Security Council, Linfield, a black American delegate, simply did not distinguish between black and white, reversed right and wrong, voted against the Palestinian-Israeli ceasefire at the Security Council on many occasions, "sang a double reed" with Israel, fooled the international community, embarked on the opposite side of the international community, and indifferently ignored the Palestinian people's right to statehood, survival, and return.
The seventh did not expect: Israel is so crazy.
An eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth, this is the Jewish tradition. I didn't expect Israel to be so vindictive.
This strong vindictiveness of Israel has even clashed fiercely with the United Nations and the European Union.
But Israel doesn't care, but scolds the UN: why don't you condemn Hamas's attack on Israel?It also demanded that the UN be dissolved and that the secretary general resign, and that the madness of Israel could not stand it anymore for the Americans.
The United Nations and Secretary-General António Guterres have become Israel's punching bag: I, Israel, am the little bully of the Middle East, who can scold whoever he wants and hit whoever he wants.
The eighth did not expect: the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has put Ukraine in a predicament.
The two major conflicts of the new century: the two storms of Russia and Ukraine and Palestine and Israel, Ukraine has become a ridiculous international actor through war.
Ukraine, which is in trouble in the Russian-Ukrainian war, has actually chosen to side with Israel, which makes people wonder whether the comedian's performance is politically motivated or purely theatrical
A Palestinian-Israeli conflict has caused the crisis in Ukraine to rise sharply, and the aid of the United States and the West has slowly been cut off, Zelensky went to the United States to beg for aid, but the result was in vain, and he was humiliated by the US congressman.
At the very beginning, Israel refused to provide military support to Ukraine and refused to invite Ukraine** Zelensky to visit Israel. Now, many of the United States and Western aid to Ukraine have come across the ocean to Israel.
Some ** and netizens joked: "It is not Russia that defeats Ukraine, but Hamas." ”
Hamas's "Al-Aqsa flood" operation against Israel has disrupted the United States' position in the Middle East and disrupted Israel's strategic layout.
I know that the above 8 didn't think of it at all, and some friends may say that it's not worth talking about at all, but I have thought of it, and you will think more thoroughly.
But for the average person, I believe it was really unexpected. In fact, it also came as a surprise to Israel and the United States, and even more so to many countries and people around the world.
Prospects for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict in 2024
What I am concerned about is the key point, which is how the entire Palestinian-Israeli conflict will go in 2024
First,The war situation in Israel will be even more dangerous, and there is a high probability of a sixth Middle East war.
Second,The situation in Hamas will become more severe, the space for compression in the Gaza Strip will become narrower and narrower, the tunnel warfare will become more and more tragic, the Hamas resistance will be gradually weakened, and the humanitarian crisis in the Gaza Strip will become more severe.
Third,The US military operations in the Middle East are particularly embarrassing, because they have already been dragged into the water by Israel and are being "stirred up and pestered" by the Houthis, and US military bases in the Middle East may often be bombed, and the Arab League countries will be eyeing each other, and the situation of the US military will be even more difficult.
Fourth,Some countries in the Middle East are seeking war opportunities, and they will unite as one to jointly declare war on the US military and Israeli hegemony, and may deal a fatal blow to Israel at the right time, in the right place, under the right environment, and in the right way.
Fifth,In 2024, the United Nations and the international community will continue to intensify the mediation of conflicts between the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and the Russia-Ukraine war, continue to increase humanitarian assistance to Palestine and the Gaza Strip, and jointly promote the Palestinian-Israeli peace talks to avoid greater war trauma.