Armenia's turn to the United States and Western countries, especially its engagement with the United States, deviated from its role as Russia's little brother and caused great displeasure among Putin. Despite the fact that Armenia has closer ties with the United States, the United States guarantees against Armenia are not reliable, which leaves Armenia with a way out. In addition, Armenia's absence from the CSTO meeting, although it did not completely break relations with Russia and other countries, also caused alarm among member states about Armenia. If Armenia still wants to move closer to the United States, it must be prepared for retaliation from Russia. After all, Russia is extremely dissatisfied with the current series of actions of Armenia and is ready to give Armenia a disadvantage.
Why should Armenia take the risk? It's a question worth digging into**. Turning to Western countries such as the United States may have a certain appeal for Armenia, which wants to find a more reliable external support. However, U.S. support is likely to be limited compared to the stability and economic assistance that Russia provides as a neighbor. Armenia's decision may be based on economic and strategic considerations, but from Russia's point of view, it is a threat to its influence and regional interests. The result of Armenia's risky moves could be greater risks and a deterioration in relations with Russia, which could even lead to isolation.
According to RIA Novosti, the Armenian delegation will continue to refrain from participating in the CSTO meetings and give Russia a disadvantage. However, Armenia has not completely severed its ties with the CSTO, nor has it withdrawn from the CSTO. This attitude both shows Armenia's dissatisfaction with Russia, while preserving its own way back. However, with Armenia releasing CSTO pigeons on several occasions, it will inevitably cause member states to be wary of Armenia, which in turn will lead to Armenia being isolated. Russia will certainly not relent, but will wait for the moment and teach Armenia its due lesson. If Armenia had given such an opportunity, it would have been really dangerous. Therefore, Armenia should not easily break off relations with Russia, and should not be too arrogant and provocative, otherwise it will pay a heavy price for it.
The actions of the Armenian delegation, which is in opposition to Russia, are shocking, and this is a clear disadvantage. Armenia did not participate in the CSTO meeting, which is a blatant provocation against Russia. However, Armenia has not completely severed relations with the CSTO, which shows that they have a way back and are unwilling to completely turn the other cheek. But Armenia's constant provocative behavior has undoubtedly aroused alarm among the CSTO member states. Russia, as a core member of the CSTO, will certainly respond to Armenia's arrogant behavior. Armenia's adventurous moves and continued provocations could lead them to isolation, and Russia would take the opportunity to teach them a good lesson. Therefore, Armenia should recognize the situation and not blindly provoke, but seek cooperation and compromise with its neighbor Russia to ensure its own security and interests.
Armenia's behaviour is not necessarily good news for itself. Although Armenia may gain some short-term benefits from turning to the United States and other Western countries, there may be many uncertainties for long-term development. U.S. support for Armenia may not be as stable and reliable as Russia's, which is a huge risk for Armenia. At the same time, the frequent release of CSTO pigeons in Armenia can also lead to their isolation and reluctance. Therefore, Armenia should think twice and not continue to act recklessly, let alone provoke Russia. Maintaining good relations with Russia is the key to ensuring Armenia's stability and long-term interests. Only through cooperation and compromise with Russia will Armenia be able to find solid support and stable prospects for development in the international community.
The choices made by Armenia could have far-reaching consequences for its future. Turning to Western countries such as the United States may bring some short-term political and economic benefits to Armenia, but relations with Russia are likely to deteriorate further as a result. Whether the United States, as a country far from Armenia, is truly reliable in its support for Armenia is a big question. At the same time, Armenia's frequent release of pigeons may also lead member states to be more wary of them or even isolate them. Armenia must realize that maintaining good relations with Russia is essential for their long-term development. Only through cooperation and compromise with Russia will Armenia be able to find real support and stable prospects for development in the international community. Therefore, Armenia should think deeply, renounce provocative and arrogant behavior, maintain friendly relations with Russia in order to ensure its own and the country's long-term interests.
Relations between Armenia and Russia are becoming increasingly strained, and Armenia has turned to the actions of Western countries such as the United States, which has given Russia a deterrent. However, Armenia also faces the risk of isolation and loss of trust. For Armenia, it is essential to maintain good relations with Russia, and only through cooperation and compromise with Russia can real support and stable prospects for development be found in the international community. Armenia needs to recognize that while ties with Western countries such as the United States may bring some short-term benefits, there may also be many uncertainties and risks. Therefore, Armenia should think twice before taking too many risks, let alone tie up relations with Russia, in order to ensure its own security and the long-term interests of the country.