Wen Liu Fufeng.
Chinese mainland, the United States, Western **, think tanks, and public opinion believe that the mainland's military reunification of Taiwan is likely to be in the next two years. However, as the parties involved in the "search for a fight" at any time, the "Taiwan authorities" are "not pessimistic" and often disseminate remarks that the mainland does not dare to "fight" Taiwan, and even if the mainland is reunified, it will not be in the past two years.
Koo Li-hsiung, secretary general of Taiwan's National Security Council, recently said that the mainland's military attack on Taiwan will not happen in the near future, at least not in one to two years, because the mainland is unlikely to have the ability to occupy Taiwan with an amphibious landing before 2027, and the mainland is not ready. Taiwan will use anti-ship missiles, drones, anti-tank missiles and other maneuvers to make it more difficult for the PLA to attack and land on Taiwan. Gu Lixiong also said,The United States will continue to promote Taiwan's national defense reform, social resilience, and asymmetric combat capabilities. The United States has a stronger sense of urgency than Taiwan in the Taiwan Strait crisis, and is eager to strengthen Taiwan's self-defense capability and train Taiwan's militaryPostpone the timetable for the PLA to attack Taiwan.
It seems that the "Taiwan authorities" judge that the mainland cannot be reunified by force before 2027 because with the support of the United States, the Taiwan military will make it more difficult for the PLA to attack Taiwan and conduct landing operations, and the mainland will retreat in the face of difficulties. The "Taiwan authorities" also do not want to think about whether the mainland will be deterred by difficulties in fighting in order to achieve the goal of reunification and when forced by the situation. Over the past 100 years, when has the Communist Party of China been afraid of difficulties in the revolution, the founding of the country, and the struggle for the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation? He said: "Make up your mind, not be afraid of sacrifice, overcome all difficulties, and strive for victory." "It is in the process of eliminating and overcoming difficulties that the Communist Party of China has pushed forward its cause.
Second, if the military reunification of Taiwan is successful, does it have to be an amphibious landing to occupy Taiwan? Once a war breaks out, under the PLA's all-round and three-dimensional crushing strikes, and when the US military is denied entry into the war or the US military does not send troops at all, will the Taiwan military still be able to maintain its will to fight and its ability? Is there still a chance for impedance landing? Can you not surrender? It can be seen that the "Taiwan authorities" have absolutely miscalculated in predicting that the PLA will not be able to achieve military reunification before 2027 because they are afraid of the difficulties of landing operations.
Third, Taiwan is too superstitious about the U.S. push for national defense reform, social resilience, and asymmetric combat capabilities, believing that this will strengthen its defenses. As everyone knows, these things are pediatric in front of the mainland, and they cannot change the outcome of the failure of resistance to reunification.
This article was originally published in the original title of "Dongfang **": "Won't Taiwan be attacked before 2027".
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